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São Bernardo and Botafogo SP meet in Brazilian Série B following encouraging victories for both sides, with the hosts securing a 1-3 away win over Operário Ferroviário while the visitors recorded a 2-1 victory against América Mineiro. Here’s our Bet Builder pick for São Bernardo v Botafogo SP, which has been placed with Bet365.
D. Davi - 2+ Shots
Player Shots
D. Davi plays a pivotal role in São Bernardo's attacking strategy, frequently positioning himself to take shots on goal. Averaging nearly three shots per 90 minutes across recent games, he consistently looks to test the opposition goalkeeper. Given the open and attacking nature of São Bernardo's matches, where they average two goals per game, Davi is likely to have multiple shooting opportunities, making the 2+ shots selection a reasonable consideration.
Alex Alves - 2+ Saves
Goalkeeper Saves
As São Bernardo's goalkeeper, Alex Alves is expected to face sustained pressure from Botafogo SP, who average over 10 shots and more than three on target per match. Alves has demonstrated the ability to accumulate saves, reaching the 2+ saves mark in several recent games. This suggests that he is well placed to make multiple saves in this fixture, reflecting the anticipated attacking threat from Botafogo SP.
São Bernardo v Botafogo SP - Over 9.0 Corners
Total Corners
Both teams tend to generate a high number of corners due to their attacking styles and territorial battles. São Bernardo's home matches average 11 corners, frequently surpassing the 8.5 corner mark, while Botafogo SP's games see even higher corner counts. The combination of active wing play and defensive pressure is likely to produce a match with more than nine corners, making this market a fitting part of the bet builder.
Rafael Gava - Anytime Assist
Player Assists
Rafael Gava serves as a key creative figure for Botafogo SP, regularly contributing assists by unlocking defences and setting up scoring chances. Having recorded assists in a majority of his recent matches, his involvement in creating goal opportunities is significant. Considering Botafogo SP's attacking output and the need to break down São Bernardo's defence, Gava's anytime assist selection offers an intriguing player prop angle.
However, behind those recent maximum points lie persistent defensive gaps that suggest an open, end-to-end contest. São Bernardo have failed to keep a clean sheet in six consecutive matches, surrendering 12 goals during that period. Botafogo SP have been similarly vulnerable, conceding eight times across their last six fixtures and managing just one clean sheet in that stretch. With both teams regularly giving up chances, combining creative playmaking, goalkeeping workloads, individual shooting output, and wide set-piece volume builds a structured 6/1 Bet Builder feature.
São Bernardo v Botafogo SP Bet Builder Tip
Rafael Gava – Anytime Assist
Botafogo SP’s attacking distribution revolves almost entirely around Rafael Gava, making him the central creative figure in this matchup. Operating across attacking, central, and defensive midfield roles, Gava has registered seven assists across 19 Série B appearances this season, logging 1,336 minutes on the pitch. That output translates to an average of one assist every 190.8 minutes, or roughly 0.47 assists per 90 minutes. Underpinning that return is a volume of high-quality passing: Gava has created 43 total chances—averaging 2.90 chances created per 90 minutes—and crafted five big chances. His set-piece and open-play deliveries are supported by 38 successful crosses completed at a 34.5 per cent accuracy rate.
Gava’s recent form highlights his ongoing importance to Botafogo SP’s goal production. Over his past ten appearances, the 33-year-old midfielder has delivered four assists, providing key passes in victories over Operário Ferroviário, Juventude, and América Mineiro, as well as a high-scoring 3-3 draw against Sport Recife. With 529 successful passes under his belt at an 83.8 per cent success rate, Gava consistently dictates the tempo when Botafogo SP enter the opposition half.
The opposition setup provides a fertile environment for Gava’s passing range. São Bernardo’s recent defensive discipline has faltered, with six consecutive matches without a clean sheet. In their recent 1-3 victory over Operário, São Bernardo surrendered 23 total shots and 37 per cent of possession, pointing to wide spatial gaps and central transitions that a passer of Gava’s caliber can exploit.
The principal counterpoint to backing Gava for an assist lies in his expected metrics and team finishing dependency. Gava’s expected assists (xA) total stands at 3.26, meaning his actual tally of seven assists represents a conversion rate by his teammates that significantly outperforms underlying chance quality. Furthermore, Botafogo SP have experienced matches where overall shooting output stalled, such as a 1-0 defeat to Fortaleza where they failed to score. If Botafogo SP’s forward line suffers a wasteful evening, Gava’s chance creation may go unrewarded.
Nevertheless, facing a São Bernardo defence that has leaked 12 goals in six outings, Gava’s set-piece duties and open-play vision position him as the most direct route to an assist in this fixture.
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Alex Alves – 2+ Saves
São Bernardo goalkeeper Alex Alves faces a steady stream of opposition attempts, establishing two saves as a grounded baseline for the veteran shot-stopper. Across 21 Série B matches this season, Alves has accumulated 70 saves in 1,845 minutes, averaging 3.41 saves per 90 minutes. His save rate stands at 73 per cent from 89 shots on target faced, indicating both a consistent defensive workload and reliable shot-stopping performance.
This high save frequency stems directly from São Bernardo’s defensive structure, which frequently allows opposition shots. In their recent 1-3 victory against Operário Ferroviário, São Bernardo allowed six shots on target from 23 total attempts, forcing Alves into five saves. Botafogo SP bring sufficient shooting output to test Alves regularly, having registered 14 total shots with four on target in their 2-1 win over América Mineiro. In the previous head-to-head meeting between these clubs in April, Botafogo SP logged 15 shots on goal with three hitting the target.
A potential counterpoint stems from fixtures where São Bernardo dominate territory and reduce opposition attempts. In lower-tempo encounters, such as their 0-0 draw with Sport Recife or 1-0 loss to Criciúma, total shots on target remained low. However, given that São Bernardo have surrendered 12 goals in their last six matches and Botafogo SP regularly hit three or four shots on target, Alves should comfortably be called upon to make at least two stops.
D. Davi – 2+ Shots
D. Davi operates as an active focal point in São Bernardo’s front line, consistently generating shooting opportunities. Davi averages nearly three shots per 90 minutes across recent appearances, frequently taking early attempts when entering the final third.
São Bernardo’s overall attacking baseline supports individual shot accumulation. In their 1-3 victory over Operário Ferroviário, São Bernardo recorded 15 shots on goal, while taking 11 shots in their earlier encounter against Botafogo SP. Botafogo SP’s defensive record further enables opposition attempts: they have conceded eight goals across their last six fixtures and allowed 14 total shots in their previous outing against América Mineiro.
The main risk to this selection lies in match state and possession control. São Bernardo managed only 37 per cent possession against Operário. If Botafogo SP starve São Bernardo of sustained possession in advanced areas, Davi’s shooting opportunities could be limited. However, given his baseline of nearly three attempts per 90 minutes and São Bernardo’s willingness to shoot from distance, reaching two total shots remains a reasonable expectation.
Over 9.0 Corners
The wide play patterns and transition volume of both teams point toward a match total exceeding nine corners. São Bernardo’s home fixtures average 11 corners, frequently passing higher line thresholds due to their direct wing play and tendency to concede high opposition shot volumes. Botafogo SP’s matches similarly reflect high restart counts, driven by active crossing from wide areas.
Rafael Gava’s 38 successful crosses for Botafogo SP illustrate a tactical emphasis on wide deliveries that frequently yield block-aways and corner restarts. Furthermore, both teams combined for 26 shots in their previous April meeting and registered 15 and 14 shots respectively in their latest league games. High total shot counts naturally produce deflections, goalkeeper parries, and forced clearances over the end line.
The counterpoint is a match disrupted by frequent central fouls or slow build-up play, which can prevent sustained wide attacks. Nevertheless, with São Bernardo averaging 11 corners in home matches and both sides displaying clear defensive flaws, the conditions support a combined corner count entering double figures.
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