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Brann crestBrann
v
Sarpsborg 08 FF crestSarpsborg 08 FF

Eliteserien | Fri 29 May, 18:00

Brann v Sarpsborg 08 FF Stats

Data last updated: Wed 08 Jul 2026, 23:51 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Brann face Sarpsborg 08 FF in Eliteserien on Fri 29 May, 18:00. Brann come in with 9 recent points and 2.4 goals per match, while Sarpsborg 08 FF have 6 points and 1.2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Brann to Win

  • At 1.65, Brann Win implies roughly 61%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 68%.
  • Brann have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 6 for Sarpsborg 08 FF.
  • Brann have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Brann Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Brann sit 11 in the table, while Sarpsborg 08 FF sit 7, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 68% for Brann Win sits against roughly 61% implied by the current price. Brann have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 6 for Sarpsborg 08 FF.

Model chance vs price68% model chance against roughly 61% implied
Positive
Brann have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points.Visible data support
Positive
Brann have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Brann Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Brann have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 6 for Sarpsborg 08 FF. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Brann Win evidence

Brann have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 6 for Sarpsborg 08 FF.

Brann have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Brann Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Brann sit 11 in the table, while Sarpsborg 08 FF sit 7, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Brann Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Brann2.4
    Avg goals scored
    Sarpsborg 08 FF1.2
    Brann1.4
    Avg goals conceded
    Sarpsborg 08 FF2
    Brann80%
    BTTS rate
    Sarpsborg 08 FF60%
    Brann100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Sarpsborg 08 FF80%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 67% · edge +9.3 pts
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 77%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 27%
    2.7
    Check odds @ 2.7
    BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickBrann to WinBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 61% · edge +7.1 pts
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 77%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Brann Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Brann to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Brann4.2
    Avg corners for
    Sarpsborg 08 FF3.6
    Brann7.8
    Avg total corners
    Sarpsborg 08 FF8
    Brann1.4
    Avg yellow cards
    Sarpsborg 08 FF2.2
    Brann11.8
    Avg shots
    Sarpsborg 08 FF10.8
    Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Brann

    LLWWW
    Last 53W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 1D 5L
    24 May 2026A Bodo/Glimt1-3
    20 May 2026A Aalesund1-2
    16 May 2026H KFUM Oslo2-1
    02 May 2026H Fredrikstad3-1
    29 Apr 2026A Tromso5-0

    Sarpsborg 08 FF

    WLWLL
    Last 52W 0D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 2D 5L
    25 May 2026H Molde2-1
    16 May 2026A Valerenga2-3
    09 May 2026H Fredrikstad2-1
    03 May 2026A Lillestrom0-4
    26 Apr 2026A KFUM Oslo0-1
    Market aligned with main pickBrann to WinBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 61% · edge +7.1 pts
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Brann Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    3Brann wins
    5Draws
    2Sarpsborg 08 FF wins
    02 Aug 2025Sarpsborg 08 FF v Brann1-4
    16 May 2025Brann v Sarpsborg 08 FF2-2
    01 Sep 2024Brann v Sarpsborg 08 FF1-3
    20 Jul 2024Sarpsborg 08 FF v Brann1-1
    03 Sep 2023Brann v Sarpsborg 08 FF1-0
    13 May 2023Sarpsborg 08 FF v Brann2-1
    Market aligned with main pickBrann to WinBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 61% · edge +7.1 pts
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 77%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Brann to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Eliteserien

    Brann12
    Played
    Sarpsborg 08 FF11
    Brann2
    Avg goals for
    Sarpsborg 08 FF1.2
    Brann1.7
    Avg goals against
    Sarpsborg 08 FF1.5
    Brann1
    Clean sheets
    Sarpsborg 08 FF1
    Market aligned with main pickBrann to WinBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 61% · edge +7.1 pts
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Load more odds for this section
    Brann Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Season data supports Brann to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    7Sarpsborg 08 FF1411425-3
    11Brann13124174
    Brann sit in position 11, while Sarpsborg 08 FF sit in position 7, so table pressure belongs in the Brann Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Brann Over 2.5
    80%Sarpsborg 08 FF Over 2.5
    3.4H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Brann sit at 100% and Sarpsborg 08 FF sit at 80% with the H2H average at 3.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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