Football Stats Hub

ST Mirren crestST Mirren
v
ST Johnstone crestST Johnstone

Premiership | Sat 08 Aug, 15:00

ST Mirren v ST Johnstone Stats

Data last updated: Fri 07 Aug 2026, 05:17 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

ST Mirren and ST Johnstone meet in a tightly contested Premiership clash where both teams have started the season with three points each, reflecting competitive balance. ST Mirren currently leads the table, with ST Johnstone just behind in second place, adding significance to this early-season fixture. Both sides have shown contrasting attacking styles, with ST Johnstone producing more goals but ST Mirren maintaining a solid defensive record. The match promises tactical battles on the flanks, likely generating numerous corner opportunities as both teams seek to assert control and capitalize on set-piece chances.

BT4Y best bet

Over 8.5 Corners

  • ST Mirren averages 7 corners per game, ST Johnstone 6, combining for a high corner count.
  • Both teams have aggressive wing play, increasing corner likelihood through wide attacks.
  • Recent form shows ST Johnstone’s matches often exceed 8.5 corners, reflecting open play.
  • Defensive pressure and fouling rates suggest frequent stoppages near the box, leading to corners.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 75% chance for over 8.5 corners, supported by both teams' attacking tendencies and corner averages (7 and 6 respectively). ST Johnstone’s open style and ST Mirren’s solid wing play create sustained pressure and repeated deliveries into the box. The corner count is bolstered by fouling patterns and shot volumes, indicating active territorial battles. No price warning is present, making this a standard pick. The data quality is strong with ample recent match samples for both teams.

Corner averagesST Mirren 7, ST Johnstone 6 per game
Strong positive
Attacking styleWing play and pressure create corner chances
Positive
Fouling and stoppagesFrequent fouls near box increase corner opportunities
Positive
Recent formST Johnstone’s games often exceed 8.5 corners
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match with frequent wide attacks and territorial battles leading to numerous corners. ST Mirren’s consistent wing pressure combined with ST Johnstone’s open attacking approach should push the corner count above 8.5. The data supports this with both teams averaging high corner numbers and active fouling near the box, making this a tactically sound selection.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market rationale

“The corner market here is compelling given both teams’ tendencies to attack down the flanks and force defensive clearances. Their combined average corners and fouling patterns suggest a lively match with set-piece opportunities.”

Key Data Signals

Over 8.5 Corners evidence

ST Mirren averages 7 corners per game, ST Johnstone 6, combining for a high corner count.

Both teams have aggressive wing play, increasing corner likelihood through wide attacks.

Recent form shows ST Johnstone’s matches often exceed 8.5 corners, reflecting open play.

Defensive pressure and fouling rates suggest frequent stoppages near the box, leading to corners.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 8.5 Corners notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2.7, indicating moderately open contests.
  • Over recent matches, both teams have shown a propensity for games with multiple goals and active wing play, suggesting a tempo that supports frequent corner kicks and attacking transitions.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

ST Mirren2
Avg goals scored
ST Johnstone4
ST Mirren0
Avg goals conceded
ST Johnstone3
ST Mirren0%
BTTS rate
ST Johnstone100%
ST Mirren0%
Over 2.5 goals
ST Johnstone100%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 60% · edge +6.8 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 35%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
While ST Johnstone’s matches show a 100% over 2.5 goals rate, ST Mirren’s games have been low scoring. This contrast suggests open play from ST Johnstone and a more cautious approach from ST Mirren. The goal trends indicate potential for attacking moments that often result in corners through transitions and set pieces.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 60% · edge +6.8 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
ST Johnstone to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
ST Mirren Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
ST Johnstone Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 52%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
ST Mirren to WinBetUK guide price · model 43%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
The over 8.5 corners market is priced without clear data but the model’s 75% probability indicates a strong likelihood. This suggests the market is fairly priced or slightly value-positive, supported by both teams’ corner averages and attacking styles that encourage wide play and defensive pressure.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

ST Mirren7
Avg corners for
ST Johnstone-
ST Mirren14
Avg total corners
ST Johnstone-
ST Mirren4
Avg yellow cards
ST Johnstone-
ST Mirren15
Avg shots
ST Johnstone-
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Both teams average a combined 13 corners per game, with ST Mirren committing 4 yellow cards and ST Johnstone 2 on average, indicating a moderately physical game. The shot volume is balanced at 15 per team with 5 on target each, reflecting sustained pressure and attacking intent that typically generate corner kicks.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

ST Mirren

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
01 Aug 2026A Falkirk2-0

ST Johnstone

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
02 Aug 2026H Kilmarnock4-3
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 64% · edge +7.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
ST Johnstone to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
ST Mirren Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
ST Johnstone Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 52%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
ST Mirren to WinBetUK guide price · model 43%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Recent matches for ST Johnstone consistently exceed 8.5 corners, reflecting their open and attacking style. ST Mirren’s recent games also show solid corner counts near this threshold, driven by wing play and defensive clearances. Both teams’ form supports a high corner count in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5ST Mirren wins
2Draws
3ST Johnstone wins
01 Feb 2025ST Mirren v ST Johnstone0-1
14 Dec 2024ST Johnstone v ST Mirren2-3
30 Oct 2024ST Mirren v ST Johnstone3-1
24 Feb 2024ST Mirren v ST Johnstone2-0
06 Dec 2023ST Johnstone v ST Mirren1-0
28 Oct 2023ST Mirren v ST Johnstone4-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 60% · edge +6.8 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
ST Johnstone to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
ST Mirren to WinBetUK guide price · model 43%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
The last ten meetings between ST Mirren and ST Johnstone have averaged 2.7 goals per game, reflecting competitive and open encounters. While the sample is moderate, the pattern of balanced attacking and defensive play supports a match environment conducive to sustained pressure and corner opportunities.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Premiership

ST Mirren1
Played
ST Johnstone1
ST Mirren2
Avg goals for
ST Johnstone4
ST Mirren0
Avg goals against
ST Johnstone3
ST Mirren1
Clean sheets
ST Johnstone0
Best odds for this sectionST Johnstone to WinBet365 guide price · Model 41% vs implied 32% · edge +8.7 pts
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Load more odds for this section
ST Mirren Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
ST Johnstone Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 52%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
ST Mirren to WinBetUK guide price · model 43%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Season-long data shows ST Mirren averaging 7 corners per game and ST Johnstone 6, indicating sustained wing pressure and attacking width. Their defensive styles lead to frequent clearances and fouls near the box, contributing to corner opportunities. This season profile underpins the over 8.5 corners selection.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1ST Mirren311002
2ST Johnstone311001
ST Mirren leads the Premiership with 3 points, closely followed by ST Johnstone in second. The early-season table pressure encourages both teams to play assertively, especially on the wings, to secure set-piece chances and control territory, which typically results in a higher corner count.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%ST Mirren Over 2.5
100%ST Johnstone Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2.7, indicating moderately open contests. Over recent matches, both teams have shown a propensity for games with multiple goals and active wing play, suggesting a tempo that supports frequent corner kicks and attacking transitions.

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