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Heart Of Midlothian crestHeart Of Midlothian
v
Dundee Utd crestDundee Utd

Premiership | Sun 09 Aug, 15:00

Heart Of Midlothian v Dundee Utd Stats

Data last updated: Sat 08 Aug 2026, 08:32 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Tynecastle Park hosts a crucial Premiership clash where Heart Of Midlothian aim to maintain their unbeaten home streak of 15 league matches amid mounting title race pressure. Despite recent defensive vulnerabilities and three defeats in six league games, Hearts dominate possession and attacking volume at home. Dundee Utd arrive with , unbeaten in five of six matches and having scored nine goals in their last four, posing a significant threat with their transitional play and wide attacking options. This encounter promises a tactical battle between Hearts' territorial control and Dundee's counter-attacking width, with both sides likely to find scoring opportunities.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Hearts unbeaten in 15 home league matches, showing strong home control.
  • Dundee Utd have scored in each of their last four matches, indicating attacking momentum.
  • Hearts average 14.3 shots per game at home, creating high attacking volume.
  • Dundee’s transitional style and wide play create scoring chances despite lower possession.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, reflecting Hearts' attacking control at home and Dundee's recent scoring streak. Hearts' average of 19 shots per game and Dundee's consistent goal-scoring form support an open game with goals at both ends. The of 44.7% indicates strong pricing appeal at 3.2 . While Hearts' defensive lapses pose risk, Dundee's ability to exploit wide channels and transitions enhances the likelihood of both teams scoring. The data quality is robust, with comprehensive stats for both sides reinforcing in this selection.

Model Chance76%
Strong positive
Hearts Home Attacking Volume19 shots per game
Strong positive
Dundee Scoring FormGoals in last 4 matches
Strong positive
Price Value Edge44.7%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Hearts' strong home form and territorial control suggest they will score, but Dundee's recent scoring run and counter-attacking threat make it likely both teams will find the net. This bet captures the tactical dynamics and recent form, offering a balanced approach to the match outcome.

Main risk

However, Dundee have scored nine goals in their last four matches and Hearts have looked vulnerable recently.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“Hearts' control at Tynecastle combined with Dundee's attacking resilience creates a compelling scenario for both teams to score. The visitors' ability to exploit defensive gaps and Hearts' offensive pressure underpin this insightful pick.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Hearts unbeaten in 15 home league matches, showing strong home control.

Dundee Utd have scored in each of their last four matches, indicating attacking momentum.

Hearts average 14.3 shots per game at home, creating high attacking volume.

Dundee’s transitional style and wide play create scoring chances despite lower possession.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game stand at 3.1, indicating a tendency for open, goal-rich encounters.
  • Hearts' home control combined with Dundee's scoring streak suggests the match will continue this trend, supporting an Over 2.5 goals environment driven by tempo and attacking intent.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Heart Of Midlothian6
Avg corners for
Dundee Utd5
Heart Of Midlothian10
Avg total corners
Dundee Utd15
Heart Of Midlothian2
Avg yellow cards
Dundee Utd1
Heart Of Midlothian19
Avg shots
Dundee Utd11
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Hearts average 6 corners and 2 yellow cards per game, reflecting sustained pressure and physical play at home. Dundee's 5 corners and lower card count indicate a more measured approach but with enough attacking intent. The shot volume disparity highlights Hearts' control, while Dundee's ability to create chances on the break suggests an open game with set-piece and wide-play opportunities.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Heart Of Midlothian1
Avg goals scored
Dundee Utd1
Heart Of Midlothian2
Avg goals conceded
Dundee Utd1
Heart Of Midlothian100%
BTTS rate
Dundee Utd100%
Heart Of Midlothian100%
Over 2.5 goals
Dundee Utd0%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 38%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Both teams have shown consistent scoring ability recently, with Hearts averaging 19 shots and Dundee maintaining a steady goal output in their last four matches. Hearts' home attacking volume and Dundee's transitional threat create multiple goal-scoring routes, making a BTTS outcome plausible in this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Metsoko stands out for Dundee with an exceptional 6.92 shots on target per 90 minutes, highlighting his goal threat despite no goals yet. Randall contributes creativity with assists and key passes, supporting Dundee's transitional attacks. Kabore's ability to win fouls and O. McEntee's goal threat from defense add layers to their attacking options. Spittal's shooting and card risk reflect midfield dynamism. These players shape the attacking and defensive balance influencing the BTTS market.
Best player marketI. Metsoko Anytime GoalscorerI. Metsoko · 0 goals · 6.92 SOT/90
86/100
Check odds
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I. Metsoko 1+ Shot On TargetI. Metsoko · 6.92 shots on target/90
84/100
Check odds
I. Metsoko 2+ ShotsI. Metsoko · 6.92 shots/90
82/100
Check odds
J. Randall To Assist / Key Pass AngleJ. Randall · 1 assists · 2 key passes/90
66/100
Check odds
P. Kabore To Be FouledP. Kabore · 3 fouls won/90
68/100
Check odds
V. Ševelj Card RiskV. Ševelj · 1 yellows · 2.34 fouls/90
80/100
Check odds
I. Metsoko
I. MetsokoDundee Utd · Attacker
Goal threat96/100
Shots /906.92
SOT /906.92
L. Rose
L. RoseDundee Utd · Attacker
Goal threat52/100
Shots /901.29
SOT /901.29
O. McEntee
O. McEnteeHeart Of Midlothian · Defender
Goal threat45/100
Shots /901
SOT /901
P. Kabore
P. KaboreHeart Of Midlothian · Attacker
Goal threat42/100
Shots /903
SOT /903
B. Spittal
B. SpittalHeart Of Midlothian · Midfielder
Goal threat23/100
Shots /902.25
SOT /901.13
V. Ševelj
V. ŠeveljDundee Utd · Midfielder
Goal threat3/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
J. Altena
J. AltenaHeart Of Midlothian · Defender
Goal threat1/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
H. Milne
H. MilneHeart Of Midlothian · Defender
Goal threat6/100
Shots /901
SOT /900
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Load more odds for this section
Dundee Utd Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 47%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Dundee Utd to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Heart Of Midlothian Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Heart Of Midlothian to WinBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively at 3.2, reflecting an implied chance of 31.3%. The model's 76% probability indicates significant value, supported by both teams' recent scoring trends and attacking metrics. This pricing suggests a strong opportunity rather than a price-sensitive watch, making it a compelling selection for bettors.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Heart Of Midlothian

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
01 Aug 2026A Aberdeen1-2

Dundee Utd

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
31 Jul 2026H Rangers1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Dundee Utd Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 47%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Dundee Utd to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Heart Of Midlothian Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Heart Of Midlothian to WinBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Recent form data shows Hearts have conceded in their last matches despite strong home performances, while Dundee have scored in every recent outing. Hearts' 100% BTTS rate and Dundee's matching record underscore the likelihood of goals from both sides, aligning with the tactical narrative of an open, contested match.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

6Heart Of Midlothian wins
2Draws
2Dundee Utd wins
31 Jan 2026Dundee Utd v Heart Of Midlothian0-3
09 Nov 2025Heart Of Midlothian v Dundee Utd1-1
10 Aug 2025Dundee Utd v Heart Of Midlothian2-3
06 Apr 2025Heart Of Midlothian v Dundee Utd0-1
05 Jan 2025Dundee Utd v Heart Of Midlothian0-1
01 Sep 2024Heart Of Midlothian v Dundee Utd0-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Load more odds for this section
Dundee Utd to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Heart Of Midlothian to WinBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
The head-to-head record shows Hearts have won five of the last six meetings, often by narrow margins like 2-1 or 2-0. While this favors Hearts, Dundee's recent form and goal-scoring ability suggest they can breach Hearts' defense, making the BTTS market relevant despite historical control by the home side.
Season team stats

Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian1
Played
Dundee Utd1
Heart Of Midlothian1
Avg goals for
Dundee Utd1
Heart Of Midlothian2
Avg goals against
Dundee Utd1
Heart Of Midlothian0
Clean sheets
Dundee Utd0
Best odds for this sectionDundee Utd Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 47% vs implied 32% · edge +15 pts
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Load more odds for this section
Dundee Utd to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Heart Of Midlothian Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Heart Of Midlothian to WinBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Season-long stats reveal Hearts' potent attack with 52 goals and high shot frequency, balanced against defensive vulnerabilities. Dundee's lower goal tally contrasts with their efficient scoring in recent games. This mix supports a scenario where both teams can score, given Hearts' offensive pressure and Dundee's capacity to exploit defensive lapses.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6Dundee Utd110100
9Heart Of Midlothian01001-1
Hearts sit 9th and Dundee 6th in the Premiership, but the standings offer limited insight for this fixture. The pressure on Hearts to maintain their unbeaten home run and Dundee's recent resurgence provide more relevant context than league position, emphasizing form and tactical matchups over table status.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Heart Of Midlothian Over 2.5
0%Dundee Utd Over 2.5
3.1H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game stand at 3.1, indicating a tendency for open, goal-rich encounters. Hearts' home control combined with Dundee's scoring streak suggests the match will continue this trend, supporting an Over 2.5 goals environment driven by tempo and attacking intent.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Heart Of Midlothian v Dundee Utd prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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