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ST Mirren crestST Mirren
v
ST Johnstone crestST Johnstone

Premiership | Sat 08 Aug, 15:00

ST Mirren v ST Johnstone Stats

Data last updated: Sun 30 Aug 2026, 14:14 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

ST Mirren face ST Johnstone in Premiership on Sat 08 Aug, 15:00. St Johnstone did, however, win the latest encounter 1-0 at the SMISA Stadium in February 2025, ensuring the recent history is not completely one-sided. St Mirren and St Johnstone show similar overall levels, making execution more important than raw form.

BT4Y best bet

St Mirren to win and both teams to score

  • At 7/2, St Mirren to win and both teams to score implies roughly 22%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 37%.
  • The visitors clearly possess attacking threat, but their defensive resilience will face a different examination in Paisley.
  • ST Mirren sit 4 in the table, while ST Johnstone sit 8, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 37% for St Mirren to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 22% implied by the current price. ST Mirren sit 4 in the table, while ST Johnstone sit 8, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read. The visitors clearly possess attacking threat, but their defensive resilience will face a different examination in Paisley.

Model chance vs price37% model chance against roughly 22% implied
Strong positive
ST Mirren sit 4 in the table, while ST Johnstone.Visible data support
Positive
The visitors clearly possess attacking threat, but their defensive.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: ST Mirren Win is the preferred angle because the visitors clearly possess attacking threat, but their defensive resilience will face a different examination in Paisley. ST Mirren have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the ST Mirren Win angle more than a raw possession edge. St Johnstone have returned to the Premiership with ambition rather than caution.

Main risk

St Johnstone have returned to the Premiership with ambition rather than caution.

Key Data Signals

St Mirren to win and both teams to score evidence

The visitors clearly possess attacking threat, but their defensive resilience will face a different examination in Paisley.

ST Mirren have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the ST Mirren Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

ST Mirren sit 4 in the table, while ST Johnstone sit 8, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

St Mirren to win and both teams to score notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    ST Mirren2
    Avg goals scored
    ST Johnstone4
    ST Mirren0
    Avg goals conceded
    ST Johnstone3
    ST Mirren0%
    BTTS rate
    ST Johnstone100%
    ST Mirren0%
    Over 2.5 goals
    ST Johnstone100%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 60% · edge +6.8 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 71%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 35%
    3.2
    Check odds @ 3.2
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 0% for ST Mirren and 100% for ST Johnstone, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickST Mirren to WinBetUK guide price · Model 43% vs implied 42% · edge +1 pts
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    ST Mirren Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    ST Mirren to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    ST Mirren7
    Avg corners for
    ST Johnstone6
    ST Mirren14
    Avg total corners
    ST Johnstone9
    ST Mirren4
    Avg yellow cards
    ST Johnstone2
    ST Mirren15
    Avg shots
    ST Johnstone15
    Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 69%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 4.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    ST Mirren

    W
    Last 51W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 0L
    01 Aug 2026A Falkirk2-0

    ST Johnstone

    W
    Last 51W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 0L
    02 Aug 2026H Kilmarnock4-3
    Market aligned with main pickST Mirren to WinBetUK guide price · Model 43% vs implied 42% · edge +1 pts
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 73%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    ST Mirren Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    5ST Mirren wins
    2Draws
    3ST Johnstone wins
    01 Feb 2025ST Mirren v ST Johnstone0-1
    14 Dec 2024ST Johnstone v ST Mirren2-3
    30 Oct 2024ST Mirren v ST Johnstone3-1
    24 Feb 2024ST Mirren v ST Johnstone2-0
    06 Dec 2023ST Johnstone v ST Mirren1-0
    28 Oct 2023ST Mirren v ST Johnstone4-0
    Market aligned with main pickST Mirren to WinBetUK guide price · Model 43% vs implied 42% · edge +1 pts
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    The head-to-head sample gives context for ST Mirren to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Premiership

    ST Mirren2
    Played
    ST Johnstone3
    ST Mirren1.5
    Avg goals for
    ST Johnstone1.7
    ST Mirren0
    Avg goals against
    ST Johnstone2
    ST Mirren2
    Clean sheets
    ST Johnstone0
    Market aligned with main pickST Mirren to WinBetUK guide price · Model 43% vs implied 42% · edge +1 pts
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Load more odds for this section
    ST Mirren Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Season data supports ST Mirren to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    4ST Mirren622003
    8ST Johnstone33102-1
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    0%ST Mirren Over 2.5
    100%ST Johnstone Over 2.5
    2.7H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: ST Mirren sit at 0% and ST Johnstone sit at 100% with the H2H average at 2.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    ST Mirren v ST Johnstone prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Next step

    Betting context

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