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Tromso crestTromso
v
Brighton crestBrighton

UEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 20 Aug, 18:00

Tromso v Brighton Stats

Data last updated: Sat 12 Sep 2026, 22:29 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Tromso face Brighton in UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu 20 Aug, 18:00. Tromso managed only one shot on target in the first meeting, a reminder of how little attacking threat they generated while protecting the draw.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2

  • At 4/11, Over 2 implies roughly 73%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 78%.
  • Selection: Over 2.5 Goals.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 78% for Over 2 sits against roughly 73% implied by the current price. Selection: Over 2.5 Goals.

Model chance vs price78% model chance against roughly 73% implied
Neutral
Selection: Over 2.5 Goals.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +4.7 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over that scoring level is the preferred angle because selection: Over 2.5 Goals. Both arrive with attacking , although the challenge facing the visitors is considerably different from the one they encountered at the weekend.

Main risk

Both arrive with attacking , although the challenge facing the visitors is considerably different from the one they encountered at the weekend.

Key Data Signals

Over 2 evidence

Selection: Over 2.5 Goals.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2 notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Tromso

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
13 Aug 2026H CFR 1907 Cluj2-1
06 Aug 2026A CFR 1907 Cluj5-0

Brighton

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Brighton yet.

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Tromso Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Tromso to WinBet365 guide price · model 35%
5
Check odds @ 5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Brighton Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Brighton to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
7Brighton000000
UEFA Europa Conference League standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Tromso3.5
Avg goals scored
Brighton-
Tromso0.5
Avg goals conceded
Brighton-
Tromso50%
BTTS rate
Brighton-
Tromso100%
Over 2.5 goals
Brighton-
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Tromso Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Tromso to WinBet365 guide price · model 35%
5
Check odds @ 5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Brighton Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Over 2.5 Goals is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Tromso wins
0Draws
0Brighton wins
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Tromso to WinBet365 guide price · model 35%
5
Check odds @ 5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Brighton to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Over 2.5 Goals, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Tromso9
Avg corners for
Brighton-
Tromso9
Avg total corners
Brighton-
Tromso1
Avg yellow cards
Brighton-
Tromso0
Avg shots
Brighton-
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Europa Conference League

Tromso4
Played
Brighton2
Tromso1.8
Avg goals for
Brighton2
Tromso1.3
Avg goals against
Brighton0
Tromso2
Clean sheets
Brighton2
Best odds for this sectionTromso Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 30% · edge +15 pts
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Load more odds for this section
Tromso to WinBet365 guide price · model 35%
5
Check odds @ 5
Brighton Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Brighton to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Season data supports Tromso Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Tromso Over 2.5
-Brighton Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Selection: Over 2.5 Goals.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Tromso v Brighton prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Competition and hubs

UEFA Europa Conference League hubmore UEFA Europa Conference League analysisfull betting preview for Tromso v Brightoncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football stats

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre