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Botafogo crestBotafogo
v
Corinthians crestCorinthians

Serie A | Sun 17 May, 20:00

Botafogo v Corinthians Stats

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 1.91, Both Teams to Score is priced at roughly 52% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 73%, so the current line is showing a +20.9-point value edge.
  • Botafogo have scored in 100% of the recent sample and Corinthians have scored in 60%, with BTTS rates of 100% and 40%.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Botafogo have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, averaging 2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Corinthians have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 40% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 1.91, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 52% · edge +20.9 pts
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
2.15
Bet HERE @ 2.15
Away WinBetUK guide price · model 46%
3.2
Bet HERE @ 3.2
Away Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.75
Bet HERE @ 1.75
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
Home WinBetUK guide price · model 38%
2.38
Bet HERE @ 2.38
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

80%Botafogo Over 2.5
40%Corinthians Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Botafogo

DLDWD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
10 May 2026A Atletico-MG1-1
02 May 2026H Remo1-2
25 Apr 2026H Internacional2-2
18 Apr 2026A Chapecoense-sc4-1
12 Apr 2026H Coritiba2-2

Corinthians

WLWDD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 5D 3L
10 May 2026H Sao Paulo3-2
04 May 2026A Mirassol1-2
26 Apr 2026H Vasco DA Gama1-0
19 Apr 2026A Vitoria0-0
12 Apr 2026H Palmeiras0-0
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetUK guide price · Model 46% vs implied 31% · edge +14.6 pts
3.2
Bet HERE @ 3.2
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.36
Bet HERE @ 1.36
Away Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.75
Bet HERE @ 1.75
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.25
Bet HERE @ 1.25
Home WinBetUK guide price · model 38%
2.38
Bet HERE @ 2.38
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.2
Bet HERE @ 3.2
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Botafogo2
Avg goals scored
Corinthians1
Botafogo1.6
Avg goals conceded
Corinthians0.8
Botafogo100%
BTTS rate
Corinthians40%
Botafogo80%
Over 2.5 goals
Corinthians40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 52% · edge +20.9 pts
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
2.15
Bet HERE @ 2.15
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 77%
1.36
Bet HERE @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 41%
4
Bet HERE @ 4
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 46%
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

3Botafogo wins
3Draws
4Corinthians wins
30 Nov 2025Corinthians v Botafogo2-2
26 Jul 2025Botafogo v Corinthians1-1
15 Sep 2024Botafogo v Corinthians2-1
02 Jun 2024Corinthians v Botafogo0-1
23 Sep 2023Corinthians v Botafogo1-0
11 May 2023Botafogo v Corinthians3-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 52% · edge +20.9 pts
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
2.15
Bet HERE @ 2.15
Away WinBetUK guide price · model 46%
3.2
Bet HERE @ 3.2
Home WinBetUK guide price · model 38%
2.38
Bet HERE @ 2.38
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.2
Bet HERE @ 3.2
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Botafogo5.4
Avg corners for
Corinthians4.2
Botafogo10.4
Avg total corners
Corinthians9.4
Botafogo1.6
Avg yellow cards
Corinthians2.4
Botafogo16.6
Avg shots
Corinthians10.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 50% · edge +14 pts
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleDanilo Anytime GoalscorerDanilo · 7 goals · 1.01 SOT/90
78/100
Bet HERE
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Artur 1+ Shot On TargetArtur · 1.88 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
K. Barria 2+ ShotsK. Barria · 3.33 shots/90
81/100
Bet HERE
Z. Labyad To Assist / Key Pass AngleZ. Labyad · 1 assists · 5.23 key passes/90
76/100
Bet HERE
R. Garro To Be FouledR. Garro · 3.37 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Ythallo Card RiskYthallo · 1 yellows · 2 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Danilo
DaniloBotafogo · Midfielder
Goal threat70/100
Shots /901.85
SOT /901.01
Matheus Martins
Matheus MartinsBotafogo · Attacker
Goal threat63/100
Shots /902.32
SOT /901.44
Arthur Cabral
Arthur CabralBotafogo · Attacker
Goal threat58/100
Shots /901.8
SOT /901.04
Artur
ArturBotafogo · Attacker
Goal threat58/100
Shots /902.36
SOT /901.88
Yuri Alberto
Yuri AlbertoCorinthians · Attacker
Goal threat43/100
Shots /901.9
SOT /901.05
K. Barria
K. BarriaBotafogo · Attacker
Goal threat20/100
Shots /903.33
SOT /900.56
Ythallo
YthalloBotafogo · Defender
Goal threat2/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
Allan
AllanBotafogo · Midfielder
Goal threat6/100
Shots /900.19
SOT /900
Season team stats

Serie A

Botafogo14
Played
Corinthians15
Botafogo1.9
Avg goals for
Corinthians0.9
Botafogo1.9
Avg goals against
Corinthians1
Botafogo1
Clean sheets
Corinthians6
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetUK guide price · Model 46% vs implied 31% · edge +14.6 pts
3.2
Bet HERE @ 3.2
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.75
Bet HERE @ 1.75
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
Home WinBetUK guide price · model 38%
2.38
Bet HERE @ 2.38
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
14Botafogo1814536-1
16Corinthians1815465-2

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.