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Mantova crestMantova
v
Empoli crestEmpoli

Serie B | Sun 30 Aug, 18:00

Mantova v Empoli Stats

Data last updated: Sun 20 Sep 2026, 13:01 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Mantova face Empoli in Serie B on Sun 30 Aug, 18:00. Mantova have won four of their last five home matches, while Empoli have lost seven of their last 10 away league games.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 4/5, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 56%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 67%.
  • Mantova’s consistent home scoring and Empoli’s efficient attack led by Shpendi support both teams scoring.
  • Mantova show a 100% BTTS rate and Empoli show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Mantova average 2 goals scored and Empoli average 1, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 67% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 56% implied by the current price. Mantova show a 100% BTTS rate and Empoli show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Mantova’s consistent home scoring and Empoli’s efficient attack led by Shpendi support both teams scoring.

Model chance vs price67% model chance against roughly 56% implied
Positive
Mantova show a 100% BTTS rate and Empoli show a.Visible data support
Positive
Mantova average 2 goals scored and Empoli average 1, so.Visible data support
Positive
Mantova’s consistent home scoring and Empoli’s efficient attack led.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because mantova’s consistent home scoring and Empoli’s efficient attack led by Shpendi support both teams scoring. Mantova show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Empoli show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. However, Mantova have also conceded an average of 1.

Main risk

However, Mantova have also conceded an average of 1.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Mantova’s consistent home scoring and Empoli’s efficient attack led by Shpendi support both teams scoring.

Mantova show a 100% BTTS rate and Empoli show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Mantova average 2 goals scored and Empoli average 1, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Mantova2
Avg goals scored
Empoli1
Mantova1
Avg goals conceded
Empoli0
Mantova100%
BTTS rate
Empoli0%
Mantova100%
Over 2.5 goals
Empoli0%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +14.3 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 53%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91

Continue the research

Useful next reads

full betting preview for Mantova v Empolifootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +14.3 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Mantova Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Mantova to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Empoli to WinBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Empoli Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Mantova3
Avg corners for
Empoli2
Mantova5
Avg total corners
Empoli7
Mantova1
Avg yellow cards
Empoli1
Mantova12
Avg shots
Empoli10
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 4.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 29%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 35%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Mantova

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
22 Aug 2026A Carrarese2-1

Empoli

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
22 Aug 2026H Cremonese1-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 72% vs implied 78% · edge -6 pts
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 57%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Mantova Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Mantova to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Empoli to WinBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Empoli Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Mantova wins
1Draws
1Empoli wins
14 Mar 2026Empoli v Mantova2-2
21 Dec 2025Mantova v Empoli0-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +14.3 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Mantova to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Empoli to WinBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Mantova Over 2.5
0%Empoli Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Mantova sit at 100% and Empoli sit at 0% with the H2H average at 2.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Mantova v Empoli prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Competition and hubs

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Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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