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RB Bragantino crestRB Bragantino
v
Vitoria crestVitoria

Serie A | Sun 17 May, 22:30

RB Bragantino v Vitoria Stats

Data last updated: Wed 17 Jun 2026, 06:37 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

RB Bragantino face Vitoria in Serie A on Sun 17 May, 22:30. RB Bragantino come in with 6 recent points and 1.4 goals per match, while Vitoria have 8 points and 1.8 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Vitoria to Win

  • At 5, Vitoria Win implies roughly 20%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 54%.
  • Vitoria have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 6 for RB Bragantino.
  • Vitoria have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Vitoria Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • RB Bragantino sit 5 in the table, while Vitoria sit 13, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 54% for Vitoria Win sits against roughly 20% implied by the current price. Vitoria have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 6 for RB Bragantino.

Model chance vs price54% model chance against roughly 20% implied
Strong positive
Vitoria have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points.Visible data support
Positive
Vitoria have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Vitoria Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Vitoria have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 6 for RB Bragantino. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Vitoria Win evidence

Vitoria have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 6 for RB Bragantino.

Vitoria have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Vitoria Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

RB Bragantino sit 5 in the table, while Vitoria sit 13, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Vitoria Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    RB Bragantino1.4
    Avg goals scored
    Vitoria1.8
    RB Bragantino1.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Vitoria1.2
    RB Bragantino60%
    BTTS rate
    Vitoria60%
    RB Bragantino60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Vitoria60%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 51% · edge +18.7 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 73%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 55%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 37%
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 49%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 34%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    more Serie A analysiscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickVitoria to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 20% · edge +34.4 pts
    5
    Check odds @ 5
    Load more odds for this section
    Vitoria Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 64%
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 70%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 55%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Vitoria to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    RB Bragantino4.4
    Avg corners for
    Vitoria2.8
    RB Bragantino8.4
    Avg total corners
    Vitoria7.2
    RB Bragantino2
    Avg yellow cards
    Vitoria2.4
    RB Bragantino13.6
    Avg shots
    Vitoria11.2
    Best odds for this sectionOver 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 41%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 5.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    RB Bragantino

    LWLWL
    Last 52W 0D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 0D 6L
    10 May 2026A Santos0-2
    03 May 2026A Chapecoense-sc2-1
    26 Apr 2026H Palmeiras0-1
    19 Apr 2026H Remo4-2
    12 Apr 2026A Cruzeiro1-2

    Vitoria

    DWLDW
    Last 52W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 3D 3L
    09 May 2026A Fluminense2-2
    02 May 2026H Coritiba4-1
    26 Apr 2026A Atletico Paranaense1-3
    19 Apr 2026H Corinthians0-0
    11 Apr 2026H Sao Paulo2-0
    Market aligned with main pickVitoria to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 20% · edge +34.4 pts
    5
    Check odds @ 5
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 80%
    2.14
    Check odds @ 2.14
    Vitoria Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 64%
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    6RB Bragantino wins
    0Draws
    4Vitoria wins
    03 Dec 2025RB Bragantino v Vitoria4-0
    20 Jul 2025Vitoria v RB Bragantino1-0
    19 Oct 2024Vitoria v RB Bragantino1-0
    23 Jun 2024RB Bragantino v Vitoria2-1
    29 Sep 2019Bragantino v Vitoria2-0
    01 Jun 2019Vitoria v Bragantino0-2
    Market aligned with main pickVitoria to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 20% · edge +34.4 pts
    5
    Check odds @ 5
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 70%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 55%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Vitoria to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Serie A

    RB Bragantino18
    Played
    Vitoria17
    RB Bragantino1.4
    Avg goals for
    Vitoria1.2
    RB Bragantino1.1
    Avg goals against
    Vitoria1.5
    RB Bragantino6
    Clean sheets
    Vitoria6
    Market aligned with main pickVitoria to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 20% · edge +34.4 pts
    5
    Check odds @ 5
    Load more odds for this section
    Vitoria Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 64%
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    Season data supports Vitoria to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    5RB Bragantino29189276
    13Vitoria2217647-4
    RB Bragantino sit in position 5, while Vitoria sit in position 13, so table pressure belongs in the Vitoria Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%RB Bragantino Over 2.5
    60%Vitoria Over 2.5
    2.5H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: RB Bragantino sit at 60% and Vitoria sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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    Betting context

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