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Mantova crestMantova
v
Empoli crestEmpoli

Serie B | Sun 30 Aug, 18:00

Mantova v Empoli Stats

Data last updated: Sat 29 Aug 2026, 07:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Mantova and Empoli meet in Serie B with both sides having secured opening wins but through contrasting styles. Mantova’s strong home form, averaging 1.7 goals per game and winning four of their last five at Stadio Danilo Martelli, contrasts with Empoli’s efficient but less possession-based approach, led by striker Stiven Shpendi who has six goals in ten matches. Empoli’s recent defensive solidity and unbeaten run add intrigue, while both teams show persistent second-half scoring trends, setting up a contest where both sides are likely to find the net despite Empoli’s away struggles.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Mantova average 1.7 goals per game at home with multiple goal contributors
  • Empoli’s Stiven Shpendi has scored 6 goals in last 10 matches, providing a focal threat
  • Both teams have scored in recent head-to-head meetings, including a 2-2 draw
  • Empoli have conceded only 0.6 goals per game in last five matches, showing defensive resilience
  • Both teams consistently score after halftime, with Empoli’s last 21 away matches featuring second-half goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score highly with a 66.7% chance, reflecting Mantova’s consistent home scoring and Empoli’s ability to convert chances despite limited possession. Shpendi’s goal threat and the teams’ recent scoring patterns, including persistent second-half goals, support this. The price at 1.8 offers positive value with an 11.1% edge. Defensive solidity from Empoli tempers risk but Mantova’s concession rate and Empoli’s attacking attempts suggest both sides will score. Data quality is solid, supporting in this pick.

Model Chance66.7%
Strong positive
Implied Probability55.6%
Positive
Value Edge11.1%
Strong positive
Confidence76
Positive
Data QualityComplete for both teams
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both Teams to Score is a tactically sound pick given Mantova’s home scoring consistency and Empoli’s reliance on Shpendi’s finishing. The data shows both sides create chances and have scored in recent meetings, making a goal for each side a likely outcome in this balanced contest.

Main risk

However, Mantova have also conceded an average of 1.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“Mantova’s home attacking volume combined with Empoli’s efficient forward line, led by Shpendi, creates a strong case for both teams finding the net despite Empoli’s defensive discipline.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Mantova average 1.7 goals per game at home with multiple goal contributors

Empoli’s Stiven Shpendi has scored 6 goals in last 10 matches, providing a focal threat

Both teams have scored in recent head-to-head meetings, including a 2-2 draw

Empoli have conceded only 0.6 goals per game in last five matches, showing defensive resilience

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Recent trends show both teams frequently scoring over 2.5 goals in matches, with Mantova’s last five games averaging 2.6 goals scored and Empoli’s away matches featuring second-half goals in 21 consecutive games.
  • These trends highlight a tempo and attacking openness conducive to multiple goals and BTTS outcomes in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Mantova2
Avg goals scored
Empoli1
Mantova1
Avg goals conceded
Empoli0
Mantova100%
BTTS rate
Empoli0%
Mantova100%
Over 2.5 goals
Empoli0%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +14.3 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 53%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Both teams have demonstrated consistent scoring ability, with Mantova averaging 1.7 goals per game and Empoli’s Shpendi contributing six goals in ten matches. Recent head-to-head results, including a 2-2 draw, and persistent second-half goals for both sides support the likelihood of goals from both teams.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +14.3 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Empoli to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Mantova Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Empoli Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
2
Check odds @ 2
Mantova to WinBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
The Both Teams to Score market is priced at 1.8 with an implied chance of 55.6%, while the model estimates a 66.7% chance, indicating positive value. The reflect recognition of Mantova’s home scoring and Empoli’s goal threat, but the price remains attractive given the attacking and defensive data balance.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Mantova3
Avg corners for
Empoli2
Mantova5
Avg total corners
Empoli7
Mantova1
Avg yellow cards
Empoli1
Mantova12
Avg shots
Empoli10
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
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Over 4.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 29%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 35%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Mantova averages 12 shots and 4 shots on target per game, while Empoli averages 10 shots and 5 on target, reflecting active attacking play. Both teams have similar yellow card averages, indicating competitive but disciplined matches. Corner averages are moderate, suggesting balanced territorial exchanges and set-piece opportunities.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Mantova

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
22 Aug 2026A Carrarese2-1

Empoli

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
22 Aug 2026H Cremonese1-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 68% vs implied 59% · edge +8.9 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Empoli to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Mantova Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Empoli Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
2
Check odds @ 2
Mantova to WinBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Both teams come into the match with recent wins and scoring form. Mantova scored twice and conceded once in their last match, maintaining a 100% BTTS rate recently. Empoli won their last game 1-0 but have a lower BTTS rate, reflecting their defensive solidity. The form data suggests Mantova’s attack will challenge Empoli’s defense, supporting the BTTS outcome.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Mantova wins
1Draws
1Empoli wins
14 Mar 2026Empoli v Mantova2-2
21 Dec 2025Mantova v Empoli0-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +14.3 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Empoli to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Mantova to WinBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
The two recent meetings between Mantova and Empoli have averaged 2.5 goals per game, including a 2-2 draw, indicating a history of open contests with goals from both sides. While the sample is limited, the previous matches support the expectation of mutual scoring in this encounter.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Season team stats

Serie B

Mantova1
Played
Empoli1
Mantova2
Avg goals for
Empoli1
Mantova1
Avg goals against
Empoli0
Mantova0
Clean sheets
Empoli1
Best odds for this sectionEmpoli to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 39% vs implied 29% · edge +9.9 pts
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
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Mantova Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Empoli Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
2
Check odds @ 2
Mantova to WinBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over the season, Mantova has averaged 1.7 goals per game with a concession rate of 1.4, indicating an open style at home. Empoli’s attack is efficient with 1.2 goals per game, supported by high shot volume, while their defense has tightened recently, conceding fewer goals. These season-long stats align with a match where both teams can score but defensive resilience remains a factor.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
7Mantova311001
10Empoli311001
Mantova sits 7th and Empoli 10th in Serie B, both with three points from one match. The close standings reflect similar competitive levels, with Mantova’s home advantage and Empoli’s away challenges shaping the match dynamics. The table context suggests a balanced contest where both teams seek to assert themselves early in the season.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Mantova Over 2.5
0%Empoli Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
Recent trends show both teams frequently scoring over 2.5 goals in matches, with Mantova’s last five games averaging 2.6 goals scored and Empoli’s away matches featuring second-half goals in 21 consecutive games. These trends highlight a tempo and attacking openness conducive to multiple goals and BTTS outcomes in this fixture.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Mantova v Empoli prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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