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Fluminense crestFluminense
v
Remo crestRemo

Serie A | Sat 22 Aug, 20:00

Fluminense v Remo Stats

Data last updated: Fri 21 Aug 2026, 07:29 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Fluminense hosts Remo in a Serie A clash where Fluminense's strong home form and Remo's struggle near the relegation zone set an intriguing stage. Fluminense ranks 4th with 38 points, showing solid attacking intent, while Remo sits 18th with 23 points, often under pressure defensively. Both teams have averaged over 10 corners combined per game, reflecting an open style and territorial battles. Fluminense's tactical approach emphasizes wing play and sustained pressure, likely to generate numerous set-piece opportunities against a Remo side that concedes frequently under pressure.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Fluminense averages 6.6 corners per game, Remo 4.2, combining for over 10 corners on average.
  • Both teams show attacking intent with Fluminense taking 17.4 shots and Remo 11 shots per match.
  • Recent form shows Fluminense earning 7 points in last matches, Remo 5, with both sides creating corner chances.
  • Fluminense's home rank and Remo's defensive struggles suggest sustained pressure and set-piece opportunities.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Over 9.5 Corners at 69% chance, well above the 57.8% implied by current , indicating clear value. Fluminense's high corner average (6.6) combined with Remo's 4.2 corners per game supports a match with at least 10 corners. Both teams' attacking styles and shot volumes (Fluminense 17.4, Remo 11) translate into territorial control and frequent wide attacks, increasing corner likelihood. is strong at 81%, with no data limitations affecting reliability.

Fluminense average corners6.6 per game
Strong positive
Remo average corners4.2 per game
Positive
Combined shots per game28.4 total
Strong positive
Model confidence81%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect Fluminense's home control and Remo's defensive vulnerabilities to produce frequent corner situations. Fluminense's aggressive wing play and Remo's need to clear danger under pressure create a strong case for Over 9.5 Corners. The statistical corner averages and recent form reinforce this tactical outlook, making this bet a solid choice for corner markets.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · corner market analysis

“Fluminense's attacking style and Remo's defensive frailties set the stage for a corner-heavy game. The combination of high shot volumes and territorial pressure strongly favors Over 9.5 Corners in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Fluminense averages 6.6 corners per game, Remo 4.2, combining for over 10 corners on average.

Both teams show attacking intent with Fluminense taking 17.4 shots and Remo 11 shots per match.

Recent form shows Fluminense earning 7 points in last matches, Remo 5, with both sides creating corner chances.

Fluminense's home rank and Remo's defensive struggles suggest sustained pressure and set-piece opportunities.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last five matches, Over 2.5 Goals occurred 20% for Fluminense and 60% for Remo, with an average of 2 goals per game in their single H2H meeting.
  • While goal totals are moderate, the tempo and attacking intent from both sides suggest a match with frequent wide plays and transitions, supporting a higher corner count rather than high scoring alone.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Fluminense7.75
Avg corners for
Remo4
Fluminense12
Avg total corners
Remo9.5
Fluminense2.5
Avg yellow cards
Remo2.5
Fluminense20
Avg shots
Remo10.75
Market aligned with main pickOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 58% · edge +11.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 4.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Fluminense averages 6.6 corners and 17.4 shots per game, while Remo contributes 4.2 corners and 11 shots. The volume of shots and wide play suggests frequent defensive clearances leading to corners. Card averages are moderate, indicating a competitive but not overly aggressive match, supporting steady territorial battles and set-piece chances.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Fluminense1.2
Avg goals scored
Remo1.2
Fluminense1
Avg goals conceded
Remo1.6
Fluminense80%
BTTS rate
Remo60%
Fluminense20%
Over 2.5 goals
Remo60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 61%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Both teams average 1.2 goals scored per game, with Fluminense conceding fewer goals (1.0) than Remo (1.6). Despite moderate goal totals, the high BTTS rates (Fluminense 80%, Remo 60%) indicate open play and attacking intent, which often correlates with increased corner counts due to sustained pressure and wide attacks.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Remo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 39%
4.25
Check odds @ 4.25
Remo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 28%
8
Check odds @ 8
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Fluminense Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.21
Check odds @ 1.21
Fluminense to WinBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
The Over 9.5 Corners market is priced attractively with a 1.73 , reflecting a 57.8% implied chance, while the model estimates a 69% probability. This 11.2% suggests the market underestimates the frequency of corners, making this a positive value bet without price warnings.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Fluminense

WDDDD
Last 51W 4D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 6D 2L
15 Aug 2026H Palmeiras3-2
09 Aug 2026A Botafogo1-1
30 Jul 2026H Bahia0-0
26 Jul 2026A Gremio1-1
18 Jul 2026H RB Bragantino1-1

Remo

DDLWL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
18 Aug 2026A Internacional1-1
08 Aug 2026H Atletico-MG2-2
29 Jul 2026A Mirassol1-2
26 Jul 2026H Vitoria2-0
23 Jul 2026A Corinthians0-3
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +15 pts
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Load more odds for this section
Remo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 39%
4.25
Check odds @ 4.25
Remo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 28%
8
Check odds @ 8
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 81%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Fluminense Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.21
Check odds @ 1.21
Fluminense to WinBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Recent form shows Fluminense earning 7 points with a 20% Over 2.5 Goals rate but a high 80% BTTS rate, indicating open games with attacking exchanges. Remo has 5 points with a 60% Over 2.5 rate and 60% BTTS, reflecting their tendency to concede and attack. This form supports a match with sustained pressure and multiple corner opportunities, aligning with the Over 9.5 Corners pick.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Fluminense wins
0Draws
0Remo wins
12 Mar 2026Remo v Fluminense0-2
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Remo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 28%
8
Check odds @ 8
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Fluminense to WinBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
The single head-to-head match between Fluminense and Remo averaged 2 goals, indicating a moderately open game. While limited, this meeting suggests neither side dominates defensively, allowing for attacking exchanges that typically generate corners. The H2H data provides background but less predictive power than current form and season stats.
Season team stats

Serie A

Fluminense23
Played
Remo23
Fluminense1.5
Avg goals for
Remo1.2
Fluminense1.2
Avg goals against
Remo1.6
Fluminense4
Clean sheets
Remo3
Best odds for this sectionRemo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 39% vs implied 24% · edge +15 pts
4.25
Check odds @ 4.25
Load more odds for this section
Remo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 28%
8
Check odds @ 8
Fluminense Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.21
Check odds @ 1.21
Fluminense to WinBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Season-long data reveals Fluminense's strong corner generation at 6.6 per game, supported by high shot volumes and attacking control. Remo's 4.2 corners per game reflect their reactive style, often conceding territory. Combined, these stats underpin a game likely to exceed 9.5 corners, as Fluminense's offensive patterns create frequent wide attacks and set-piece chances.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
4Fluminense382310856
18Remo23235810-10
Fluminense's 4th place and 38 points highlight their competitive edge and home strength, while Remo's 18th place with 23 points shows defensive struggles and pressure to attack. This standings gap suggests Fluminense will control play and territory, increasing corner opportunities against a team under pressure to respond.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Fluminense Over 2.5
60%Remo Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
In the last five matches, Over 2.5 Goals occurred 20% for Fluminense and 60% for Remo, with an average of 2 goals per game in their single H2H meeting. While goal totals are moderate, the tempo and attacking intent from both sides suggest a match with frequent wide plays and transitions, supporting a higher corner count rather than high scoring alone.

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