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ST Mirren crestST Mirren
v
Partick crestPartick

Premiership | Mon 25 May, 20:00

ST Mirren v Partick Stats

Data last updated: Thu 25 Jun 2026, 01:14 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

ST Mirren face Partick in Premiership on Mon 25 May, 20:00. Partick Thistle are unbeaten in 12 consecutive matches across all competitions. With Partick Thistle unbeaten in 12 straight fixtures, breaking their disciplined defensive shape remains a massive obstacle.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Either a home win, an away win, or a draw

  • At 4/6, ST Mirren Win implies roughly 60%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 38%.
  • One team will walk away with a place in next season’s Premiership.
  • Partick have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the ST Mirren Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Price warning

Either a home win, an away win, or a draw is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 60% while the model sits nearer 38% (-22 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Both Teams to Score shows a +24.7 pts edge at 1.95.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 38% for ST Mirren Win sits against roughly 60% implied by the current price. Partick have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the ST Mirren Win angle more than a raw possession edge. One team will walk away with a place in next season’s Premiership.

Model chance vs price38% model chance against roughly 60% implied
Negative
Partick have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
One team will walk away with a place in.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: ST Mirren Win is the preferred angle because one team will walk away with a place in next season’s Premiership. Partick have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the ST Mirren Win angle more than a raw possession edge. Craig McLeish now faces the difficult task of balancing caution with urgency.

Main risk

Craig McLeish now faces the difficult task of balancing caution with urgency.

Key Data Signals

ST Mirren Win evidence

One team will walk away with a place in next season’s Premiership.

Partick have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the ST Mirren Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

ST Mirren Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    ST Mirren3.6
    Avg corners for
    Partick0
    ST Mirren7
    Avg total corners
    Partick0
    ST Mirren1.6
    Avg yellow cards
    Partick1
    ST Mirren9.8
    Avg shots
    Partick0
    Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 55%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 48%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    Premiership hubST Mirren v Partick predictionplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    ST Mirren0.8
    Avg goals scored
    Partick1.33
    ST Mirren1.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Partick1
    ST Mirren40%
    BTTS rate
    Partick100%
    ST Mirren20%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Partick33%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 51% · edge +24.7 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 66%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 36%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickST Mirren to WinBetfred guide price · Model 38% vs implied 57% · edge -19.1 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    ST Mirren Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 48%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 55%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 36%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    ST Mirren to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    ST Mirren

    DDWLL
    Last 51W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 2D 5L
    21 May 2026A Partick1-1
    17 May 2026H Dundee Utd1-1
    12 May 2026A Aberdeen2-0
    09 May 2026H Kilmarnock0-3
    02 May 2026A Dundee0-1

    Partick

    DWD
    Last 51W 2D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 2D 0L
    21 May 2026H ST Mirren1-1
    15 May 2026H Dunfermline2-1
    12 May 2026A Dunfermline1-1
    Market aligned with main pickST Mirren to WinBetfred guide price · Model 38% vs implied 57% · edge -19.1 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Load more odds for this section
    ST Mirren Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 48%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 66%
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    5ST Mirren wins
    2Draws
    3Partick wins
    21 May 2026Partick v ST Mirren1-1
    08 Mar 2026ST Mirren v Partick2-1
    25 Jul 2021ST Mirren v Partick2-0
    07 Oct 2020ST Mirren v Partick4-1
    22 Jul 2017Partick v ST Mirren5-0
    02 May 2015Partick v ST Mirren3-0
    Market aligned with main pickST Mirren to WinBetfred guide price · Model 38% vs implied 57% · edge -19.1 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 36%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    The head-to-head sample gives context for ST Mirren to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Premiership

    ST Mirren40
    Played
    Partick4
    ST Mirren0.8
    Avg goals for
    Partick1
    ST Mirren1.4
    Avg goals against
    Partick1
    ST Mirren10
    Clean sheets
    Partick0
    Market aligned with main pickST Mirren to WinBetfred guide price · Model 38% vs implied 57% · edge -19.1 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Load more odds for this section
    ST Mirren Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 48%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Season data supports ST Mirren to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    10ST Mirren30337917-21
    5ST Mirren343881020-25
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    20%ST Mirren Over 2.5
    33%Partick Over 2.5
    2.7H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: ST Mirren sit at 20% and Partick sit at 33% with the H2H average at 2.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    ST Mirren v Partick prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Premiership hubPremiership hubST Mirren v Partick predictionplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictions

    Next step

    Betting context

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