Tennis betting tips: US Open Day Six betting tips, predictions preview and Saturday’s best bets

Steve Harrington has highlighted four bets and an accumulator for Saturday’s third-round US Open action. Read on for his tips and predictions for day six at Flushing Meadows and don’t miss out on the selected bookies offers listed below.

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Tennis betting tips: US Open Day Six Predictions

Can Day 6 at the US Open Deliver Surprises? Exploring the Key Battles
  • Van de Zandschulp enters Day 6 after a career-best victory against Carlos Alcaraz, showcasing his mental toughness and consistent play.
  • Dan Evans has a 100% win record against Alex de Minaur in their previous three encounters, all on hard courts.
  • Ashlyn Krueger has defeated three top-tier players this summer, highlighting her potential for another upset at the US Open.

Best Bet

Bookmaker
Jannik Sinner to Win 3-0 @ 6/4
Reasoning
Sinner's dominance on hard courts and consistent form make him the favourite to win in straight sets. His powerful serve, baseline control, and Grand Slam experience should neutralise Fritz’s strengths, especially under pressure.
Odds subject to change
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As the US Open progresses into its fifth day, the tension and stakes are escalating in New York. The players are now deep into the tournament, and each match becomes a pivotal moment in their quest for Grand Slam glory. Today’s action promises to be compelling, with several key encounters that could shape the tournament’s trajectory. Among the notable matchups, Botic van de Zandschulp faces Jack Draper in what could be a clash of styles, while Dan Evans takes on Alex de Minaur, adding a British flavour to the day’s proceedings.

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These matchups are not just about winning but also about players making statements, advancing into the second week of the competition. The tournament so far has seen a mix of expected outcomes and surprising upsets, making it all the more exciting to anticipate what Day 6 holds.

US Day 6 Accumulator

Bookmaker
US Open Day 12 Double @ 15/1
Reasoning
Backing Sinner to win after losing the first set combines Draper’s strong start with Sinner’s adaptability. Meanwhile, Tiafoe thrives as the underdog, making his upset over Fritz a high-value pick.
Odds subject to change
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The standout pick for today comes from the match between Botic van de Zandschulp and Jack Draper. The Dutchman, van de Zandschulp, is priced at 100/30 to overcome Draper, which presents significant value given his recent form. Van de Zandschulp enters this match fresh off a career-defining victory against Carlos Alcaraz, a win that has undoubtedly bolstered his confidence. His performance was characterised by a calm demeanour and a measured approach, qualities that suggest he is mentally prepared for the challenges ahead.

Van de Zandschulp’s recent victory over Alcaraz was marked by a stable and consistent level of play, which is crucial when facing someone like Draper, who relies on powerful serves and heavy groundstrokes. The Dutchman’s ability to handle Alcaraz’s pace and aggression, particularly at the net, where he executed some impressive volleys, bodes well for his chances against Draper. Moreover, while Draper has had a straightforward path to this stage, defeating opponents who were either physically struggling or limited in their play, van de Zandschulp has faced tougher competition and emerged unscathed.

One key aspect that could swing the match in van de Zandschulp’s favour is his ability to start strong. If he can take the first set or make it a closely contested affair, the pressure will mount on Draper, who has shown vulnerabilities in longer, more gruelling matches. Draper’s fitness and endurance have been questionable in the past, particularly when matches extend deep into the later stages, which is where van de Zandschulp could exploit an advantage. Furthermore, van de Zandschulp’s experience and recent success against high-calibre opponents make him a formidable underdog, with a real chance of pulling off an upset.

In terms of betting, the option to back van de Zandschulp with a +6.5-game handicap offers a solid margin of safety, given Draper’s recent track record of failing to cover similar handicaps in Grand Slam matches. However, given the circumstances and the value presented, backing van de Zandschulp outright to win might be the bolder, more rewarding choice.

Additional Prediction

Bookmaker
Over 9.5 Games in the First Set @ 3/5
Reasoning
For those seeking an alternative angle, backing over 9.5 games in the opening set is a solid option. Both Sinner and Fritz have strong serves, making early breaks unlikely and increasing the chances of a tightly contested first set.
Odds subject to change
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For those seeking value in an underdog, Dan Evans to win a set against Alex de Minaur at 5/1 presents an intriguing option. While de Minaur has had a strong season, this is his first tournament back from an injury sustained at Wimbledon, which might have disrupted his rhythm and confidence. Evans, on the other hand, has a history of troubling de Minaur, having won all three of their previous encounters, each on hard courts, including their most recent match at the Davis Cup.

Evans has shown flashes of his best form in New York, particularly in his victory over Karen Khachanov, which was a gruelling, record-breaking match. Although Evans’s fitness is a concern, especially after such a taxing encounter, his backhand slice and tactical nous have proven effective against de Minaur in the past. Therefore, backing Evans to take at least one set seems like a prudent bet, especially considering the potential for a close and competitive match.

Additional Prediction

Bookmaker
Medvedev to Win vs Sinner @ 11/5
Reasoning
Medvedev’s defensive skills and hardcourt consistency make him favoured against Sinner, whose injuries may hinder long rallies. Medvedev’s counterpunching and experience provide strong value at 11/5 odds.
Odds subject to change
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Jordan Thompson’s recent form makes him a strong contender against Matteo Arnaldi, with the Australian winning ten of his last thirteen matches. Thompson’s straight-sets victory over Hubert Hurkacz in the second round demonstrated his current confidence and ability to compete at a high level. Arnaldi, on the other hand, benefited from a subpar performance by Roman Safiullin, which may not be enough preparation for the challenge Thompson presents.

Thompson’s consistency and tactical approach, particularly against opponents ranked outside the top tier, have been impressive. His ability to remain focused and capitalise on opportunities suggests that he is well-placed to advance further in the tournament. Given Arnaldi’s recent struggles against top-level competition, Thompson’s current momentum could see him through to a comfortable victory.

Additional Prediction

Bookmaker
Draper to Win vs de Minaur @ 1/1
Reasoning
Sabalenka, in dominant form, is favoured to beat Zheng in straight sets. Zheng has struggled against Sabalenka before, and Sabalenka's powerful serve and baseline play should secure her victory.
Odds subject to change
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In the women’s draw, Ashlyn Krueger’s chances of defeating Liudmila Samsonova should not be underestimated. Despite being ranked 43 places below her opponent, Krueger has had an impressive summer, with notable victories over top players such as Leylah Fernandez, Naomi Osaka, and Mirra Andreeva. Her recent form suggests she is a player on the rise, full of confidence, and capable of pulling off another significant upset.

Samsonova, while a solid performer on hard courts, may find herself under pressure against a home favourite who is improving with each match. Krueger’s ability to play her best tennis in front of the New York crowd could provide the edge needed to secure a win. Backing Krueger to win at higher odds offers a valuable opportunity, given her current trajectory and recent performances.

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Steve Harrington
Steve Harrington is a sportswriter whose heart beats for football. With a passion that began in the grassroots, he's witnessed the magic of the game from local pitches to grand stadiums. Over the past 7 years, Steve has lent his expertise to several online publications, chronicling the ever-evolving world of football. Beyond his professional pursuits, he holds a special affection for Burnley Football Club, cherishing every triumph and tribulation. Steve believes in the power of storytelling and its ability to bring the beautiful game closer to its ardent fans.