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Motherwell crestMotherwell
v
Falkirk crestFalkirk

Premiership | Sat 27 Feb, 15:00

Motherwell v Falkirk Stats

Data last updated: Tue 03 Nov 2026, 10:20 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Motherwell face Falkirk in Premiership on Sat 27 Feb, 15:00. Motherwell followed European progress with a 2-1 league victory away to Hibernian, Ibrahim Said scoring the decisive goal in the 85th minute, before drawing 1-1 with HJK Helsinki in Europe.

BT4Y match pick

Motherwell to win and both teams to score

  • At 5/2, Motherwell to win and both teams to score implies roughly 29%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
  • They have already navigated European football, won away in the Premiership and shown the resilience to score a late winner against Hibernian.
  • Falkirk have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 4 for Motherwell.
  • Motherwell sit 9 in the table, while Falkirk sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 27% for Motherwell to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 29% implied by the current price. Falkirk have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 4 for Motherwell. They have already navigated European football, won away in the Premiership and shown the resilience to score a late winner against Hibernian.

Model chance vs price27% model chance against roughly 29% implied
Neutral
Falkirk have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points.Visible data support
Positive
Motherwell sit 9 in the table, while Falkirk sit 4.Visible data support
Positive
They have already navigated European football, won away in.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Motherwell Win is the preferred angle because they have already navigated European football, won away in the Premiership and shown the resilience to score a late winner against Hibernian. Falkirk have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 4 for Motherwell. McGlynn’s side may be struggling for consistency, but their recent record against Motherwell is difficult to dismiss.

Main risk

McGlynn’s side may be struggling for consistency, but their recent record against Motherwell is difficult to dismiss.

Key Data Signals

Motherwell to win and both teams to score evidence

They have already navigated European football, won away in the Premiership and shown the resilience to score a.

Falkirk have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 4 for Motherwell.

Falkirk have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Motherwell Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Motherwell sit 9 in the table, while Falkirk sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Motherwell to win and both teams to score notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Motherwell1
    Avg goals scored
    Falkirk1.8
    Motherwell1.8
    Avg goals conceded
    Falkirk0.6
    Motherwell40%
    BTTS rate
    Falkirk40%
    Motherwell40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Falkirk60%

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Motherwell

    WDLLL
    Last 51W 1D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 2D 6L
    31 Oct 2026H ST Mirren1-0
    28 Oct 2026A ST Johnstone2-2
    25 Oct 2026H Heart Of Midlothian0-2
    17 Oct 2026A Kilmarnock2-3
    11 Oct 2026H Celtic0-2

    Falkirk

    WWWWL
    Last 54W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 2D 3L
    01 Nov 2026H Celtic2-0
    28 Oct 2026A Aberdeen1-0
    24 Oct 2026H Kilmarnock3-0
    17 Oct 2026A Hibernian2-1
    10 Oct 2026H Dundee1-2

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%Motherwell Over 2.5
    60%Falkirk Over 2.5
    1.8H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Motherwell sit at 40% and Falkirk sit at 60% with the H2H average at 1.8 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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