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Fluminense crestFluminense
v
Remo crestRemo

Serie A | Sat 22 Aug, 20:00

Fluminense v Remo Stats

Data last updated: Tue 15 Sep 2026, 15:02 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Fluminense face Remo in Serie A on Sat 22 Aug, 20:00. Fluminense have taken 27 points from 12 home league matches, winning eight and losing only once, making the Maracana their clearest competitive advantage.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Fluminense to win

  • At 4/9, Fluminense to win implies roughly 69%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 54%.
  • Fluminense vs Remo: Home Strength Meets a Side Running Out of Margin.
  • Fluminense have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 5 for Remo.
  • Fluminense have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Fluminense to win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Fluminense sit 5 in the table, while Remo sit 19, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Price warning

Fluminense to win is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 69% while the model sits nearer 54% (-14.8 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Both Teams to Score shows a +15 pts edge at 1.95.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 54% for Fluminense to win sits against roughly 69% implied by the current price. Fluminense have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 5 for Remo. Fluminense vs Remo: Home Strength Meets a Side Running Out of Margin.

Model chance vs price54% model chance against roughly 69% implied
Negative
Fluminense have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points.Visible data support
Positive
Fluminense have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Fluminense vs Remo: Home Strength Meets a Side Running.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Fluminense Win is the preferred angle because fluminense vs Remo: Home Strength Meets a Side Running Out of Margin. Fluminense have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 5 for Remo. Hulk and Cano both scored against Palmeiras, so the hosts are hardly stripped of threat, but the distribution of responsibility changes considerably without Kennedy and Acosta.

Main risk

Hulk and Cano both scored against Palmeiras, so the hosts are hardly stripped of threat, but the distribution of responsibility changes considerably without Kennedy and Acosta.

Key Data Signals

Fluminense to win evidence

Fluminense vs Remo: Home Strength Meets a Side Running Out of Margin.

Fluminense have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 5 for Remo.

Fluminense have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Fluminense Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Fluminense sit 5 in the table, while Remo sit 19, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Fluminense to win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Fluminense5.5
    Avg corners for
    Remo4.2
    Fluminense11
    Avg total corners
    Remo9
    Fluminense3
    Avg yellow cards
    Remo2.2
    Fluminense15.5
    Avg shots
    Remo11
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 58% · edge +11.2 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
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    Over 4.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 65%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 75%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    more Serie A analysisfull betting preview for Fluminense v Remocorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Fluminense1.2
    Avg goals scored
    Remo1.2
    Fluminense1
    Avg goals conceded
    Remo1.6
    Fluminense80%
    BTTS rate
    Remo60%
    Fluminense20%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Remo60%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 61%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 61%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 25%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickFluminense to WinBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 69% · edge -14.6 pts
    1.45
    Check odds @ 1.45
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 66%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 75%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Fluminense Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Fluminense to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Fluminense

    WDDDD
    Last 51W 4D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 6D 2L
    15 Aug 2026H Palmeiras3-2
    09 Aug 2026A Botafogo1-1
    30 Jul 2026H Bahia0-0
    26 Jul 2026A Gremio1-1
    18 Jul 2026H RB Bragantino1-1

    Remo

    DDLWL
    Last 51W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 3D 3L
    18 Aug 2026A Internacional1-1
    08 Aug 2026H Atletico-MG2-2
    29 Jul 2026A Mirassol1-2
    26 Jul 2026H Vitoria2-0
    23 Jul 2026A Corinthians0-3
    Market aligned with main pickFluminense to WinBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 69% · edge -14.6 pts
    1.45
    Check odds @ 1.45
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 81%
    1.08
    Check odds @ 1.08
    Fluminense Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    1Fluminense wins
    0Draws
    0Remo wins
    12 Mar 2026Remo v Fluminense0-2
    Market aligned with main pickFluminense to WinBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 69% · edge -14.6 pts
    1.45
    Check odds @ 1.45
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 66%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Fluminense to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Serie A

    Fluminense27
    Played
    Remo27
    Fluminense1.5
    Avg goals for
    Remo1.1
    Fluminense1.3
    Avg goals against
    Remo1.7
    Fluminense5
    Clean sheets
    Remo3
    Market aligned with main pickFluminense to WinBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 69% · edge -14.6 pts
    1.45
    Check odds @ 1.45
    Load more odds for this section
    Fluminense Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Season data supports Fluminense to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    5Fluminense452712966
    19Remo23275814-14
    Fluminense sit in position 5, while Remo sit in position 19, so table pressure belongs in the Fluminense to win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    20%Fluminense Over 2.5
    60%Remo Over 2.5
    2H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Fluminense sit at 20% and Remo sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Fluminense v Remo prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Competition and hubs

    Serie A hubmore Serie A analysisfull betting preview for Fluminense v Remocorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football stats

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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