bet365
BetMGM
Betfred
BetVictor
BetUK
LiveScoreBet
10Bet
Virgin Bet
EasyBet
Mantova vs Empoli: Attacking Momentum Meets Away-Day Resistance in Serie B. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Mantova’s consistent home scoring and Empoli’s efficient attack led by Shpendi support both teams scoring. Mantova’s average 1.7 goals and Empoli’s six goals from Shpendi in 10 matches suggest a goal for each side despite Empoli’s defensive solidity in recent matches.
A 2-1 score fits Mantova’s strong home scoring and Empoli’s ability to score despite limited possession. Mantova’s recent home wins and Empoli’s away losses support this, though Empoli’s solid defensive run and tendency to draw add risk to this exact scoreline.
Compare form, H2H, goals trends and key data for Mantova v Empoli.
Mantova and Empoli arrive at Stadio Danilo Martelli with three points already secured, but their opening victories came in very different ways.
Mantova vs Empoli — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.
Mantova and Empoli arrive with similar form, leaving fine margins likely to decide the result.
Mantova carry the stronger scoring threat, but Empoli must contribute for BTTS to land.
Mantova and Empoli look closely matched defensively, pointing towards a tight scoreline.
Mantova create more chances, leaving Empoli under pressure to match their attacking tempo.
Three Punchy Stats
- Mantova have won four of their last five home matches, while Empoli have lost seven of their last 10 away league games. The venue therefore reinforces the hosts’ strongest recent trend.
- Stiven Shpendi has scored six times in Empoli’s previous 10 matches, three times the total of their next-highest scorers. His output gives Empoli a clear source of attacking efficiency.
- Every one of Empoli’s last 21 away matches has featured a second-half goal, while Mantova have seen the same pattern in 11 consecutive games. The evidence strongly points towards the match remaining active after the interval.
Scoring Streaks
Recent attacking records for Mantova and Empoli are shown below.
Clean Sheet Runs
Recent defensive records for Mantova and Empoli are shown below.
Mantova beat Carrarese 2-1 away with 53% possession and four shots on target, while Empoli defeated Cremonese 1-0 despite having only 25% of the ball.
That contrast gets to the heart of Sunday’s match. Mantova’s recent record points towards a side capable of sustaining more attacking output, particularly at home. Empoli have been less prolific and far less possession-heavy, yet their recent defensive numbers suggest they can remain competitive without controlling the game.
Mantova Have More Than Results Behind Them
Six victories from Mantova’s last 10 league matches already gives them the stronger recent win rate, but the underlying attacking figures add weight to that record. They have averaged 1.7 goals from 10.6 attempts and 4.5 shots on target, while their broader last-five sequence contains four wins and an average of 2.6 goals scored.
The home record sharpens the picture further. Mantova have won four of their previous five at Stadio Danilo Martelli, while Empoli have lost seven of their last 10 away league matches and 12 of their last 19 on the road.
Those trends make home advantage more than a decorative detail. Mantova have been finding ways to win regularly, whereas travelling has repeatedly exposed Empoli.
There is still a defensive vulnerability. Mantova have conceded 1.4 goals per game across their last 10 league outings, facing 10.1 attempts and 4.2 shots on target. Empoli’s attacking return is only 1.2 goals per match over the same span, but they are producing slightly more attempts than Mantova at 11.4.
Empoli’s Efficiency Could Complicate the Contest
The most revealing feature of Empoli’s win over Cremonese was not possession but efficiency. They had only a quarter of the ball yet registered five shots on goal and won through Stiven Shpendi’s 21st-minute strike.
That fits neatly with Shpendi’s wider contribution. His six goals across the previous 10 matches put him comfortably ahead of Empoli’s next-highest scorers, Matteo Lovato and Edoardo Saporiti, who have two each. Mantova’s scoring has been distributed more evenly, with Tommaso Marras, Leonardo Mancuso and Davide Bragantini all on two.
The comparison matters. Mantova have several contributors but no equivalent standout scorer in the recent figures, while Empoli possess one player accounting for a substantial share of their goals.
The Numbers Point to Action After the Break
Both teams carry unusually persistent second-half scoring trends. At least one goal has been recorded after half-time in each of Mantova’s last 11 matches and their previous 10 Serie B fixtures. Empoli’s sequence is even longer: their last 21 away games have contained a second-half goal, including 19 consecutive away matches in Serie B.
The first-half patterns are less aligned. Mantova’s league matches have produced a first-half goal in 19 of the last 21, and they have led at the interval in seven of their previous 11. Empoli, by contrast, have gone into half-time level in eight of their last nine Serie B away matches.
Something has to give between Mantova’s tendency to establish early advantages and Empoli’s habit of staying square on the road.
Why This May Be Closer Than Mantova’s Form Suggests
Mantova’s stronger recent win record and Empoli’s poor away results create an obvious imbalance, but the visitors’ current defensive form deserves respect. Empoli are unbeaten in five matches, with two wins and three draws, while conceding only 0.6 goals per game during that sequence.
Their last meeting also finished 2-2, evidence that Mantova’s stronger current momentum does not automatically translate into separation between these sides.
📊 Market Explainer
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Both teams must score at least once during normal time. The match winner does not matter; the selection is settled only by whether each side finds the net.
Correct Score Market
Selection: Mantova vs Empoli 2-1. Predict the exact score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties do not count unless the bookmaker states otherwise.
🎯 Pick 1: Both Teams To Score YES @ 4/5
Mantova enter this fixture with consistent goalscoring output at Stadio Danilo Martelli, having won four of their last five home matches. Over their last 10 league games, the hosts have averaged 1.7 goals from 10.6 attempts and 4.5 shots on target per match. Their attacking production is distributed across multiple players, with Tommaso Marras, Leonardo Mancuso, and Davide Bragantini each scoring twice recently. However, Mantova have also conceded an average of 1.4 goals per game over that same 10-match period while allowing 4.2 shots on target per outing.
Empoli provide a distinct counter-threat despite their lower possession figures. In their 1-0 win over Cremonese, Empoli held just 25% possession but generated five shots on target. Across their previous 10 matches, they have averaged 11.4 total attempts per game. Stiven Shpendi leads their attack with six goals in his last 10 appearances, providing a focal point that contrasts with Mantova’s shared scoring workload. Additionally, the last meeting between these two clubs finished in a 2-2 draw, demonstrating that both teams have found paths to goal against each other.
Empoli’s defensive record shows five matches unbeaten while conceding only 0.6 goals per game in that span, which presents the main risk to a goal-heavy outcome. Nevertheless, with Mantova conceding regularly across a wider 10-match sample and Empoli creating opportunities on the road, both teams scoring remains a defensible baseline for this matchup.
🎯 Tactical Indicators
- Mantova have conceded 1.4 goals per game across their last 10 league matches while averaging 1.7 goals scored.
- Empoli forward Stiven Shpendi has scored 6 goals across his previous 10 appearances.
- At least one second-half goal has been scored in 21 consecutive Empoli away matches and 11 straight Mantova fixtures.
Risk Factor: Empoli have kept three clean sheets during their current five-match unbeaten run, conceding just 0.6 goals per game, risking a no-goal outcome for either side.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Won 4 of last 5 home games, averaging 4.5 shots on target and 1.7 goals across their last 10 league fixtures.
Lost 7 of their last 10 away league matches and 12 of their last 19 on the road.
⚔️ Pick 2: Mantova vs Empoli 2-1 @ 15/2
A 2-1 outcome for Mantova aligns with the combined scoring and defensive records of both clubs. Mantova’s home form provides the initial basis for two goals, as they have won four of their last five matches at Stadio Danilo Martelli. Over their last five matches overall, Mantova have raised their average output to 2.6 goals per game while winning four times. Producing 4.5 shots on target per game across their last 10 league matches shows consistent delivery into dangerous areas, supporting the possibility of scoring twice against an Empoli side that has lost seven of its last 10 away league games.
The visitor’s single goal is supported by Empoli’s ability to capitalize on limited possession and Mantova’s defensive concessions. Mantova have surrendered 1.4 goals per match over their last 10 league outings. Empoli demonstrated their efficiency by generating five shots on target from 25% possession against Cremonese, while Stiven Shpendi’s six goals in 10 matches gives them a proven individual scorer capable of converting opportunities.
The principal risk to this exact scoreline is Empoli’s recent five-match run, where they conceded only 0.6 goals per game, as well as their tendency to draw after going into half-time level in eight of their last nine Serie B away matches. A single additional goal from either team defeats a 2-1 bet, but the combination of Mantova’s home momentum and Empoli’s away scoring record leaves 2-1 as a coherent target.
Risk Factor: Correct score bets are sensitive to single events; an extra goal or late equalizer would void the 2-1 prediction.
Frequently Asked Questions
What does Both Teams To Score YES mean for Mantova vs Empoli?
Both Teams To Score YES means both teams must score at least one goal each during regular time for the bet to win.
How does the Correct Score market work for a 2-1 Mantova win?
The 2-1 correct score bet wins only if Mantova scores exactly two goals and Empoli exactly one at full-time.
Why is Mantova favoured to score multiple goals at home?
Mantova have won four of their last five home matches and averaged 1.7 goals per game in their last 10 league outings.
Can Empoli score despite holding low possession?
Yes, Empoli scored in a 1-0 win with just 25% possession and have striker Stiven Shpendi with six goals in 10 matches.
What is the significance of the second-half goal trends?
Empoli's last 21 away matches and Mantova's last 11 matches have all featured at least one second-half goal.
How does Empoli's away record impact the match prediction?
Empoli have lost seven of their last 10 away league games, contrasting with Mantova's strong home form.
