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Brazil crestBrazil
v
Norway crestNorway

World Cup | Sun 05 Jul, 21:00

Brazil v Norway Stats

Data last updated: Tue 18 Aug 2026, 21:58 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Brazil face Norway in World Cup on Sun 05 Jul, 21:00. Brazil's balance gives them a distinct advantage over volatile Norway who conceded four goals against France in group stage action. Their recent form underlines the sense that they are growing into the tournament.

BT4Y best bet

Requires both nations to score at least one goal within normal time (90 minutes plus injury time)

  • At 11/2, Requires both nations to score at least one goal within normal time (90 minutes plus injury time) implies roughly 15%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 30%.
  • Since Norway conceded four against France and Brazil recently let in a goal against Japan, defences remain vulnerable, ensuring both teams are likely.
  • Brazil have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 9 for Norway.
  • Brazil have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per match, which helps the Requires both nations to score at least one goal within normal time (90 minutes plus injury time) angle more than.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 30% for Requires both nations to score at least one goal within normal time (90 minutes plus injury time) sits against roughly 15% implied by the current price. Brazil have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 9 for Norway. Since Norway conceded four against France and Brazil recently let in a goal against Japan, defences remain vulnerable, ensuring both teams are likely.

Model chance vs price30% model chance against roughly 15% implied
Strong positive
Brazil have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points.Visible data support
Positive
Brazil have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Since Norway conceded four against France and Brazil recently.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Brazil Win is the preferred angle because since Norway conceded four against France and Brazil recently let in a goal against Japan, defences remain vulnerable, ensuring both teams are likely to find the net. Brazil have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 9 for Norway. Against Japan, Brazil had to come from behind and needed a 95th-minute winner, but the performance was still strong.

Main risk

Against Japan, Brazil had to come from behind and needed a 95th-minute winner, but the performance was still strong.

Key Data Signals

Requires both nations to score at least one goal within normal time (90 minutes plus injury time) evidence

Since Norway conceded four against France and Brazil recently let in a goal against Japan, defences remain vulnerable.

Brazil have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 9 for Norway.

Brazil have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per match, which helps the Brazil Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Requires both nations to score at least one goal within normal time (90 minutes plus injury time) notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Brazil5.5
    Avg corners for
    Norway4.25
    Brazil9.25
    Avg total corners
    Norway10.5
    Brazil1.75
    Avg yellow cards
    Norway0.5
    Brazil15
    Avg shots
    Norway11
    Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 58% · edge +1.8 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
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    Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 54%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 53%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Brazil2.25
    Avg goals scored
    Norway2.5
    Brazil0.5
    Avg goals conceded
    Norway2
    Brazil50%
    BTTS rate
    Norway100%
    Brazil75%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Norway100%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
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    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 73%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickBrazil to WinBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 56% · edge -2.7 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
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    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 73%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Brazil Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 60%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 53%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Brazil to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Brazil

    WWWD
    Last 53W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 1D 0L
    29 Jun 2026H Japan2-1
    24 Jun 2026A Scotland3-0
    20 Jun 2026H Haiti3-0
    13 Jun 2026H Morocco1-1

    Norway

    WLWW
    Last 53W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 0D 1L
    30 Jun 2026A Ivory Coast2-1
    26 Jun 2026H France1-4
    23 Jun 2026H Senegal3-2
    16 Jun 2026A Iraq4-1
    Market aligned with main pickBrazil to WinBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 56% · edge -2.7 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
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    Brazil Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 80%
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Brazil wins
    0Draws
    0Norway wins
    Market aligned with main pickBrazil to WinBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 56% · edge -2.7 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 73%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Brazil to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Season team stats

    World Cup

    Brazil5
    Played
    Norway0
    Brazil2
    Avg goals for
    Norway-
    Brazil0.8
    Avg goals against
    Norway-
    Brazil2
    Clean sheets
    Norway-
    Market aligned with main pickBrazil to WinBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 56% · edge -2.7 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Brazil Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Season data supports Brazil to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1Brazil732106
    2Norway632011
    World Cup standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    75%Brazil Over 2.5
    100%Norway Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Brazil sit at 75% and Norway sit at 100%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.