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Notts County crestNotts County
v
Salford City crestSalford City

League Two | Mon 25 May, 15:00

Notts County v Salford City Stats

Data last updated: Thu 25 Jun 2026, 05:24 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Notts County face Salford City in League Two on Mon 25 May, 15:00. Salford City defeated Notts County by this exact 2-1 scoreline in both league meetings this season. There is growing expectation Salford will return to the three-at-the-back system that worked in both victories over Notts County earlier this season.

BT4Y best bet

System that worked in both victories over Notts County earlier this season

  • At 20/23, Both Teams To Score implies roughly 54%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 60%.
  • The Both Teams to Score market requires each side to record at least one goal during the 90 minutes of regular time, completely independent.
  • Notts County show a 40% BTTS rate and Salford City show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Notts County average 0.8 goals scored and Salford City average 1.6, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 60% for Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 54% implied by the current price. Notts County show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Salford City show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. The Both Teams to Score market requires each side to record at least one goal during the 90 minutes of regular time, completely independent.

Model chance vs price60% model chance against roughly 54% implied
Positive
Notts County show a 40% BTTS rate and Salford City.Visible data support
Positive
Notts County average 0.8 goals scored and Salford City average.Visible data support
Positive
The Both Teams to Score market requires each side.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the Both Teams to Score market requires each side to record at least one goal during the 90 minutes of regular time, completely independent of the final scoreline. Notts County show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Salford City show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Notts County and Salford City arrive carrying very different histories, but the same desperation.

Main risk

Notts County and Salford City arrive carrying very different histories, but the same desperation.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

The Both Teams to Score market requires each side to record at least one goal during the 90.

Notts County show a 40% BTTS rate and Salford City show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Notts County average 0.8 goals scored and Salford City average 1.6, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Notts County0.8
Avg goals scored
Salford City1.6
Notts County0.6
Avg goals conceded
Salford City0.8
Notts County40%
BTTS rate
Salford City60%
Notts County20%
Over 2.5 goals
Salford City60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 60% vs implied 55% · edge +5.4 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 49%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 31%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 44%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 40% for Notts County and 60% for Salford City, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 60% vs implied 55% · edge +5.4 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Salford City to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Salford City Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 49%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Notts County Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Notts County to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Notts County3.4
Avg corners for
Salford City6.6
Notts County8.4
Avg total corners
Salford City10.8
Notts County2.4
Avg yellow cards
Salford City1.4
Notts County9.4
Avg shots
Salford City12.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 51% · edge +7.1 pts
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Load more odds for this section
Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Notts County

DWDWL
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 4L
15 May 2026H Chesterfield0-0
10 May 2026A Chesterfield1-0
02 May 2026H Bristol Rovers1-1
25 Apr 2026A Colchester1-0
18 Apr 2026H Barnet1-2

Salford City

DWDWW
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 2L
15 May 2026H Grimsby2-2
10 May 2026A Grimsby2-1
02 May 2026A Crawley Town0-0
23 Apr 2026H Bromley2-0
18 Apr 2026A Oldham2-1
Best odds for this sectionSalford City to WinBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 36% · edge +22.2 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Load more odds for this section
Salford City Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 83%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Notts County Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Notts County to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3
Check odds @ 3
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Notts County wins
0Draws
6Salford City wins
03 Apr 2026Salford City v Notts County2-1
09 Aug 2025Notts County v Salford City1-2
11 Apr 2025Notts County v Salford City1-3
14 Dec 2024Salford City v Notts County3-0
23 Mar 2024Notts County v Salford City1-2
15 Sep 2023Salford City v Notts County0-2
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 60% vs implied 55% · edge +5.4 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Salford City to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 49%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Notts County to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3
Check odds @ 3
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

League Two

Notts County49
Played
Salford City49
Notts County1.6
Avg goals for
Salford City1.3
Notts County1.1
Avg goals against
Salford City1.2
Notts County16
Clean sheets
Salford City15
Best odds for this sectionSalford City to WinBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 36% · edge +22.2 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Load more odds for this section
Salford City Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Notts County Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Notts County to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Season data supports Salford City to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
4Salford City81462561510
5Notts County80462481422
Notts County sit in position 5, while Salford City sit in position 4, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Notts County Over 2.5
60%Salford City Over 2.5
2.86H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Notts County sit at 20% and Salford City sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.86 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Notts County v Salford City prediction

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Next step

Betting context

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