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Egypt crestEgypt
v
Russia crestRussia

Friendlies | Thu 28 May, 19:00

Egypt v Russia Stats

Data last updated: Mon 06 Jul 2026, 10:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Egypt face Russia in Friendlies on Thu 28 May, 19:00. The home stadium functions as an emotional engine for the Pharaohs, who have mounted a lengthy unbeaten sequence on home territory. Egypt boast an incredible defensive record under Hossam Hassan, securing three straight clean sheets, including a scoreless draw against Spain.

BT4Y best bet

Sends a message: Egypt are building for both the present and the future

  • At 13/10, Egypt Win implies roughly 44%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 49%.
  • Egypt conceded only twice in ten qualifiers and are highly secure in Cairo.
  • Egypt have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Egypt Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 49% for Egypt Win sits against roughly 44% implied by the current price. Egypt have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Egypt Win angle more than a raw possession edge. Egypt conceded only twice in ten qualifiers and are highly secure in Cairo.

Model chance vs price49% model chance against roughly 44% implied
Neutral
Egypt have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Egypt conceded only twice in ten qualifiers and are.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Egypt Win is the preferred angle because egypt conceded only twice in ten qualifiers and are highly secure in Cairo. Egypt have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Egypt Win angle more than a raw possession edge. However, if Russia slow the game down and frustrate the crowd, tension may creep into Egypt’s play.

Main risk

However, if Russia slow the game down and frustrate the crowd, tension may creep into Egypt’s play.

Key Data Signals

Egypt Win evidence

Egypt conceded only twice in ten qualifiers and are highly secure in Cairo.

Egypt have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Egypt Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Egypt Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Egypt0.5
    Avg corners for
    Russia7
    Egypt7.5
    Avg total corners
    Russia11
    Egypt2.5
    Avg yellow cards
    Russia1.5
    Egypt8.5
    Avg shots
    Russia20

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Egypt2
    Avg goals scored
    Russia1.5
    Egypt0
    Avg goals conceded
    Russia0.5
    Egypt0%
    BTTS rate
    Russia50%
    Egypt50%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Russia50%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 56% · edge +12.4 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 33%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 33% vs implied 53% · edge -19.3 pts
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    BTTS Yes is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Egypt

    DW
    Last 51W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 0L
    31 Mar 2026A Spain0-0
    27 Mar 2026A Saudi Arabia4-0

    Russia

    DW
    Last 51W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 0L
    31 Mar 2026H Mali0-0
    27 Mar 2026H Nicaragua3-1

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Egypt wins
    0Draws
    1Russia wins
    19 Jun 2018Russia v Egypt3-1
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 33% vs implied 53% · edge -19.3 pts
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Friendlies

    Egypt4
    Played
    Russia5
    Egypt1.5
    Avg goals for
    Russia1.8
    Egypt0.5
    Avg goals against
    Russia0.4
    Egypt3
    Clean sheets
    Russia3

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    50%Egypt Over 2.5
    50%Russia Over 2.5
    4H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Egypt sit at 50% and Russia sit at 50% with the H2H average at 4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.