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Bohemians crestBohemians
v
Shamrock Rovers crestShamrock Rovers

Premier Division | Mon 25 May, 20:00

Bohemians v Shamrock Rovers Stats

Data last updated: Mon 15 Jun 2026, 19:11 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bohemians face Shamrock Rovers in Premier Division on Mon 25 May, 20:00. Bohemians have found excellent rhythm, scoring nine goals across three consecutive league wins. Bohemians enter with a strong three-game winning run, matching the historical performance of top division leaders who hit minor form speedbumps.

BT4Y lean · price warning

S carry high baseline volatility because they require absolute precision over ninety minutes

  • At 2/5, Bohemians Win implies roughly 71%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 54%.
  • Bohemians have struggled to finish matches cleanly at home, drawing four of their last six games at Dalymount Park.
  • Bohemians have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 9 for Shamrock Rovers.
  • Shamrock Rovers have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Bohemians Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Bohemians sit 3 in the table, while Shamrock Rovers sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Price warning

S carry high baseline volatility because they require absolute precision over ninety minutes is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 71% while the model sits nearer 54% (-17.5 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Both Teams to Score shows a +23.6 pts edge at 1.91.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 54% for Bohemians Win sits against roughly 71% implied by the current price. Bohemians have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 9 for Shamrock Rovers. Bohemians have struggled to finish matches cleanly at home, drawing four of their last six games at Dalymount Park.

Model chance vs price54% model chance against roughly 71% implied
Negative
Bohemians have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points.Visible data support
Positive
Shamrock Rovers have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
Bohemians have struggled to finish matches cleanly at home.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Bohemians Win is the preferred angle because bohemians have struggled to finish matches cleanly at home, drawing four of their last six games at Dalymount Park. Bohemians have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 9 for Shamrock Rovers. Nine goals in three games tells its own story, but the manner of the performances matters too.

Main risk

Nine goals in three games tells its own story, but the manner of the performances matters too.

Key Data Signals

Bohemians Win evidence

Bohemians have struggled to finish matches cleanly at home, drawing four of their last six games at Dalymount.

Bohemians have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 9 for Shamrock Rovers.

Shamrock Rovers have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Bohemians Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Bohemians sit 3 in the table, while Shamrock Rovers sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Bohemians Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Bohemians2.4
    Avg goals scored
    Shamrock Rovers1.8
    Bohemians1.4
    Avg goals conceded
    Shamrock Rovers1
    Bohemians100%
    BTTS rate
    Shamrock Rovers60%
    Bohemians80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Shamrock Rovers60%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 76% vs implied 52% · edge +23.6 pts
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 63%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 81%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
    3.75
    Check odds @ 3.75
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 41%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickBohemians to WinBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 42% · edge +11.9 pts
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 63%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Bohemians Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Bohemians to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Bohemians5
    Avg corners for
    Shamrock Rovers4.8
    Bohemians9
    Avg total corners
    Shamrock Rovers8.6
    Bohemians2
    Avg yellow cards
    Shamrock Rovers1.4
    Bohemians13.4
    Avg shots
    Shamrock Rovers19
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 50% · edge +10.3 pts
    2.02
    Check odds @ 2.02
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Bohemians

    WWWDD
    Last 53W 2D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 4D 3L
    22 May 2026A Galway United4-2
    15 May 2026H Drogheda United2-1
    08 May 2026A Dundalk3-1
    04 May 2026H Shelbourne2-2
    01 May 2026H Derry City1-1

    Shamrock Rovers

    LLWWW
    Last 53W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 106W 1D 3L
    22 May 2026H Sligo Rovers1-2
    15 May 2026A Dundalk0-1
    08 May 2026A Galway United3-1
    04 May 2026H Drogheda United4-1
    01 May 2026H Waterford1-0
    Market aligned with main pickBohemians to WinBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 42% · edge +11.9 pts
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 81%
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    Bohemians Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    6Bohemians wins
    1Draws
    3Shamrock Rovers wins
    17 Apr 2026Shamrock Rovers v Bohemians2-1
    27 Feb 2026Bohemians v Shamrock Rovers3-2
    26 Sep 2025Shamrock Rovers v Bohemians2-1
    23 Jun 2025Bohemians v Shamrock Rovers2-0
    21 Apr 2025Shamrock Rovers v Bohemians2-3
    16 Feb 2025Bohemians v Shamrock Rovers1-0
    Market aligned with main pickBohemians to WinBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 42% · edge +11.9 pts
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 63%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Bohemians to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Premier Division

    Bohemians21
    Played
    Shamrock Rovers21
    Bohemians1.5
    Avg goals for
    Shamrock Rovers1.5
    Bohemians1.2
    Avg goals against
    Shamrock Rovers0.9
    Bohemians7
    Clean sheets
    Shamrock Rovers8
    Market aligned with main pickBohemians to WinBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 42% · edge +11.9 pts
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Load more odds for this section
    Bohemians Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Season data supports Bohemians to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1Shamrock Rovers4021124513
    3Bohemians34219757
    Bohemians sit in position 3, while Shamrock Rovers sit in position 1, so table pressure belongs in the Bohemians Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Bohemians Over 2.5
    60%Shamrock Rovers Over 2.5
    2.6H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Bohemians sit at 80% and Shamrock Rovers sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.6 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Bohemians v Shamrock Rovers prediction

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