Football Stats Hub

Tromso crestTromso
v
Brighton crestBrighton

UEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 20 Aug, 18:00

Tromso v Brighton Stats

Data last updated: Wed 19 Aug 2026, 07:27 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This UEFA Europa Conference League clash features Tromso hosting Brighton in a fixture that promises attacking intent. Tromso have shown strong offensive form recently, scoring an average of 3.5 goals per game with a 100% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals. Brighton's data is limited, but their European experience suggests they will push forward to challenge Tromso's defense. The match carries significant stakes as both teams seek to assert control early in the competition, setting up a potentially open and high-scoring encounter under uncertain tactical conditions.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Tromso has scored 3.5 goals per game recently, with all matches going over 2.5 goals.
  • Brighton’s data is limited but their European pedigree suggests offensive ambition.
  • Tromso averages 7.5 shots on target per game, indicating strong attacking pressure.
  • Tromso’s recent matches show a 50% BTTS rate, supporting goal-scoring chances from both sides.
  • The model estimates a 78% chance for over 2.5 goals, well above the implied market chance.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model strongly favors Over 2.5 Goals with a 78% probability, driven by Tromso’s prolific scoring and high shot volume. Tromso’s recent matches have consistently produced multiple goals, and their attacking players like Ieltsin Camões and T. Nyhammer contribute significant shot and goal threat. Although Brighton’s data is limited, their European experience and tactical approach suggest they will engage offensively, increasing the likelihood of goals. The current offer positive value with a 20% edge, making this a compelling selection despite some sample size caution.

Tromso scoring rate3.5 goals per game
Strong positive
Tromso shots on target7.5 per game
Strong positive
Model probability78% Over 2.5 Goals
Strong positive
Market implied chance57.8%
Positive
Brighton data availabilityLimited
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with Tromso’s attacking momentum likely to produce multiple goals. Tromso’s recent form and shot volume underline their offensive threat, while Brighton’s European experience suggests they will not sit back, increasing the chance of a high-scoring match.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Attacking threat and match tempo

“Tromso’s dynamic front line, led by Ieltsin Camões and T. Nyhammer, creates a strong attacking foundation that should challenge Brighton’s defense and drive a high-scoring game.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Tromso has scored 3.5 goals per game recently, with all matches going over 2.5 goals.

Brighton’s data is limited but their European pedigree suggests offensive ambition.

Tromso averages 7.5 shots on target per game, indicating strong attacking pressure.

Tromso’s recent matches show a 50% BTTS rate, supporting goal-scoring chances from both sides.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Recent trends over Tromso’s last five matches show a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, underscoring a pattern of high-tempo, open games with multiple scoring opportunities.
  • Although Brighton’s trend data is limited, the fixture’s context and Tromso’s attacking style suggest the match will continue this trend, with goals likely from transitions and set-piece situations.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Tromso

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
13 Aug 2026H CFR 1907 Cluj2-1
06 Aug 2026A CFR 1907 Cluj5-0

Brighton

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Brighton yet.

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Load more odds for this section
Tromso Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 44%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Tromso to WinBet365 guide price · model 32%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Brighton Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Brighton to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Tromso’s recent form strongly supports Over 2.5 Goals, with all their last matches exceeding this threshold and an average of 3.5 goals scored per game. Brighton’s form data is limited, but Tromso’s consistent offensive output and goal involvement from key players suggest the trend will continue, making a high-scoring game probable.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Tromso3.5
Avg goals scored
Brighton-
Tromso0.5
Avg goals conceded
Brighton-
Tromso50%
BTTS rate
Brighton-
Tromso100%
Over 2.5 goals
Brighton-
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Tromso’s recent matches have consistently featured multiple goals, with a 100% Over 2.5 rate and a 50% BTTS rate, reflecting both scoring and conceding tendencies. Brighton’s limited data restricts full analysis, but their European experience implies they will contribute offensively, supporting the likelihood of goals from both sides and a lively scoring contest.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Tromso Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 44%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Tromso to WinBet365 guide price · model 32%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Brighton Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Brighton to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced attractively at 1.73 with a of 78%, indicating clear value. The 20% suggests the market underestimates the likelihood of multiple goals, largely due to Tromso’s recent prolific scoring and offensive pressure. This price is a strong signal to back Over 2.5 Goals, with room for further improvement if Brighton’s attacking intent becomes clearer.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Tromso wins
0Draws
0Brighton wins
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Tromso to WinBet365 guide price · model 32%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Brighton to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
No previous meetings exist between Tromso and Brighton, so head-to-head data cannot inform the prediction. The focus instead rests on recent form, player roles, and tactical context to assess the likely goal output in this first encounter.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Tromso4.5
Avg corners for
Brighton-
Tromso6.5
Avg total corners
Brighton-
Tromso1
Avg yellow cards
Brighton-
Tromso0
Avg shots
Brighton-
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 52% · edge -10.6 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Tromso averages 4.5 corners and 7.5 shots on target per game, indicating sustained attacking pressure and territorial control. Their fouling rate is moderate with one yellow card per game, suggesting a balanced aggression that maintains attacking rhythm. Brighton’s data is sparse, but Tromso’s offensive activity should generate set-piece opportunities and shot volume conducive to goals.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Europa Conference League

Tromso2
Played
Brighton0
Tromso3.5
Avg goals for
Brighton0
Tromso0.5
Avg goals against
Brighton0
Tromso1
Clean sheets
Brighton0
Best odds for this sectionTromso Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Load more odds for this section
Tromso to WinBet365 guide price · model 32%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Brighton Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Brighton to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Tromso’s season statistics reveal a potent attack averaging high shot volumes and goals, while maintaining a relatively low goals-against figure. This balance indicates an aggressive style that creates scoring chances while occasionally conceding, aligning well with an Over 2.5 Goals outcome. Brighton’s season data is insufficient for detailed analysis but their European competition experience suggests they will engage offensively.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Tromso Over 2.5
-Brighton Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Recent trends over Tromso’s last five matches show a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, underscoring a pattern of high-tempo, open games with multiple scoring opportunities. Although Brighton’s trend data is limited, the fixture’s context and Tromso’s attacking style suggest the match will continue this trend, with goals likely from transitions and set-piece situations.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Football predictions hub

Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

More stats pages

Lincoln Red Imps FC v LarneUEFA Europa Conference League · Thu 20 Aug 17:00Inter Turku v FC CopenhagenUEFA Europa Conference League · Thu 20 Aug 17:00FC Midtjylland v HNK RijekaUEFA Europa Conference League · Thu 20 Aug 18:00FC Nordsjaelland v FC ST. GallenUEFA Europa Conference League · Thu 20 Aug 18:00

Competition and hubs

UEFA Europa Conference League hubmore UEFA Europa Conference League analysisfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictions

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre