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Djurgardens IF crestDjurgardens IF
v
Sirius crestSirius

Allsvenskan | Mon 18 May, 18:00

Djurgardens IF v Sirius Stats

Data last updated: Fri 26 Jun 2026, 21:30 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Djurgardens IF face Sirius in Allsvenskan on Mon 18 May, 18:00. Djurgardens IF come in with 7 recent points and 2.4 goals per match, while Sirius have 13 points and 2.8 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Sirius to Win

  • At 3, Sirius Win implies roughly 33%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 68%.
  • Sirius have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 7 for Djurgardens IF.
  • Djurgardens IF have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Sirius Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Djurgardens IF sit 8 in the table, while Sirius sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 68% for Sirius Win sits against roughly 33% implied by the current price. Sirius have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 7 for Djurgardens IF.

Model chance vs price68% model chance against roughly 33% implied
Strong positive
Sirius have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points.Visible data support
Positive
Djurgardens IF have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Sirius Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Sirius have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 7 for Djurgardens IF. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Sirius Win evidence

Sirius have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 7 for Djurgardens IF.

Djurgardens IF have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Sirius Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Djurgardens IF sit 8 in the table, while Sirius sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Sirius Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Djurgardens IF2.4
    Avg goals scored
    Sirius2.8
    Djurgardens IF1.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Sirius1.4
    Djurgardens IF60%
    BTTS rate
    Sirius80%
    Djurgardens IF60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Sirius80%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 65% · edge +10.6 pts
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 86%
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 36%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickSirius to WinBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 33% · edge +34.9 pts
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Load more odds for this section
    Sirius Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
    2.08
    Check odds @ 2.08
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Sirius to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Djurgardens IF6.8
    Avg corners for
    Sirius5.8
    Djurgardens IF10.8
    Avg total corners
    Sirius10.8
    Djurgardens IF2.2
    Avg yellow cards
    Sirius1
    Djurgardens IF17.2
    Avg shots
    Sirius17.8
    Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    1.92
    Check odds @ 1.92
    Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Djurgardens IF

    WWDLL
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 1D 2L
    10 May 2026A AIK Stockholm4-2
    04 May 2026H IFK Goteborg6-0
    26 Apr 2026H Hammarby FF1-1
    22 Apr 2026A IF Elfsborg1-2
    17 Apr 2026H Malmo FF0-1

    Sirius

    WWDWW
    Last 54W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 106W 1D 0L
    11 May 2026H Orgryte IS2-0
    02 May 2026H Kalmar FF3-2
    27 Apr 2026A BK Hacken2-2
    23 Apr 2026A Malmo FF3-2
    18 Apr 2026H Vasteras SK FK4-1
    Market aligned with main pickSirius to WinBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 33% · edge +34.9 pts
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Load more odds for this section
    Sirius Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
    2.08
    Check odds @ 2.08
    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    6Djurgardens IF wins
    3Draws
    1Sirius wins
    29 Sep 2025Djurgardens IF v Sirius8-2
    05 Apr 2025Sirius v Djurgardens IF0-1
    25 Aug 2024Sirius v Djurgardens IF0-1
    28 Jun 2024Sirius v Djurgardens IF2-2
    14 Apr 2024Djurgardens IF v Sirius2-0
    04 Nov 2023Djurgardens IF v Sirius2-4
    Market aligned with main pickSirius to WinBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 33% · edge +34.9 pts
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Sirius to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Allsvenskan

    Djurgardens IF9
    Played
    Sirius10
    Djurgardens IF2.1
    Avg goals for
    Sirius2.7
    Djurgardens IF1.4
    Avg goals against
    Sirius1
    Djurgardens IF2
    Clean sheets
    Sirius4
    Market aligned with main pickSirius to WinBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 33% · edge +34.9 pts
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Load more odds for this section
    Sirius Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
    2.08
    Check odds @ 2.08
    Season data supports Sirius to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1Sirius281091017
    8Djurgardens IF1394146
    Djurgardens IF sit in position 8, while Sirius sit in position 1, so table pressure belongs in the Sirius Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Djurgardens IF Over 2.5
    80%Sirius Over 2.5
    3.2H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Djurgardens IF sit at 60% and Sirius sit at 80% with the H2H average at 3.2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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    Betting context

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