Ceara
CuiabaSerie B | Sat 15 Aug, 20:00
Ceara v Cuiaba Stats
Data last updated: Fri 14 Aug 2026, 07:30 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Ceara hosts Cuiaba in a Serie B clash where both teams sit just above the relegation zone, separated by a single point. Ceara's recent form shows more promise with 8 points from their last matches compared to Cuiaba's 3, reflecting a slight momentum edge. Both sides have struggled for goals, but Ceara's home advantage and slightly better defensive record suggest they will look to control the game tactically and secure vital points in this tight contest. The fixture carries high stakes for survival, adding intensity to the encounter.
Ceara to Win
- Ceara holds a 70.6% to win, indicating strong statistical support.
- Recent form favors Ceara with 8 points versus Cuiaba's 3 in recent matches.
- Ceara averages more shots (16) and shots on target (5.4) per game than Cuiaba.
- The teams have a low Over 2.5 Goals rate (20%), suggesting a tighter defensive battle likely.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The model strongly favors Ceara to win with a 70.6% chance, well above the implied market probability of 48.8%, creating a significant of 21.8%. Ceara's superior recent form, higher shot volume, and better defensive record underpin this . While both teams have low scoring rates, Ceara's home advantage and attacking activity provide a clear edge. No data limitations or price warnings apply, making this a solid pick with standard staking recommended.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
Ceara's recent form and home attacking activity give them a tactical and statistical advantage over Cuiaba. Their ability to create more chances and maintain a tighter defense suggests they are well placed to secure victory in this crucial Serie B fixture.
Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.
Quote from Expert
BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome
“Ceara's edge in shot creation and defensive solidity at home makes them the logical choice to take all three points against a struggling Cuiaba side.”
Key Data Signals
Ceara to Win evidence
Ceara holds a 70.6% to win, indicating strong statistical support.
Recent form favors Ceara with 8 points versus Cuiaba's 3 in recent matches.
Ceara averages more shots (16) and shots on target (5.4) per game than Cuiaba.
The teams have a low Over 2.5 Goals rate (20%), suggesting a tighter defensive battle likely.
What To Watch In The Data
Ceara to Win notes
- In the last five meetings, the average goals scored have been 1.8 per match, reinforcing the low-scoring trend.
- The Over 2.5 Goals rate at 20% for both teams suggests a cautious tempo with limited attacking breakthroughs, indicating that goals will likely come from key moments rather than open play.
Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
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Continue the research
Useful next reads
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
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Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Ceara
Cuiaba
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Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Season team stats
Serie B
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League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Cuiaba | 29 | 22 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 2 |
| 16 | Ceara | 25 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | -5 |
Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.
