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Santa Clara crestSanta Clara
v
Famalicao crestFamalicao

Primeira Liga | Sun 23 Aug, 18:00

Santa Clara v Famalicao Stats

Data last updated: Fri 18 Sep 2026, 15:02 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Santa Clara face Famalicao in Primeira Liga on Sun 23 Aug, 18:00. Santa Clara rely heavily on Goncalo Paciencia, who has scored all their league goals this season. Famalicao’s unbeaten away run and higher shot accuracy put pressure on Santa Clara’s defence, which concedes 1.2 goals per game.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 1/1, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 50%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 65%.
  • Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.
  • Santa Clara show a 50% BTTS rate and Famalicao show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Santa Clara average 1.5 goals scored and Famalicao average 1, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 65% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price. Santa Clara show a 50% BTTS rate and Famalicao show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Model chance vs price65% model chance against roughly 50% implied
Strong positive
Santa Clara show a 50% BTTS rate and Famalicao show.Visible data support
Positive
Santa Clara average 1.5 goals scored and Famalicao average 1.Visible data support
Positive
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Santa Clara show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Famalicao show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. That reliance makes Paciencia the obvious attacking reference point, but Santa Clara’s overall numbers suggest they are not creating an overwhelming volume of opportunities.

Main risk

That reliance makes Paciencia the obvious attacking reference point, but Santa Clara’s overall numbers suggest they are not creating an overwhelming volume of opportunities.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Santa Clara show a 50% BTTS rate and Famalicao show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Santa Clara average 1.5 goals scored and Famalicao average 1, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Santa Clara3
Avg corners for
Famalicao5.5
Santa Clara7
Avg total corners
Famalicao9.5
Santa Clara2.5
Avg yellow cards
Famalicao1.5
Santa Clara13.5
Avg shots
Famalicao10
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
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Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 35%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Santa Clara1.5
Avg goals scored
Famalicao1
Santa Clara1
Avg goals conceded
Famalicao1.5
Santa Clara50%
BTTS rate
Famalicao100%
Santa Clara50%
Over 2.5 goals
Famalicao50%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.5
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Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 30%
5
Check odds @ 5
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Santa Clara Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Santa Clara to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Famalicao to WinBetMGM guide price · model 29%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Famalicao Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Santa Clara

WD
Last 51W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 0L
15 Aug 2026A Academico Viseu1-0
10 Aug 2026H Nacional2-2

Famalicao

LD
Last 50W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 1L
16 Aug 2026H Maritimo1-2
07 Aug 2026A Estoril1-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 71% · edge -0.4 pts
1.4
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Santa Clara Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Santa Clara to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Famalicao to WinBetMGM guide price · model 29%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Famalicao Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Santa Clara wins
1Draws
6Famalicao wins
18 Jan 2026Santa Clara v Famalicao0-1
10 Aug 2025Famalicao v Santa Clara3-0
10 May 2025Santa Clara v Famalicao2-1
30 Dec 2024Famalicao v Santa Clara1-2
24 Nov 2024Famalicao v Santa Clara0-1
19 Feb 2023Santa Clara v Famalicao1-3
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Santa Clara to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Famalicao to WinBetMGM guide price · model 29%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Primeira Liga

Santa Clara6
Played
Famalicao6
Santa Clara1.8
Avg goals for
Famalicao0.8
Santa Clara0.7
Avg goals against
Famalicao1.2
Santa Clara3
Clean sheets
Famalicao1
Best odds for this sectionSanta Clara Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 52% vs implied 51% · edge +1.8 pts
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
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Santa Clara to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Famalicao to WinBetMGM guide price · model 29%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Famalicao Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Season data supports Santa Clara Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
4Santa Clara1464207
13Famalicao46042-2
Santa Clara sit in position 4, while Famalicao sit in position 13, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score YES assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Santa Clara Over 2.5
50%Famalicao Over 2.5
1.9H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Santa Clara sit at 50% and Famalicao sit at 50% with the H2H average at 1.9 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.