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Chapecoense-sc crestChapecoense-sc
v
Remo crestRemo

Serie A | Sun 17 May, 22:30

Chapecoense-sc v Remo Stats

Data last updated: Sun 07 Jun 2026, 12:22 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Chapecoense-sc face Remo in Serie A on Sun 17 May, 22:30. Chapecoense are priced as home favourites at 11/10 despite carrying a record of just one win from fifteen league outings. The last two consecutive meetings between Chapecoense and Remo have ended in exactly a 1-1 scoreline.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Chapecoense-sc Win

  • At 2.38, Chapecoense-sc Win implies roughly 42%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
  • Chapecoense have conceded in all eight of their home matches, showing clear defensive frailty.
  • Remo have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 1 for Chapecoense-sc.
  • Remo have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the Chapecoense-sc Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Chapecoense-sc sit 20 in the table, while Remo sit 18, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Price warning

Chapecoense-sc Win is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 42% while the model sits nearer 27% (-15 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Both Teams to Score shows a +18.9 pts edge at 1.75.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 27% for Chapecoense-sc Win sits against roughly 42% implied by the current price. Remo have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 1 for Chapecoense-sc. Chapecoense have conceded in all eight of their home matches, showing clear defensive frailty.

Model chance vs price27% model chance against roughly 42% implied
Negative
Remo have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points.Visible data support
Positive
Remo have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Chapecoense have conceded in all eight of their home.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Chapecoense-sc Win is the preferred angle because chapecoense have conceded in all eight of their home matches, showing clear defensive frailty. Remo have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 1 for Chapecoense-sc. However, under Fabio Matias, they have found recent cup momentum.

Main risk

However, under Fabio Matias, they have found recent cup momentum.

Key Data Signals

Chapecoense-sc Win evidence

Chapecoense have conceded in all eight of their home matches, showing clear defensive frailty.

Remo have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 1 for Chapecoense-sc.

Remo have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the Chapecoense-sc Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Chapecoense-sc sit 20 in the table, while Remo sit 18, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Chapecoense-sc Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Chapecoense-sc2.4
    Avg corners for
    Remo3.8
    Chapecoense-sc7.6
    Avg total corners
    Remo10.6
    Chapecoense-sc3
    Avg yellow cards
    Remo1
    Chapecoense-sc11
    Avg shots
    Remo13
    Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBetfred guide price · Model 57% vs implied 58% · edge -0.8 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
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    Over 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 46%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 4.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Chapecoense-sc0.8
    Avg goals scored
    Remo1.2
    Chapecoense-sc2.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Remo1.6
    Chapecoense-sc80%
    BTTS rate
    Remo80%
    Chapecoense-sc60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Remo40%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 57% · edge +18.9 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
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    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 63%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 27%
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickChapecoense-sc to WinBet365 guide price · Model 27% vs implied 42% · edge -15 pts
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
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    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Chapecoense-sc Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Chapecoense-sc to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Chapecoense-sc

    DLLLL
    Last 50W 1D 4L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 4D 6L
    10 May 2026A Mirassol1-1
    03 May 2026H RB Bragantino1-2
    27 Apr 2026A Fluminense1-2
    18 Apr 2026H Botafogo1-4
    12 Apr 2026A Atletico Paranaense0-2

    Remo

    DWLLD
    Last 51W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 3D 5L
    10 May 2026H Palmeiras1-1
    02 May 2026A Botafogo2-1
    25 Apr 2026H Cruzeiro0-1
    19 Apr 2026A RB Bragantino2-4
    11 Apr 2026H Vasco DA Gama1-1
    Market aligned with main pickChapecoense-sc to WinBet365 guide price · Model 27% vs implied 42% · edge -15 pts
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
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    Chapecoense-sc Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Chapecoense-sc wins
    2Draws
    0Remo wins
    02 Nov 2025Remo v Chapecoense-sc1-1
    13 Jul 2025Chapecoense-sc v Remo1-1
    Market aligned with main pickChapecoense-sc to WinBet365 guide price · Model 27% vs implied 42% · edge -15 pts
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
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    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Chapecoense-sc to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Serie A

    Chapecoense-sc17
    Played
    Remo18
    Chapecoense-sc1
    Avg goals for
    Remo1.2
    Chapecoense-sc1.9
    Avg goals against
    Remo1.6
    Chapecoense-sc1
    Clean sheets
    Remo2
    Market aligned with main pickChapecoense-sc to WinBet365 guide price · Model 27% vs implied 42% · edge -15 pts
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
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    Chapecoense-sc Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Season data supports Chapecoense-sc to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    18Remo1818468-8
    20Chapecoense-sc9171610-16
    Chapecoense-sc sit in position 20, while Remo sit in position 18, so table pressure belongs in the Chapecoense-sc Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Chapecoense-sc Over 2.5
    40%Remo Over 2.5
    2H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Chapecoense-sc sit at 60% and Remo sit at 40% with the H2H average at 2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.