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São Bernardo crestSão Bernardo
v
Botafogo SP crestBotafogo SP

Serie B | Fri 14 Aug, 23:30

São Bernardo v Botafogo SP Stats

Data last updated: Thu 13 Aug 2026, 06:54 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

São Bernardo and Botafogo SP meet in a Serie B clash where both sides have shown attacking intent but also defensive vulnerabilities. São Bernardo boasts a perfect BTTS record recently and a high over 2.5 goals rate, reflecting open games at home. Botafogo SP, while slightly more conservative, still averages 1.8 goals scored and concedes 1.4 per match, indicating chances at both ends. The mid-table stakes and similar points tally suggest a competitive encounter with both teams likely to find the net, given their offensive patterns and defensive lapses.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • São Bernardo has scored and conceded in 100% of recent matches.
  • Botafogo SP averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
  • Both teams have a combined BTTS rate supporting goal exchanges.
  • São Bernardo’s over 2.5 goals rate is 80%, indicating open play.
  • Botafogo SP’s attacking players show consistent shot and assist involvement.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score at 76% probability, well above the 50% implied chance from , indicating strong value. São Bernardo’s perfect recent BTTS rate and Botafogo SP’s consistent goal scoring and conceding patterns support this. Both teams’ attacking players, such as Badaró and Pedro Vitor, contribute shots and goal threats, reinforcing the likelihood of goals at both ends. Defensive vulnerabilities and open match tempo further enhance the chance of both teams scoring. No data limitations affect this analysis, making the pick a solid football-based selection.

São Bernardo BTTS Rate100% recent matches
Strong positive
Botafogo SP Goal Scoring & Conceding1.8 scored, 1.4 conceded per game
Strong positive
Model Probability76% chance for BTTS
Strong positive
Value Edge26% positive edge over implied odds
Strong positive
Player Attacking ContributionsMultiple players with strong shot and assist stats
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both São Bernardo and Botafogo SP have demonstrated attacking capabilities alongside defensive frailties, making Both Teams to Score a logical choice. The recent perfect BTTS record for São Bernardo and Botafogo SP’s consistent goal involvement underline the tactical openness expected. This bet aligns with the teams’ offensive tendencies and recent match dynamics, offering a well-supported selection for this Serie B fixture.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“The attacking profiles of both teams, combined with their defensive lapses, create a compelling case for Both Teams to Score. São Bernardo’s home form and Botafogo SP’s goal threat from key players like Badaró and Pedro Vitor make this market particularly attractive.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

São Bernardo has scored and conceded in 100% of recent matches.

Botafogo SP averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game.

Both teams have a combined BTTS rate supporting goal exchanges.

São Bernardo’s over 2.5 goals rate is 80%, indicating open play.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last four head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2, indicating moderate scoring.
  • However, recent form and attacking stats suggest a higher tempo and likelihood of over 2.5 goals in this fixture, driven by both teams’ offensive patterns and defensive vulnerabilities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

São Bernardo2
Avg goals scored
Botafogo SP1.8
São Bernardo2
Avg goals conceded
Botafogo SP1.4
São Bernardo100%
BTTS rate
Botafogo SP60%
São Bernardo80%
Over 2.5 goals
Botafogo SP60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 37%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Recent goal trends show São Bernardo scoring and conceding in every match, while Botafogo SP maintains a solid goal-scoring and conceding record. This combination supports a high likelihood of goals at both ends, with open play and attacking intent driving the BTTS outcome.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Botafogo SP Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Botafogo SP to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 75%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
São Bernardo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
DrawBetUK guide price · model 26%
3
Check odds @ 3
The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively with implying a 50% chance, while the model estimates a 76% probability, indicating clear value. This discrepancy reflects the strong attacking and defensive patterns of both teams, making the market a positive value bet rather than a price-sensitive watch-only angle.

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Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

São Bernardo6.8
Avg corners for
Botafogo SP4.67
São Bernardo11
Avg total corners
Botafogo SP14
São Bernardo2.2
Avg yellow cards
Botafogo SP2.33
São Bernardo15
Avg shots
Botafogo SP12
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 67% · edge +2.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 75%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 5.5 CardsBetfred guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
São Bernardo averages nearly 7 corners per game, indicating sustained attacking pressure, while Botafogo SP’s 3.8 corners reflect moderate offensive activity. Both teams have similar yellow card averages, suggesting competitive but not overly aggressive matches, with shot volumes supporting offensive opportunities.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

São Bernardo

WLLDD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
07 Aug 2026A Operario-PR3-1
26 Jul 2026H Ceara3-4
23 Jul 2026A Athletic Club1-2
17 Jul 2026H Avai1-1
12 Jul 2026H Cuiaba2-2

Botafogo SP

WLWDD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
08 Aug 2026H America Mineiro2-1
29 Jul 2026A Fortaleza EC0-1
24 Jul 2026H Juventude4-2
18 Jul 2026A Londrina0-0
11 Jul 2026A Sport Recife3-3
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 79% vs implied 64% · edge +15 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Botafogo SP Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Botafogo SP to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
São Bernardo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
DrawBetUK guide price · model 26%
3
Check odds @ 3
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 55%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
São Bernardo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 29%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
São Bernardo’s recent form includes 5 points from matches with a perfect BTTS rate and a high over 2.5 goals frequency, reflecting open and high-scoring games. Botafogo SP’s 8 points with a 60% BTTS rate and solid goal scoring further confirm both teams’ tendency to be involved in matches with goals at both ends.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3São Bernardo wins
0Draws
1Botafogo SP wins
06 Apr 2026Botafogo SP v São Bernardo1-2
26 Jan 2025Botafogo SP v São Bernardo0-1
19 Feb 2023São Bernardo v Botafogo SP2-1
27 Feb 2022Botafogo SP v São Bernardo1-0
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Botafogo SP to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
DrawBetUK guide price · model 26%
3
Check odds @ 3
São Bernardo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 29%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
The four previous meetings between São Bernardo and Botafogo SP have averaged 2 goals per game, showing moderate scoring but not a strong BTTS trend. This limited sample suggests that current form and attacking tendencies carry more weight in predicting goals than historical results.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie B

São Bernardo21
Played
Botafogo SP21
São Bernardo1.5
Avg goals for
Botafogo SP1.2
São Bernardo1.1
Avg goals against
Botafogo SP1
São Bernardo5
Clean sheets
Botafogo SP4
Best odds for this sectionBotafogo SP Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Load more odds for this section
Botafogo SP to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
São Bernardo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
São Bernardo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 29%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Season-long data shows São Bernardo with a 100% BTTS rate and an 80% over 2.5 goals rate, highlighting offensive strength and defensive openness. Botafogo SP’s 60% BTTS rate and balanced goals for and against underline their role in goal-rich encounters, supporting the BTTS market.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
12São Bernardo30218677
13Botafogo SP27217684
São Bernardo and Botafogo SP sit closely in the mid-table with 30 and 27 points respectively, reflecting similar competitive levels. While standings do not dictate match outcome, the proximity suggests both teams have motivation to attack and secure points, contributing to an open game with goals from both sides.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%São Bernardo Over 2.5
60%Botafogo SP Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
Over the last four head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2, indicating moderate scoring. However, recent form and attacking stats suggest a higher tempo and likelihood of over 2.5 goals in this fixture, driven by both teams’ offensive patterns and defensive vulnerabilities.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

São Bernardo v Botafogo SP prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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