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Hellas Verona crestHellas Verona
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Vicenza Virtus crestVicenza Virtus

Serie B | Sun 20 Sep, 14:00

Hellas Verona v Vicenza Virtus Stats

Data last updated: Sat 19 Sep 2026, 08:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Hellas Verona and Vicenza Virtus meet in a Serie B clash where attacking intent is evident from both sides. Hellas Verona have scored 2 goals and conceded 1.5 per game recently, while Vicenza Virtus average 1.5 goals scored and 2 conceded. Both teams show a 75% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating open play and offensive opportunities. The fixture promises a lively contest with both sides pushing forward, making goal-scoring chances likely throughout the 90 minutes.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Both teams have a 75% rate of Over 2.5 goals in recent matches.
  • Hellas Verona average 16.25 shots and 5.5 shots on target per game.
  • Vicenza Virtus average 15.25 shots and 4.75 shots on target per game.
  • H2H meetings average 3 goals per game, supporting a high-scoring trend.
  • Key attackers like S. Merkaj contribute significant shot volume and goal threat.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 72.3% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, well above the implied market chance of 55.6%, indicating strong value. Both teams demonstrate attacking tendencies with high shot volumes and goal involvement, supported by a 75% recent Over 2.5 rate. The H2H average of 3 goals per game further reinforces the likelihood of a goal-rich encounter. No data limitations affect , making this a robust selection based on offensive metrics and match context.

Model Probability72.3% chance of Over 2.5 Goals
Strong positive
Recent Over 2.5 Rate75% for both teams
Strong positive
Shots per GameHellas Verona 16.25, Vicenza Virtus 15.25
Positive
H2H Average Goals3 goals per match
Positive
Implied Market Chance55.6%
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as both Hellas Verona and Vicenza Virtus have shown offensive intent recently. The high volume of shots and goal involvement from key forwards suggests multiple scoring chances. This match is likely to produce at least three goals, reflecting the teams' recent form and head-to-head trends.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and attacking dynamics

“This fixture features two sides with strong attacking profiles and a history of goal-rich encounters, making Over 2.5 Goals a compelling pick based on both tactical openness and statistical evidence.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Both teams have a 75% rate of Over 2.5 goals in recent matches.

Hellas Verona average 16.25 shots and 5.5 shots on target per game.

Vicenza Virtus average 15.25 shots and 4.75 shots on target per game.

H2H meetings average 3 goals per game, supporting a high-scoring trend.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • The last two head-to-head matches between these teams have averaged 3 goals, supporting a trend of Over 2.5 Goals.
  • This recent sample indicates a tempo and tactical openness conducive to multiple scoring opportunities in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Hellas Verona2
Avg goals scored
Vicenza Virtus1.5
Hellas Verona1.5
Avg goals conceded
Vicenza Virtus2
Hellas Verona75%
BTTS rate
Vicenza Virtus75%
Hellas Verona75%
Over 2.5 goals
Vicenza Virtus75%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 32%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Both Hellas Verona and Vicenza Virtus have a 75% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals and both teams to score, highlighting offensive openness. The average of 3 goals in their recent head-to-head matches further supports the expectation of multiple goals and BTTS in this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Vicenza Virtus to WinBetfred guide price · model 39%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Hellas Verona Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Vicenza Virtus Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Hellas Verona to WinBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced attractively at 1.8, reflecting an implied chance of 55.6%, which is significantly lower than the model's 72.3% probability. This discrepancy indicates good value in backing Over 2.5 Goals, supported by consistent attacking data and goal trends from both teams.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Hellas Verona6.5
Avg corners for
Vicenza Virtus7.25
Hellas Verona9
Avg total corners
Vicenza Virtus11.5
Hellas Verona2.25
Avg yellow cards
Vicenza Virtus2.25
Hellas Verona16.25
Avg shots
Vicenza Virtus15.25
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 61% vs implied 56% · edge +5.5 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Both teams generate high shot volumes, with Hellas Verona averaging 16.25 shots and Vicenza Virtus 15.25 per game, alongside solid corner counts (6.5 and 7.25 respectively). Discipline is balanced, with both sides averaging 2.25 yellow cards, indicating a competitive but fair contest with sustained attacking pressure.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Hellas Verona

LWDL
Last 51W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 2L
11 Sep 2026A Benevento1-3
06 Sep 2026H Arezzo5-0
29 Aug 2026A Padova1-1
23 Aug 2026H Ascoli1-2

Vicenza Virtus

DDLW
Last 51W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 1L
12 Sep 2026H Juve Stabia1-1
06 Sep 2026A Virtus Entella2-2
29 Aug 2026A Avellino0-3
21 Aug 2026H Catanzaro3-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Vicenza Virtus to WinBetfred guide price · model 39%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Hellas Verona Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Vicenza Virtus Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Hellas Verona to WinBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Recent form data shows both teams averaging 75% Over 2.5 Goals in their matches, with Hellas Verona scoring 2 and conceding 1.5 goals per game, and Vicenza Virtus scoring 1.5 and conceding 2. This offensive output underlines a trend towards open games with multiple goals expected.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Hellas Verona wins
0Draws
1Vicenza Virtus wins
01 May 2017Hellas Verona v Vicenza Virtus3-2
10 Dec 2016Vicenza Virtus v Hellas Verona1-0
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Vicenza Virtus to WinBetfred guide price · model 39%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Hellas Verona to WinBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
The two recent meetings between Hellas Verona and Vicenza Virtus have produced an average of 3 goals per game, indicating a history of open, attacking encounters. This limited but relevant sample supports expectations for a high-scoring match in this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie B

Hellas Verona4
Played
Vicenza Virtus4
Hellas Verona2
Avg goals for
Vicenza Virtus1.5
Hellas Verona1.5
Avg goals against
Vicenza Virtus2
Hellas Verona1
Clean sheets
Vicenza Virtus0
Best odds for this sectionVicenza Virtus to WinBetfred guide price · Model 39% vs implied 24% · edge +15 pts
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
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Hellas Verona Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Vicenza Virtus Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Hellas Verona to WinBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Season-long statistics confirm an attacking pattern, with both teams maintaining high shot volumes and goal averages that align with Over 2.5 Goals outcomes. Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides contribute to the likelihood of a goal-rich match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
14Vicenza Virtus54121-2
16Hellas Verona441122
While Hellas Verona sits 16th and Vicenza Virtus 12th in Serie B, their league positions do not heavily influence goal-scoring tendencies. Both teams have similar points and offensive records, suggesting motivation to attack and secure points through scoring.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

75%Hellas Verona Over 2.5
75%Vicenza Virtus Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
The last two head-to-head matches between these teams have averaged 3 goals, supporting a trend of Over 2.5 Goals. This recent sample indicates a tempo and tactical openness conducive to multiple scoring opportunities in this fixture.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.