Newcastle vs Tottenham Hotspur Predictions

Newcastle vs Tottenham Hotspur predictions for this Premier League clash. Tottenham have moved into fourth spot as they battle for Champions League football and Newcastle are also fighting for a place in Europe. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Premier League | Gameweek 33 – Apr 13, 2024 at 12:30pm UK at St James Park

Newcastle vs Tottenham Hotspur Predictions

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Tactical Tussle at St James’ Park: A Close Contest Anticipated

In the spotlight of this weekend’s Premier League fixtures, Newcastle United and Tottenham Hotspur prepare to lock horns in what promises to be a riveting encounter at St James’ Park. With both teams aiming to solidify their positions within the upper echelons of the table, this clash carries significant weight for their season aspirations.

Newcastle United’s Resilience

Under Eddie Howe’s stewardship, Newcastle have displayed a commendable blend of attacking flair and defensive solidity. Their recent form, unbeaten in the last three matches and sitting comfortably at eighth, hints at a squad brimming with confidence and tactical discipline. The narrow victory over Fulham showcased their ability to grind out results, a trait that will be crucial against a Spurs side known for its attacking prowess.

Tottenham Hotspur’s Top Four Aspirations

Ange Postecoglou’s Tottenham, on the back of a commanding 3-1 victory against Nottingham Forest, find themselves in a favourable position to clinch a Champions League spot. This win not only highlighted their offensive capabilities but also demonstrated a strategic coherence that has sometimes eluded them, especially in away fixtures.

Key Statistical Insights

• Defensive Discipline vs. Attacking Might: Newcastle’s 52.7% ball possession average and a higher goal tally when compared to Tottenham indicate their balanced approach. Conversely, Tottenham, with a 61.7% possession average, leans heavily on their offensive gameplay.
• Corner Count Conundrum: Newcastle averages 4.58 corners per game, with Tottenham not far behind at 6.10. This statistic suggests a game likely to feature wide attacks and numerous set-piece situations.
• Card Concerns: Both teams average over two yellow cards per game, with key players like Bruno Guimarães and Yves Bissouma often finding themselves in the referee’s book. This aspect could play a pivotal role in the match’s dynamics.

Expected Lineups and Tactical Outlook

Newcastle are expected to deploy a robust lineup, capitalising on Bruno Guimarães’ midfield prowess and Kieran Trippier’s defensive acumen. Tottenham, with the likes of James Maddison and Heung-min Son, will likely focus on exploiting spaces behind Newcastle’s defensive line.

Tactical Deep Dive

Eddie Howe’s Newcastle has been a revelation this season, with a brand of football that balances defensive solidity with attacking verve. Their resilience was on full display when they edged out Fulham in a hard-fought 1-0 victory, a testament to Howe’s emphasis on organisation and discipline. The Magpies’ ability to switch from a robust defensive setup to quick, incisive counter-attacks has been central to their strategy. Players like Bruno Guimarães, with his midfield dominance and penchant for crucial interceptions, and Kieran Trippier, whose set-piece delivery and defensive acumen have been invaluable, embody the dual nature of Howe’s tactical approach.

On the other hand, Tottenham under Postecoglou has been a force of offensive might. The Spurs’ 3-1 victory over Nottingham Forest highlighted their attacking prowess, with Postecoglou favouring a high-intensity, press-oriented game that seeks to dominate possession and create scoring opportunities through intricate passing and wide play. This style has been facilitated by the likes of James Maddison, whose creativity and vision have unlocked defences, and Heung-min Son, whose speed and finishing have been lethal.

However, this offensive gamble has often left Tottenham exposed at the back, a vulnerability Newcastle might exploit. Despite their attacking riches, Spurs’ defensive lapses, as evidenced by the goals conceded this season, point to a potential area of concern for Postecoglou. This contrasts sharply with Howe’s Newcastle, where a more balanced approach has seen them become tough to break down, especially at home.

The expected goals (xG) metric further illustrates the tactical battle at play. Newcastle’s ability to create high-quality chances while maintaining a relatively tight defence gives them a slight edge in this department. Tottenham, while equally proficient offensively, often allow opponents more clear-cut chances, a reflection of their all-out attack mentality.

Critically, while Howe has successfully instilled a collective ethos that sees the team’s sum greater than its individual parts, Postecoglou’s reliance on individual brilliance to breach defences could be his Achilles’ heel. This dependence on key players to perform week in, week out has sometimes left Spurs looking one-dimensional, especially when facing teams that can match their intensity and tactical nous.

In terms of management, while both Howe and Postecoglou have impressed, it’s the latter who might warrant a closer examination. Postecoglou’s unwavering commitment to an attacking creed, while admirable, has at times seemed naïve, especially against teams that have mastered the art of the counter-attack. This stubborn adherence to an offensive dogma, without a solid defensive foundation, could be his undoing in the long term.

To improve, Newcastle could benefit from adding more creativity in the final third, possibly through the transfer market or by further developing the talents of players. Tottenham, meanwhile, needs to address their defensive vulnerabilities by either tweaking their tactical setup to provide more cover for the backline or by bringing in personnel better suited to Postecoglou’s high-octane style.

Analytical Predictions

Best Free Tip: Both Teams to Score

The offensive firepower on both sides, with Newcastle and Tottenham having bagged an impressive number of goals this season, makes “both teams to score” an enticing proposition. Both squads possess players capable of causing havoc in the final third.

Tottenham’s Heung-min Son and Newcastle’s Alexander Isak have consistently demonstrated their goal-scoring prowess, making them substantial threats. Considering the defensive vulnerabilities each team has exhibited, it’s plausible to expect goals from both ends. This prediction is not only based on statistical analysis but also on the tactical setups that favour forward play, making it our best free tip for this encounter.

Correct Score Prediction: Newcastle 2-2 Tottenham

A high-scoring draw is anticipated, taking into account the offensive capabilities of both teams and their defensive lapses. Tottenham’s attacking intensity, combined with Newcastle’s resilience at St James’ Park, sets the stage for an evenly matched contest.

This outcome reflects both teams’ recent forms and their performances in challenging fixtures, suggesting a scoreline that accurately captures the balance of play expected on the day.

Goalscorer Prediction: Heung-min Son to Score Anytime

Heung-min Son stands out as a prime candidate to find the net. His remarkable ability to create opportunities and finish clinically makes him a persistent threat.

Given Son’s form and the expected open nature of the game, which will likely see both sides create numerous scoring chances, backing him to score at any time during the match is a sound prediction. This expectation is further bolstered by Son’s record of stepping up in crucial fixtures, making him a likely name on the scoresheet.

Corner Prediction: Total Corners Over 9.5

Considering the attacking nature of both teams, a game rich in corners is anticipated. Both Newcastle and Tottenham have demonstrated a propensity to win corners, thanks in part to their attacking strategies that often involve wide play and crosses into the box.

The statistical averages and the tactical approaches of both sides lend credence to the prediction of a total corner count exceeding 9.5, reflecting the likelihood of an action-packed match with plenty of set-piece opportunities.

Yellow Card Prediction: Bruno Guimarães to be Booked

Bruno Guimarães’ midfield role often requires him to commit tactical fouls to disrupt opposition attacks, a necessity that has seen him accumulate several bookings.

Given the intensity of this fixture and the likelihood of midfield battles being a crucial aspect of the game’s dynamics, predicting Guimarães to receive a yellow card seems a reasonable expectation. This forecast is supported by his disciplinary record and the nature of his playing style, which, while effective, often puts him at risk of sanction.

Assist Prediction: Kieran Trippier to Make an Assist

Kieran Trippier’s exceptional ability to deliver precise crosses and set-pieces makes him a likely candidate to register an assist. His involvement in Newcastle’s attacking plays, particularly from wide areas, positions him as a pivotal figure in creating scoring opportunities.

Given the expected emphasis on attacking football and the quality of Trippier’s delivery, it is plausible to predict that he will contribute an assist, leveraging his renowned crossing and set-piece expertise.

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