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Motherwell crestMotherwell
v
Falkirk crestFalkirk

Premiership | Sun 09 Aug, 15:00

Motherwell v Falkirk Stats

Data last updated: Mon 21 Sep 2026, 11:44 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Motherwell face Falkirk in Premiership on Sun 09 Aug, 15:00. Motherwell followed European progress with a 2-1 league victory away to Hibernian, Ibrahim Said scoring the decisive goal in the 85th minute, before drawing 1-1 with HJK Helsinki in Europe.

BT4Y best bet

Motherwell to win and both teams to score

  • At 5/2, Motherwell to win and both teams to score implies roughly 29%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 44%.
  • They have already navigated European football, won away in the Premiership and shown the resilience to score a late winner against Hibernian.
  • Motherwell have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Falkirk.
  • Motherwell sit 9 in the table, while Falkirk sit 11, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 44% for Motherwell to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 29% implied by the current price. Motherwell have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Falkirk. They have already navigated European football, won away in the Premiership and shown the resilience to score a late winner against Hibernian.

Model chance vs price44% model chance against roughly 29% implied
Strong positive
Motherwell have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points.Visible data support
Positive
Motherwell sit 9 in the table, while Falkirk sit 11.Visible data support
Positive
They have already navigated European football, won away in.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Motherwell Win is the preferred angle because they have already navigated European football, won away in the Premiership and shown the resilience to score a late winner against Hibernian. Motherwell have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Falkirk. McGlynn’s side may be struggling for consistency, but their recent record against Motherwell is difficult to dismiss.

Main risk

McGlynn’s side may be struggling for consistency, but their recent record against Motherwell is difficult to dismiss.

Key Data Signals

Motherwell to win and both teams to score evidence

They have already navigated European football, won away in the Premiership and shown the resilience to score a.

Motherwell have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Falkirk.

Motherwell have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Motherwell Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Motherwell sit 9 in the table, while Falkirk sit 11, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Motherwell to win and both teams to score notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Motherwell2
    Avg goals scored
    Falkirk0
    Motherwell1
    Avg goals conceded
    Falkirk2
    Motherwell100%
    BTTS rate
    Falkirk0%
    Motherwell100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Falkirk0%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 60% · edge +6.8 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 100% for Motherwell and 0% for Falkirk, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickMotherwell to WinBetUK guide price · Model 54% vs implied 55% · edge -0.6 pts
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Motherwell Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
    1.45
    Check odds @ 1.45
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Motherwell to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Motherwell2
    Avg corners for
    Falkirk7
    Motherwell11
    Avg total corners
    Falkirk14
    Motherwell3
    Avg yellow cards
    Falkirk0
    Motherwell9
    Avg shots
    Falkirk10
    Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 62% · edge +13.3 pts
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 63%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Motherwell

    W
    Last 51W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 0L
    02 Aug 2026A Hibernian2-1

    Falkirk

    L
    Last 50W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 1L
    01 Aug 2026H ST Mirren0-2
    Market aligned with main pickMotherwell to WinBetUK guide price · Model 54% vs implied 55% · edge -0.6 pts
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
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    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Motherwell Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
    1.45
    Check odds @ 1.45
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Motherwell wins
    1Draws
    3Falkirk wins
    02 May 2026Falkirk v Motherwell1-0
    04 Apr 2026Motherwell v Falkirk2-3
    03 Dec 2025Falkirk v Motherwell0-0
    18 Oct 2025Motherwell v Falkirk1-2
    Market aligned with main pickMotherwell to WinBetUK guide price · Model 54% vs implied 55% · edge -0.6 pts
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Motherwell to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Premiership

    Motherwell7
    Played
    Falkirk7
    Motherwell1.3
    Avg goals for
    Falkirk0.9
    Motherwell1.6
    Avg goals against
    Falkirk1.3
    Motherwell2
    Clean sheets
    Falkirk1
    Market aligned with main pickMotherwell to WinBetUK guide price · Model 54% vs implied 55% · edge -0.6 pts
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Load more odds for this section
    Motherwell Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
    1.45
    Check odds @ 1.45
    Season data supports Motherwell to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    9Motherwell87223-2
    11Falkirk67133-3
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Motherwell Over 2.5
    0%Falkirk Over 2.5
    2.25H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Motherwell sit at 100% and Falkirk sit at 0% with the H2H average at 2.25 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.