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Kilmarnock crestKilmarnock
v
Celtic crestCeltic

Premiership | Sat 03 Apr, 15:00

Kilmarnock v Celtic Stats

Data last updated: Tue 03 Nov 2026, 07:11 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Kilmarnock face Celtic in Premiership on Sat 03 Apr, 15:00. Both teams have averaged exactly 2.1 goals per game across their respective last 10 league matches. Celtic look stronger on recent form, while Kilmarnock remain vulnerable after weaker results.

BT4Y best bet

Celtic to win and Both Teams To Score

  • Celtic to win and Both Teams To Score is rated around 27% by the current BT4Y model.
  • The 3-1 scoreline reflects Celtic’s consistent scoring ability against Kilmarnock’s defensive frailties, while Kilmarnock’s own attacking efficiency supports them scoring once in this likely.
  • Celtic have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 4 for Kilmarnock.
  • Kilmarnock sit 11 in the table, while Celtic sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Celtic to win and Both Teams To Score around 27% on the latest available numbers. Celtic have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 4 for Kilmarnock. The 3-1 scoreline reflects Celtic’s consistent scoring ability against Kilmarnock’s defensive frailties, while Kilmarnock’s own attacking efficiency supports them scoring once in this likely.

Celtic have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points.Visible data support
Positive
Kilmarnock sit 11 in the table, while Celtic sit 1.Visible data support
Positive
The 3-1 scoreline reflects Celtic’s consistent scoring ability.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Kilmarnock Win is the preferred angle because the 3-1 scoreline reflects Celtic’s consistent scoring ability against Kilmarnock’s defensive frailties, while Kilmarnock’s own attacking efficiency supports them scoring once in this likely high-pressure encounter. Celtic have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 4 for Kilmarnock. Kilmarnock and Celtic both carry scoring threat, but the result leg still demands a clear winner.

Main risk

Kilmarnock and Celtic both carry scoring threat, but the result leg still demands a clear winner.

Key Data Signals

Celtic to win and Both Teams To Score evidence

The 3-1 scoreline reflects Celtic’s consistent scoring ability against Kilmarnock’s defensive frailties, while Kilmarnock’s own attacking efficiency supports.

Celtic have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 4 for Kilmarnock.

Celtic have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Kilmarnock Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Kilmarnock sit 11 in the table, while Celtic sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Celtic to win and Both Teams To Score notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Kilmarnock1.4
    Avg goals scored
    Celtic2.6
    Kilmarnock2.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Celtic1.2
    Kilmarnock80%
    BTTS rate
    Celtic60%
    Kilmarnock100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Celtic60%

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Kilmarnock

    DLLWL
    Last 51W 1D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 3D 5L
    31 Oct 2026H ST Johnstone2-2
    28 Oct 2026A Dundee1-3
    24 Oct 2026A Falkirk0-3
    17 Oct 2026H Motherwell3-2
    10 Oct 2026A Rangers1-3

    Celtic

    LDWWW
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 107W 1D 2L
    01 Nov 2026A Falkirk0-2
    28 Oct 2026H Dundee Utd2-2
    25 Oct 2026A Hibernian2-1
    18 Oct 2026H Heart Of Midlothian7-1
    11 Oct 2026A Motherwell2-0

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Kilmarnock Over 2.5
    60%Celtic Over 2.5
    4H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Kilmarnock sit at 100% and Celtic sit at 60% with the H2H average at 4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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