Atletico Madrid vs Valencia Predictions

Atletico Madrid vs Valencia predictions for this La Liga clash. Atletico Madrid hosts Valencia in a captivating La Liga match on Sunday evening at the Wanda Metropolitano stadium. Who will prevail? Read on for our free match preview and betting tips

Atletico Madrid
Valencia

La Liga | Gameweek 22 – Jan 28, 2024 at 8pm UK at Estadio Civitas Metropolitano

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Atletico Madrid vs Valencia Predictions

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Reason for tip: Brest's form and defensive strength, against Strasbourg's scoring ability but defensive issues, suggest a likely narrow win for Brest, given their away consistency.

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Reason for tip: Brest's balanced attack and Strasbourg's defensive weaknesses suggest a 1-3 victory for Brest, exploiting gaps while keeping defensive solidity.

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Atletico Madrid’s Home Strength Faces Valencia’s Resurgence

Key Stats
– Atletico Madrid have won 19 of their last 21 home La Liga games.
– Valencia have scored in 8 of their 11 away games this season.
– Alvaro Morata, Atletico’s top scorer, has been pivotal in their recent successes.

The Wanda Metropolitano stadium is set to witness a captivating La Liga clash as Atletico Madrid, occupying the fourth spot in the league, take on an in-form Valencia side that sits seventh. This match promises to be a tactical battle between Diego Simeone’s robust home record and Ruben Baraja’s rejuvenated Valencia squad.

Atletico Madrid’s Sturdy Home Form

Atletico Madrid under Diego Simeone have been a fortress at home, with an impressive record at the Wanda Metropolitano. Their recent 1-0 victories in Copa del Rey and La Liga are testament to their resilient and efficient style of play. However, with an eye on the Champions League clash against Inter Milan, Simeone might have to juggle his squad to maintain their intensity across competitions.

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Valencia’s Striking Turnaround

Contrasting their last season’s dismal finish, Valencia have turned the tide under Baraja’s guidance. Their current unbeaten streak since December and four consecutive league wins have surged them into the top half of the table. Their recent triumph over Athletic Bilbao, a direct competitor for European spots, underlines their improved competitiveness.

Tactical Dynamics and Key Player Matchups

  • Atletico’s Defense vs. Valencia’s Attack: Valencia’s main threat, Hugo Duro, could exploit Atletico’s rare defensive lapses. Meanwhile, Atletico’s experienced defenders like Gimenez and Hermoso will need to be vigilant.
  • Midfield Battle: The control of the midfield will be crucial. Atletico’s Koke and Llorente’s potential return could be pivotal in dictating the game’s tempo.
  • Set-Piece Threats: Both teams have shown proficiency in set-pieces, and this could be a decisive factor in a tightly contested match.

Expected Lineups and Strategy Insights

Atletico Madrid’s Expected Lineup: Oblak; Witsel, Gimenez, Hermoso; Molina, Llorente, Koke, De Paul, Lino; Morata, Griezmann

Valencia’s Expected Lineup: Mamardashvili; Foulquier, Mosquera, Paulista, Gaya; F Perez, Guillamon, Pepelu, Guerra; Duro, D Lopez

Atletico Madrid’s lineup suggests a balanced approach with a strong defensive core and creativity from players like Griezmann and Morata in attack. Valencia is expected to focus on a solid defensive setup while looking for counter-attacking opportunities through Duro and Lopez.

Managerial Comparison

Diego Simeone’s tactical acumen, especially at home, is widely respected, but his approach is often criticised for being too defensive. Ruben Baraja, on the other hand, has instilled a sense of belief and attacking flair in Valencia, though his team’s consistency, particularly in away games, is yet to be proven.

Lineup Commentary

Atletico Madrid: Simeone’s side is expected to be defensively solid while offering threats through the likes of Griezmann and Morata. Llorente’s potential return could add dynamism to their midfield.

Valencia: Under Baraja, Valencia is likely to adopt a cautious approach but will not shy away from attacking through Duro and Lopez. Their solidity at the back will be key to containing Atletico’s forwards.

Predictions and Rationale

Prediction 1: Both Teams to Score

Rationale: Given Atletico’s occasional defensive vulnerabilities at home and Valencia’s recent scoring form, it’s likely that both teams will find the net.

Prediction 2: Correct Score – Atletico Madrid 2-1 Valencia

Rationale: Atletico’s strong home record and Valencia’s improved form suggest a close game, with Atletico edging it due to their experience and tactical discipline.

Prediction 3: Goalscorer – Alvaro Morata to Score

Rationale: Morata has been in fine form, and his ability to exploit spaces in Valencia’s defence makes him a prime candidate to score.

Prediction 4: Corner Prediction – Atletico Madrid to Have More Corners

Rationale: Atletico’s attacking style, combined with Valencia’s defensive approach, might result in more corners for the hosts. Expect a total of over 8 corners in the game.

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Reason for tip: Brest's form and defensive strength, against Strasbourg's scoring ability but defensive issues, suggest a likely narrow win for Brest, given their away consistency.

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Reason for tip: Brest's balanced attack and Strasbourg's defensive weaknesses suggest a 1-3 victory for Brest, exploiting gaps while keeping defensive solidity.

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Gerard Gabasa
Gerard Gabasa is our go-to football expert for all things Spanish. His passion for the game is evident in every analysis he offers. Having played professionally with Málaga's youth team, Gerard blends firsthand experience with deep insights. While he didn't ascend to the senior ranks, this stint enriched his understanding of the game's nuances. Over the years, Gerard has crafted in-depth match analyses and player evaluations that showcase his profound knowledge. With Gerard, expect a seasoned perspective on Spanish football every time.