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Criciuma crestCriciuma
v
Goias crestGoias

Serie B | Sat 15 Aug, 20:00

Criciuma v Goias Stats

Data last updated: Fri 14 Aug 2026, 07:30 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Criciuma hosts Goias in a Serie B clash where both teams have shown mixed attacking and defensive traits this season. Criciuma leads the standings but has a modest goal output, while Goias, sitting eighth, tends to be more open in matches. Recent form data shows both sides capable of scoring but also prone to conceding, setting up a contest where goals at both ends are plausible. Tactical balance and the stakes of maintaining league positions add to the competitive edge of this fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Criciuma and Goias have combined BTTS rates of 20% and 60% respectively this season.
  • Both teams average around 12 shots per game, indicating offensive intent.
  • Goias ranks 8th with 32 points; Criciuma leads with 40 points, reflecting competitive stakes.
  • The head-to-head average goals over 10 matches is 2.3, supporting a goal-scoring encounter.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 56.7% chance for both teams to score, well above the implied market chance of 44.4%, indicating positive value at 2.25 . Both sides show offensive activity with similar shot volumes and key attacking players like Kadu and E. García for Goias, and R. Otero and Cauê for Criciuma, contributing to goal threats. Defensive vulnerabilities and recent form data support the likelihood of goals at both ends, making BTTS a strong tactical and statistical pick for this match.

Model Chance vs Implied Chance56.7% vs 44.4%
Strong positive
Shot Volume and QualityBoth teams average ~12 shots with multiple players having high shots on target
Positive
Recent BTTS RatesCriciuma 20%, Goias 60%
Neutral
Head-to-Head Goals Average2.3 goals per match over last 10 meetings
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown the ability to find the net this season, with Goias particularly prone to conceding. Criciuma's home advantage and attacking players suggest they will score, while Goias' offensive threats like Kadu and E. García increase the chance of goals at both ends. This match is tactically balanced with enough attacking intent to expect both teams to score.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“The attacking profiles of both teams, combined with their defensive vulnerabilities, make both teams to score a compelling angle in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Criciuma and Goias have combined BTTS rates of 20% and 60% respectively this season.

Both teams average around 12 shots per game, indicating offensive intent.

Goias ranks 8th with 32 points; Criciuma leads with 40 points, reflecting competitive stakes.

The head-to-head average goals over 10 matches is 2.3, supporting a goal-scoring encounter.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2.3, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend.
  • Criciuma's lower over 2.5 goals rate (20%) contrasts with Goias' 40%, suggesting Goias' attacking style influences the match tempo and goal likelihood.
  • This trend supports a game with multiple goal-scoring opportunities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Criciuma1
Avg goals scored
Goias1.2
Criciuma0.6
Avg goals conceded
Goias1
Criciuma20%
BTTS rate
Goias60%
Criciuma20%
Over 2.5 goals
Goias40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 44% · edge +12.3 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
5
Check odds @ 5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Goal analysis shows Criciuma averages 1 goal per game with a low BTTS rate of 20%, while Goias averages 1.2 goals and a higher BTTS rate of 60%. The head-to-head average of 2.3 goals suggests matches tend to have multiple goals, supporting a BTTS outcome despite Criciuma's more cautious approach.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Criciuma

LDWWW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 2D 1L
09 Aug 2026A Athletic Club0-2
26 Jul 2026H Nautico Recife0-0
21 Jul 2026A Novorizontino1-0
18 Jul 2026H Vila Nova2-0
09 Jul 2026A Ponte Preta2-1

Goias

WLDWD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
10 Aug 2026H Londrina1-0
26 Jul 2026A America Mineiro0-1
23 Jul 2026H Sport Recife1-1
18 Jul 2026A Ponte Preta2-1
12 Jul 2026A CRB2-2
Best odds for this sectionCriciuma Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 53% · edge +8.8 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Goias to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 79%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Criciuma to WinBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Goias Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Recent form data shows Criciuma with 10 points and Goias with 8 points from their last matches, reflecting competitive momentum. Both teams have similar goal-scoring patterns, with Criciuma conceding less but scoring fewer goals, while Goias is more open defensively but more prolific offensively. This balance supports the likelihood of goals at both ends in the upcoming fixture.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Criciuma402111739
9Goias3221957-4
Criciuma sits top of Serie B, emphasizing their strong overall performance, while Goias is positioned eighth, aiming to climb. The standings highlight the stakes for both teams: Criciuma to maintain leadership and Goias to push for higher placement. This competitive context suggests both teams will seek goals to secure vital points.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 44% · edge +12.3 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Criciuma Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Goias to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Criciuma to WinBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Goias Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively at 2.25 with a of 56.7%, indicating clear value. The implied market chance is 44.4%, showing the market underestimates the likelihood of both teams scoring. This price offers a strong incentive to back BTTS with standard stake guidance.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Criciuma6
Avg corners for
Goias5.2
Criciuma9
Avg total corners
Goias9.8
Criciuma2
Avg yellow cards
Goias1.8
Criciuma13.75
Avg shots
Goias12
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Both teams generate similar shot volumes, around 12 per game, with Goias slightly edging in shots on target. Criciuma averages 6 corners per match compared to Goias' 5.2, indicating balanced territorial pressure. Card counts are moderate, with Criciuma averaging 2.25 yellows and Goias 1.8, suggesting a controlled but competitive match environment.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Criciuma wins
4Draws
4Goias wins
07 Apr 2026Goias v Criciuma1-0
26 Oct 2025Criciuma v Goias1-2
08 Jul 2025Goias v Criciuma1-1
18 Mar 2022Goias v Criciuma1-0
01 Nov 2018Criciuma v Goias2-2
14 Jul 2018Goias v Criciuma2-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 44% · edge +12.3 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Goias to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Criciuma to WinBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
The last 10 meetings between Criciuma and Goias have averaged 2.3 goals per game, showing a history of relatively open contests. This supports the expectation of goals from both sides, although the sample size is moderate and current form and tactical approaches should be weighted more heavily.
Season team stats

Serie B

Criciuma21
Played
Goias0
Criciuma1.1
Avg goals for
Goias-
Criciuma0.7
Avg goals against
Goias-
Criciuma10
Clean sheets
Goias-
Best odds for this sectionCriciuma Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 53% · edge +8.8 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Load more odds for this section
Goias to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Criciuma to WinBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Goias Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Season-long statistics reveal Criciuma leads the league with 40 points and a solid defensive record, conceding 0.6 goals per game. Goias, with 32 points, concedes more at 1 goal per game but scores slightly more. Both teams' BTTS rates and goal averages suggest a tactical setup that allows for offensive opportunities, reinforcing the BTTS pick.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Criciuma Over 2.5
40%Goias Over 2.5
2.3H2H avg goals
Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2.3, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend. Criciuma's lower over 2.5 goals rate (20%) contrasts with Goias' 40%, suggesting Goias' attacking style influences the match tempo and goal likelihood. This trend supports a game with multiple goal-scoring opportunities.

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Fixture links

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