Tennis betting tips: US Open betting tips, outright preview and best bets

Our tennis specialist, Steve Harrington, known for his successful tips in the previous Grand Slams, offers his top bets for the US Open men’s and women’s singles. Read on to find this week’s free Tennis betting tips and previews.

Tennis betting tips: US Open Men’s Single Predictions

Can Zverev Finally Break His Grand Slam Duck at the US Open?

• Alexander Zverev has won a tour-leading 52 matches this season, showcasing his consistent form.
• Sebastian Korda’s recent form includes a title in Washington and a semi-final run in Montreal.
• Carlos Alcaraz has been defeated by Zverev and Korda in recent months, hinting at vulnerability on hardcourts.

Best Bet

The US Open stands as the final Grand Slam of the tennis calendar, a high-stakes conclusion to a demanding season. Situated in the heart of New York, this tournament often produces first-time Grand Slam winners, a testament to the unpredictability and intensity that characterises the event.

The combination of brutal heat, high humidity, and the wear and tear from months of competition make Flushing Meadows a unique battlefield. In recent years, the US Open has seen five out of its last twelve champions lifting their first Grand Slam trophy, a trend that has grown more pronounced with three maiden winners in the last four editions. This pattern suggests that the tournament’s timing, right after an arduous season, and the tough conditions contribute to this phenomenon.

As the tournament draws near, the favourites like Carlos Alcaraz, Novak Djokovic, and Jannik Sinner are under immense pressure, both from the expectations of winning and the physical and mental toll of the season so far. Each of these top players has had their moments of brilliance this year, but none appear invincible, especially with the rapid pace of the courts and the gruelling New York conditions. The surface, a medium-fast Laykold, promises to challenge every player, with organisers aiming to maintain a court pace that demands both power and precision.

In evaluating the potential winners of the 2024 US Open, Alexander Zverev emerges as a compelling choice. The German has consistently knocked on the door of Grand Slam success, and this year, he seems poised to finally break through. Zverev’s form this season has been remarkable; he has claimed a tour-leading 52 wins and displayed a level of fitness and resilience that few can match. While fatigue could be a concern given his 68 matches this year, Zverev is known for his physical robustness, rarely showing signs of weariness on the court.

Zverev’s recent performances further bolster his case. He reached the semi-finals of the Australian Open, where he defeated Alcaraz in a gruelling match before falling to Daniil Medvedev despite leading by two sets. This result underscores both Zverev’s capabilities and the lingering concern about his ability to close out big matches. However, his run to the final at Roland Garros, where he lost to Alcaraz in a tight contest, indicates that he is continuously improving and remains a threat at the highest level.

The US Open has been a strong tournament for Zverev in the past, with two deep runs following his heart-breaking loss in the 2020 final. His powerful serve, which can dominate on the medium-fast Laykold courts, is a significant weapon in his arsenal. Even if the courts play slightly slower than expected, Zverev’s ability to hit through any surface gives him an edge.

Moreover, Zverev’s draw is relatively favourable. As the fourth seed, he avoids the top three players—Alcaraz, Djokovic, and Sinner—until at least the semi-finals. The most formidable opponent in his section appears to be Lorenzo Musetti, a player who has enjoyed a stellar season but has yet to prove himself fully on hardcourts. While Musetti did defeat Zverev at the Olympics, the German’s overall experience and adaptability make him the favourite should they meet again in New York.

Given these factors, Zverev’s odds of 9/1 present significant value, especially for a player of his calibre and current form. His consistency and ability to navigate tough matches make him the best bet for this year’s US Open.

Additional Prediction: Sebastian Korda as a Dark Horse

While Zverev is a strong contender, Sebastian Korda presents an intriguing alternative, especially for those seeking higher odds and a potential dark horse. Korda has had a breakout season, highlighted by his performances on both grass and hardcourts. His victory in Washington and a semi-final run in Montreal demonstrate his capability on North American surfaces, making him a viable threat at the US Open.

Korda’s game is well-suited to the conditions at Flushing Meadows. His powerful groundstrokes and ability to dictate play from the baseline are complemented by a calm demeanour that belies his age. The American has shown a propensity to handle pressure, as evidenced by his recent win against Frances Tiafoe in the Washington final and his victories over top players like Zverev and Taylor Fritz in Montreal.

Korda’s draw also works in his favour. Although he is in the same quarter as Carlos Alcaraz, who has defeated him four times, Korda’s solitary win over the Spaniard on clay offers some hope. The pair have yet to face each other on an outdoor hardcourt, which could level the playing field. If Korda can bring his best to the court, he has the potential to upset Alcaraz and make a deep run in the tournament.

At 7/1 to win his quarter, Korda represents excellent value for those looking to back an outsider. His recent form, coupled with a game that can thrive on the fast-paced US Open courts, makes him a dark horse worth considering.

Tennis betting tips: US Open Women’s Single Predictions

Will the Power Players Dominate or Will a Dark Horse Emerge at the US Open?

• Aryna Sabalenka has reached at least the semi-finals in five of her last six hardcourt Grand Slam events.
• Amanda Anisimova has made it to the final in Toronto, showing signs of a return to top form ahead of the US Open.
• Iga Swiatek has only one hardcourt Grand Slam title out of eleven attempts, suggesting vulnerability on this surface.

Best Bet

The 2024 US Open promises to be an electrifying chapter in women’s tennis, with the tournament’s depth more pronounced than ever. The top players are converging on Flushing Meadows, each bringing a unique set of skills and strategies to the court. With the likes of Iga Swiatek, Aryna Sabalenka, Coco Gauff, and Elena Rybakina leading the charge, the event is set to be a clash of tennis titans.

Yet, as the season has shown, upsets are always on the horizon, with rising stars like Jessica Pegula and dark horses like Jasmine Paolini proving that the established hierarchy is anything but secure. This year’s US Open is not just a test of skill but also of endurance, mental fortitude, and tactical prowess on the medium-fast Laykold courts of New York.

The medium-fast court conditions expected at this year’s US Open will likely play into Sabalenka’s hands, favouring her aggressive baseline game and powerful groundstrokes. With her serve now more reliable than ever, she has become a more complete and dangerous player. Unlike previous years, where her game was sometimes undone by unforced errors and a lack of control, Sabalenka has worked diligently to temper her power with precision. This evolution in her game was on full display in Cincinnati, where she dismantled Swiatek, a player renowned for her ability to absorb and counter power.

Moreover, Sabalenka’s draw looks manageable, particularly when compared to the challenges facing other top contenders. While potential obstacles like Madison Keys or Qinwen Zheng loom, Sabalenka’s current form suggests she is well-equipped to handle them. Her decision to skip the Olympics and focus on preparing for the North American hardcourt swing appears to have paid off, as she looked fresher and more composed than many of her peers in Cincinnati.

The belief within Sabalenka’s camp is that she is peaking at just the right time. Her coach and support team have fine-tuned her preparation, ensuring that she arrives in New York not just physically ready, but mentally sharp as well. This holistic approach to her game, coupled with her natural athleticism and improved tactical awareness, makes her the player to beat at this year’s US Open.

Additional Prediction: Amanda Anisimova to Reach the Final

While Sabalenka is a worthy favourite, Amanda Anisimova presents an intriguing outsider bet to make it all the way to the final of this year’s US Open. Anisimova has long been recognised as one of the most naturally gifted players on the tour, and after enduring years of personal and professional challenges, she now appears to be fulfilling her early promise. The American, granted a wild-card entry into the tournament, has recently shown flashes of her immense potential, particularly in Toronto, where she reached the final.

Anisimova’s game is anchored by her powerful groundstrokes and her ability to take the ball early, often putting her opponents on the back foot. Her performances against top-tier players in recent weeks indicate that she is regaining the confidence and consistency that made her one of the most exciting prospects in women’s tennis. What makes Anisimova especially dangerous is her knack for elevating her game in high-pressure situations—a crucial trait for success in a Grand Slam.

Her first-round match against seventh seed Qinwen Zheng is set to be a stern test, likely setting the stage for her tournament run. Although Zheng is a tough competitor, Anisimova’s current form suggests she has the capability to pull off an upset. If she can navigate this early challenge, the path to the final could become clearer, especially if higher-ranked players stumble under the weight of expectations.

The support of the New York crowd, often a significant factor at the US Open, could provide Anisimova with the additional boost needed in tight matches. With her powerful game, composed demeanour, and the energy of the home fans behind her, Anisimova is poised to be the dark horse who could not only shake up the draw but also make a remarkable run all the way to the final.

Don’t forget to visit our Free Bets page for the best possible value from our today’s predictions.

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