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Santos crestSantos
v
Coritiba crestCoritiba

Serie A | Sun 17 May, 15:00

Santos v Coritiba Stats

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 2, Both Teams to Score is priced at roughly 50% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 73%, so the current line is showing a +23.3-point value edge.
  • Santos have scored in 100% of the recent sample and Coritiba have scored in 80%, with BTTS rates of 60% and 60%.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Santos have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Coritiba have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 60% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 2, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 50% · edge +23.3 pts
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
3.1
Bet HERE @ 3.1
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.35
Bet HERE @ 1.35
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 24%
5.5
Bet HERE @ 5.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 44%
2.15
Bet HERE @ 2.15
DrawBetUK guide price · model 25%
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

40%Santos Over 2.5
60%Coritiba Over 2.5
2.1H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Santos

WDDLW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
10 May 2026H RB Bragantino2-0
02 May 2026A Palmeiras1-1
25 Apr 2026A Bahia2-2
19 Apr 2026H Fluminense2-3
12 Apr 2026H Atletico-MG1-0

Coritiba

DLLWD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
09 May 2026H Internacional2-2
02 May 2026A Vitoria1-4
26 Apr 2026A Gremio0-1
19 Apr 2026H Atletico-MG2-0
12 Apr 2026A Botafogo2-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 85% vs implied 89% · edge -4.5 pts
1.12
Bet HERE @ 1.12
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
3.1
Bet HERE @ 3.1
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.35
Bet HERE @ 1.35
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 24%
5.5
Bet HERE @ 5.5
DrawBetUK guide price · model 25%
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 49%
1.53
Bet HERE @ 1.53
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Santos1.6
Avg goals scored
Coritiba1.4
Santos1.2
Avg goals conceded
Coritiba1.8
Santos60%
BTTS rate
Coritiba60%
Santos40%
Over 2.5 goals
Coritiba60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 50% · edge +23.3 pts
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 44%
2.15
Bet HERE @ 2.15
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.36
Bet HERE @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
4
Bet HERE @ 4
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 31%
1.75
Bet HERE @ 1.75
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

7Santos wins
2Draws
1Coritiba wins
13 May 2026Coritiba v Santos0-2
22 Apr 2026Santos v Coritiba0-0
12 Nov 2024Coritiba v Santos0-2
23 Jul 2024Santos v Coritiba4-0
27 Oct 2023Santos v Coritiba2-1
10 Jun 2023Coritiba v Santos0-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 50% · edge +23.3 pts
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 24%
5.5
Bet HERE @ 5.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 44%
2.15
Bet HERE @ 2.15
DrawBetUK guide price · model 25%
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Santos5
Avg corners for
Coritiba3
Santos10.6
Avg total corners
Coritiba9
Santos2.8
Avg yellow cards
Coritiba2
Santos11.8
Avg shots
Coritiba8.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
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Over 5.5 CardsBetMGM guide price
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleRodrigo Moledo Anytime GoalscorerRodrigo Moledo · 1 goals · 3.46 SOT/90
86/100
Bet HERE
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Rodrigo Moledo 1+ Shot On TargetRodrigo Moledo · 3.46 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
Rodrigo Moledo 2+ ShotsRodrigo Moledo · 3.46 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
B. Rollheiser To Assist / Key Pass AngleB. Rollheiser · 0 assists · 4.27 key passes/90
73/100
Bet HERE
Lucas Ronier To Be FouledLucas Ronier · 2.7 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Wallisson Card RiskWallisson · 3 yellows · 3.65 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Rodrigo Moledo
Rodrigo MoledoCoritiba · Defender
Goal threat100/100
Shots /903.46
SOT /903.46
B. Rollheiser
B. RollheiserSantos · Attacker
Goal threat65/100
Shots /902.26
SOT /901.76
Neymar
NeymarSantos · Attacker
Goal threat62/100
Shots /902.17
SOT /900.87
Moisés
MoisésSantos · Attacker
Goal threat53/100
Shots /901.61
SOT /901.61
Wallisson
WallissonCoritiba · Midfielder
Goal threat6/100
Shots /900.46
SOT /900
Thiago Santos
Thiago SantosCoritiba · Midfielder
Goal threat3/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
T. Rincón
T. RincónSantos · Midfielder
Goal threat1/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
Season team stats

Serie A

Santos15
Played
Coritiba15
Santos1.4
Avg goals for
Coritiba1.2
Santos1.5
Avg goals against
Coritiba1.3
Santos4
Clean sheets
Coritiba4
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 42% vs implied 32% · edge +9.7 pts
3.1
Bet HERE @ 3.1
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.35
Bet HERE @ 1.35
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 24%
5.5
Bet HERE @ 5.5
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
10Coritiba2015555-1
15Santos1815465-1

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.