Santos
CoritibaSerie A | Sun 17 May, 15:00
Santos v Coritiba Stats
Data last updated: Sun 07 Jun 2026, 09:41 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Santos face Coritiba in Serie A on Sun 17 May, 15:00. Cuca's side have historically dominated this fixture, winning seven of the last ten meetings. Santos have re-energised their campaign with consecutive victories, including a midweek cup triumph away against Coritiba.
Santos Win
- At 8/13, Santos Win implies roughly 62%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 60%.
- Santos are dynamic going forward but carry defensive vulnerabilities, having conceded 22 goals while scoring 21.
- Santos have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 5 for Coritiba.
- Santos have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Santos Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
- Santos sit 15 in the table, while Coritiba sit 7, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The 60% for Santos Win sits against roughly 62% implied by the current price. Santos have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 5 for Coritiba. Santos are dynamic going forward but carry defensive vulnerabilities, having conceded that scoring level while scoring 21.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Santos Win is the preferred angle because santos are dynamic going forward but carry defensive vulnerabilities, having conceded that scoring level while scoring 21. Santos have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 5 for Coritiba. Coritiba possess attacking references like Pedro Rocha but lack consistency.
Coritiba possess attacking references like Pedro Rocha but lack consistency.
Key Data Signals
Santos Win evidence
Santos are dynamic going forward but carry defensive vulnerabilities, having conceded 22 goals while scoring 21.
Santos have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 5 for Coritiba.
Santos have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Santos Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Santos sit 15 in the table, while Coritiba sit 7, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
What To Watch In The Data
Santos Win notes
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Santos
Coritiba
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Continue the research
Useful next reads
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Coritiba | 26 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 | Santos | 21 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | -3 |
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
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Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Season team stats
Serie A
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Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

