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Kilmarnock crestKilmarnock
v
Celtic crestCeltic

Premiership | Sun 09 Aug, 13:30

Kilmarnock v Celtic Stats

Data last updated: Wed 23 Sep 2026, 05:55 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Kilmarnock face Celtic in Premiership on Sun 09 Aug, 13:30. Both teams have averaged exactly 2.1 goals per game across their respective last 10 league matches. Celtic look stronger on recent form, while Kilmarnock remain vulnerable after weaker results.

BT4Y best bet

Celtic to win and Both Teams To Score

  • At 7, Celtic to win and Both Teams To Score implies roughly 14%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 16%.
  • The 3-1 scoreline reflects Celtic’s consistent scoring ability against Kilmarnock’s defensive frailties, while Kilmarnock’s own attacking efficiency supports them scoring once in this likely.
  • Celtic have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Kilmarnock.
  • Kilmarnock sit 12 in the table, while Celtic sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 16% for Celtic to win and Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 14% implied by the current price. Celtic have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Kilmarnock. The 3-1 scoreline reflects Celtic’s consistent scoring ability against Kilmarnock’s defensive frailties, while Kilmarnock’s own attacking efficiency supports them scoring once in this likely.

Model chance vs price16% model chance against roughly 14% implied
Neutral
Celtic have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points.Visible data support
Positive
Kilmarnock sit 12 in the table, while Celtic sit 1.Visible data support
Positive
The 3-1 scoreline reflects Celtic’s consistent scoring ability.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Kilmarnock Win is the preferred angle because the 3-1 scoreline reflects Celtic’s consistent scoring ability against Kilmarnock’s defensive frailties, while Kilmarnock’s own attacking efficiency supports them scoring once in this likely high-pressure encounter. Celtic have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Kilmarnock. Kilmarnock and Celtic both carry scoring threat, but the result leg still demands a clear winner.

Main risk

Kilmarnock and Celtic both carry scoring threat, but the result leg still demands a clear winner.

Key Data Signals

Celtic to win and Both Teams To Score evidence

The 3-1 scoreline reflects Celtic’s consistent scoring ability against Kilmarnock’s defensive frailties, while Kilmarnock’s own attacking efficiency supports.

Celtic have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Kilmarnock.

Celtic have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Kilmarnock Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Kilmarnock sit 12 in the table, while Celtic sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Celtic to win and Both Teams To Score notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Kilmarnock3
    Avg goals scored
    Celtic1
    Kilmarnock4
    Avg goals conceded
    Celtic0
    Kilmarnock100%
    BTTS rate
    Celtic0%
    Kilmarnock100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Celtic0%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 60% · edge +6.8 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
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    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 76%
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 100% for Kilmarnock and 0% for Celtic, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickKilmarnock to WinBetfred guide price · Model 16% vs implied 14% · edge +1.3 pts
    7
    Check odds @ 7
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    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Kilmarnock Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 39%
    4.15
    Check odds @ 4.15
    Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Kilmarnock to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Kilmarnock3
    Avg corners for
    Celtic9
    Kilmarnock9
    Avg total corners
    Celtic13
    Kilmarnock2
    Avg yellow cards
    Celtic1
    Kilmarnock7
    Avg shots
    Celtic18
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 62% · edge +7.3 pts
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
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    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Kilmarnock

    L
    Last 50W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 1L
    02 Aug 2026A ST Johnstone3-4

    Celtic

    W
    Last 51W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 0L
    03 Aug 2026H Dundee1-0
    Market aligned with main pickKilmarnock to WinBetfred guide price · Model 16% vs implied 14% · edge +1.3 pts
    7
    Check odds @ 7
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    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 48%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Kilmarnock Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 39%
    4.15
    Check odds @ 4.15
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    1Kilmarnock wins
    1Draws
    8Celtic wins
    15 Feb 2026Kilmarnock v Celtic2-3
    09 Nov 2025Celtic v Kilmarnock4-0
    14 Sep 2025Kilmarnock v Celtic1-2
    12 Apr 2025Celtic v Kilmarnock5-1
    18 Jan 2025Celtic v Kilmarnock2-1
    10 Nov 2024Kilmarnock v Celtic0-2
    Market aligned with main pickKilmarnock to WinBetfred guide price · Model 16% vs implied 14% · edge +1.3 pts
    7
    Check odds @ 7
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Kilmarnock to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Premiership

    Kilmarnock7
    Played
    Celtic7
    Kilmarnock0.9
    Avg goals for
    Celtic2
    Kilmarnock2.1
    Avg goals against
    Celtic0.6
    Kilmarnock2
    Clean sheets
    Celtic3
    Market aligned with main pickKilmarnock to WinBetfred guide price · Model 16% vs implied 14% · edge +1.3 pts
    7
    Check odds @ 7
    Load more odds for this section
    Kilmarnock Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 39%
    4.15
    Check odds @ 4.15
    Season data supports Kilmarnock to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1Celtic18760110
    12Kilmarnock57124-9
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Kilmarnock Over 2.5
    0%Celtic Over 2.5
    3.7H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Kilmarnock sit at 100% and Celtic sit at 0% with the H2H average at 3.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.