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Sandefjord crestSandefjord
v
Fredrikstad crestFredrikstad

Eliteserien | Mon 25 May, 18:15

Sandefjord v Fredrikstad Stats

Data last updated: Sat 20 Jun 2026, 20:07 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sandefjord face Fredrikstad in Eliteserien on Mon 25 May, 18:15. Sandefjord are performing exceptionally well at home, securing back-to-back victories and remaining unbeaten across their previous three fixtures at Jotun Arena. Conversely, Fredrikstad are struggling on their travels, suffering three consecutive away defeats while maintaining a defensive line that has conceded an average of 2.

BT4Y best bet

Follow him? If he stays central, can Fredrikstad stop service into dangerous areas quickly enough? At the other end, Sandefjord must contain the movem

  • At 9/10, Sandefjord Win implies roughly 53%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 64%.
  • Given Sandefjord's home advantage and Fredrikstad's defensive issues, a narrow single-goal margin in favour of the hosts aligns precisely with recent historical scorelines.
  • Sandefjord have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 3 for Fredrikstad.
  • Sandefjord have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Sandefjord Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Sandefjord sit 8 in the table, while Fredrikstad sit 10, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 64% for Sandefjord Win sits against roughly 53% implied by the current price. Sandefjord have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 3 for Fredrikstad. Given Sandefjord's home advantage and Fredrikstad's defensive issues, a narrow single-goal margin in favour of the hosts aligns precisely with recent historical scorelines.

Model chance vs price64% model chance against roughly 53% implied
Positive
Sandefjord have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points.Visible data support
Positive
Sandefjord have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Given Sandefjord's home advantage and Fredrikstad's defensive issues, a.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Sandefjord Win is the preferred angle because given Sandefjord's home advantage and Fredrikstad's defensive issues, a narrow single-goal margin in favour of the hosts aligns precisely with recent historical scorelines. Sandefjord have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 3 for Fredrikstad. That suggests a team capable of progressing into dangerous areas but lacking ruthlessness in the final action.

Main risk

That suggests a team capable of progressing into dangerous areas but lacking ruthlessness in the final action.

Key Data Signals

Sandefjord Win evidence

Given Sandefjord's home advantage and Fredrikstad's defensive issues, a narrow single-goal margin in favour of the hosts aligns.

Sandefjord have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 3 for Fredrikstad.

Sandefjord have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Sandefjord Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Sandefjord sit 8 in the table, while Fredrikstad sit 10, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Sandefjord Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Sandefjord6
    Avg corners for
    Fredrikstad4
    Sandefjord12.6
    Avg total corners
    Fredrikstad10
    Sandefjord1.6
    Avg yellow cards
    Fredrikstad1.5
    Sandefjord15
    Avg shots
    Fredrikstad10.5
    Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    1.88
    Check odds @ 1.88
    Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    Sandefjord v Fredrikstad predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Sandefjord1
    Avg goals scored
    Fredrikstad1
    Sandefjord1.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Fredrikstad2
    Sandefjord40%
    BTTS rate
    Fredrikstad80%
    Sandefjord40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Fredrikstad80%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 62% · edge +8.3 pts
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 49%
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 73%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 37%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 34%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickSandefjord to WinBetUK guide price · Model 64% vs implied 54% · edge +9.7 pts
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 70%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Sandefjord Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 72%
    1.52
    Check odds @ 1.52
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Sandefjord to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Sandefjord

    LWWLD
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 1D 4L
    16 May 2026A Lillestrom1-3
    10 May 2026H Kristiansund BK2-0
    03 May 2026H Aalesund1-0
    26 Apr 2026A Tromso1-3
    18 Apr 2026H Rosenborg0-0

    Fredrikstad

    WLLLL
    Last 51W 0D 4L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 1D 5L
    16 May 2026H Ham-Kam2-1
    09 May 2026A Sarpsborg 08 FF1-2
    02 May 2026A Brann1-3
    25 Apr 2026H Viking1-2
    19 Apr 2026A Kristiansund BK0-2
    Market aligned with main pickSandefjord to WinBetUK guide price · Model 64% vs implied 54% · edge +9.7 pts
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Sandefjord Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 72%
    1.52
    Check odds @ 1.52
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    2Sandefjord wins
    2Draws
    4Fredrikstad wins
    26 Oct 2025Sandefjord v Fredrikstad0-0
    21 Apr 2025Fredrikstad v Sandefjord3-1
    15 Feb 2025Sandefjord v Fredrikstad2-2
    01 Dec 2024Sandefjord v Fredrikstad0-1
    28 Apr 2024Fredrikstad v Sandefjord1-0
    08 Mar 2024Fredrikstad v Sandefjord2-0
    Market aligned with main pickSandefjord to WinBetUK guide price · Model 64% vs implied 54% · edge +9.7 pts
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 70%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Sandefjord to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Eliteserien

    Sandefjord11
    Played
    Fredrikstad11
    Sandefjord0.9
    Avg goals for
    Fredrikstad1.4
    Sandefjord1.2
    Avg goals against
    Fredrikstad1.8
    Sandefjord4
    Clean sheets
    Fredrikstad0
    Market aligned with main pickSandefjord to WinBetUK guide price · Model 64% vs implied 54% · edge +9.7 pts
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Load more odds for this section
    Sandefjord Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 72%
    1.52
    Check odds @ 1.52
    Season data supports Sandefjord to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    8Sandefjord1411425-3
    10Fredrikstad1411425-5
    Sandefjord sit in position 8, while Fredrikstad sit in position 10, so table pressure belongs in the Sandefjord Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%Sandefjord Over 2.5
    80%Fredrikstad Over 2.5
    2.25H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Sandefjord sit at 40% and Fredrikstad sit at 80% with the H2H average at 2.25 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Sandefjord v Fredrikstad prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Betting context

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