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Santa Clara crestSanta Clara
v
Famalicao crestFamalicao

Primeira Liga | Sun 23 Aug, 18:00

Santa Clara v Famalicao Stats

Data last updated: Sat 22 Aug 2026, 07:38 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Santa Clara and Famalicao meet in a Primeira Liga clash where both sides have shown mixed early-season form. Santa Clara sits 6th with 4 points, while Famalicao is 12th with just 1 point. Both teams have scored and conceded regularly, reflecting open games and attacking intent. Famalicao's offense, led by U. Abubakar, is active despite their low points tally, while Santa Clara's Gonçalo Paciência provides a key goal threat. This match promises offensive opportunities on both sides, with defensive vulnerabilities suggesting goals at both ends are likely.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have a combined BTTS rate of 75% this season.
  • Santa Clara averages 13.5 shots per game, Famalicao 10, indicating offensive activity.
  • Famalicao has a 100% BTTS rate in recent matches, showing consistent scoring and conceding.
  • Top attackers Gonçalo Paciência and U. Abubakar have strong shot and goal involvement.
  • Both teams have a 50% Over 2.5 Goals rate, supporting an open game scenario.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, reflecting strong offensive signals from Santa Clara and Famalicao. Both sides have shown consistent goal-scoring and conceding patterns, with Famalicao's perfect BTTS rate in recent games and Santa Clara's attacking volume. The at 2.05 offer positive value given the implied chance is under 50%. Player data, including Gonçalo Paciência's goal threat and U. Abubakar's shot volume, reinforce the likelihood of goals at both ends. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Model Chance76%
Strong positive
Implied Chance48.8%
Positive
BTTS Recent RateSanta Clara 50%, Famalicao 100%
Strong positive
Top Scorers' InvolvementHigh shots and goals on target
Strong positive
Over 2.5 Goals RateBoth teams 50%
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities, making both teams to score a sensible pick. Santa Clara's home form and Famalicao's consistent scoring despite poor results suggest goals at both ends. The data supports a lively match with chances for both sides to find the net.

Main risk

That reliance makes Paciencia the obvious attacking reference point, but Santa Clara’s overall numbers suggest they are not creating an overwhelming volume of opportunities.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS market rationale

“Santa Clara and Famalicao's attacking profiles and recent BTTS trends make this market appealing. Both sides create chances and concede regularly, setting up a fixture where goals at both ends are highly probable.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have a combined BTTS rate of 75% this season.

Santa Clara averages 13.5 shots per game, Famalicao 10, indicating offensive activity.

Famalicao has a 100% BTTS rate in recent matches, showing consistent scoring and conceding.

Top attackers Gonçalo Paciência and U. Abubakar have strong shot and goal involvement.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last 10 meetings, the average goals per game is 1.9, indicating moderate scoring.
  • Both teams have a 50% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season, suggesting a balanced tempo with potential for goals.
  • The trend points to a match where both sides can find the net, consistent with the BTTS pick.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Santa Clara2
Avg corners for
Famalicao5
Santa Clara6
Avg total corners
Famalicao6
Santa Clara3
Avg yellow cards
Famalicao1
Santa Clara8
Avg shots
Famalicao14
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 29% vs implied 55% · edge -25.6 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Santa Clara averages 3 corners per game while Famalicao averages 5.5, indicating Famalicao's attacking pressure and territorial advantage in wide areas. Shot volumes are healthy for both teams, with Santa Clara averaging 13.5 shots and Famalicao 10, reflecting sustained offensive efforts and opportunities for goals.

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Useful next reads

Primeira Liga hubSanta Clara v Famalicao predictionfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Santa Clara1.5
Avg goals scored
Famalicao1
Santa Clara1
Avg goals conceded
Famalicao1.5
Santa Clara50%
BTTS rate
Famalicao100%
Santa Clara50%
Over 2.5 goals
Famalicao50%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 30%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Both teams have shown consistent scoring and conceding patterns, with Famalicao boasting a 100% BTTS rate recently and Santa Clara 50%. Their combined Over 2.5 Goals rate of 50% further supports an open game with multiple goals, aligning well with the BTTS pick.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Santa Clara Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Santa Clara to WinBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Famalicao Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Famalicao to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
The Both Teams to Score market is priced at 2.05 with an implied chance of 48.8%, while the model estimates a 76% probability, indicating clear value. This discrepancy suggests the market underestimates the likelihood of both sides scoring, supported by recent form and player attacking data. The price is attractive for standard stakes without caution flags.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Santa Clara

WD
Last 51W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 0L
15 Aug 2026A Academico Viseu1-0
10 Aug 2026H Nacional2-2

Famalicao

LD
Last 50W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 1L
16 Aug 2026H Maritimo1-2
07 Aug 2026A Estoril1-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 86% vs implied 71% · edge +14.6 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Load more odds for this section
Santa Clara Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Santa Clara to WinBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Famalicao Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Famalicao to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Santa Clara has collected 4 points with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 1 conceded per game, showing balanced but open play. Famalicao has struggled for points but maintains a 100% BTTS rate, scoring and conceding 1.5 goals on average. Both teams' recent matches have featured goals at both ends, reinforcing the BTTS selection.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Santa Clara wins
1Draws
6Famalicao wins
18 Jan 2026Santa Clara v Famalicao0-1
10 Aug 2025Famalicao v Santa Clara3-0
10 May 2025Santa Clara v Famalicao2-1
30 Dec 2024Famalicao v Santa Clara1-2
24 Nov 2024Famalicao v Santa Clara0-1
19 Feb 2023Santa Clara v Famalicao1-3
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Santa Clara to WinBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Famalicao to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
The 10 previous encounters between Santa Clara and Famalicao have averaged 1.9 goals per game, a moderate scoring rate. While not overwhelmingly high, this sample shows a reasonable frequency of goals, supporting the possibility of both teams scoring. The head-to-head data provides background but is less decisive than current form and player attacking metrics.
Season team stats

Primeira Liga

Santa Clara2
Played
Famalicao2
Santa Clara1.5
Avg goals for
Famalicao1
Santa Clara1
Avg goals against
Famalicao1.5
Santa Clara1
Clean sheets
Famalicao0
Best odds for this sectionSanta Clara Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Load more odds for this section
Santa Clara to WinBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Famalicao Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Famalicao to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Santa Clara's season stats show a 50% BTTS rate and 50% Over 2.5 Goals rate, reflecting moderate openness. Famalicao's 100% BTTS rate and similar Over 2.5 rate indicate a tendency for high-scoring, open matches. Both teams' defensive records suggest vulnerabilities that opponents exploit, supporting the likelihood of goals from both sides.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
7Santa Clara421101
13Famalicao12011-1
Santa Clara's 6th place position with 4 points contrasts with Famalicao's 12th place and 1 point, reflecting differing early-season fortunes. However, standings do not fully capture the attacking and defensive tendencies that favor both teams scoring. The match stakes for Famalicao to improve results add to the offensive impetus.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Santa Clara Over 2.5
50%Famalicao Over 2.5
1.9H2H avg goals
In the last 10 meetings, the average goals per game is 1.9, indicating moderate scoring. Both teams have a 50% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season, suggesting a balanced tempo with potential for goals. The trend points to a match where both sides can find the net, consistent with the BTTS pick.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Santa Clara v Famalicao prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Betting context

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