bet365
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
Open Account Offer – New Customers only. Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets when you join bet365. Sign up, deposit between £5 and £10 to your account and bet365 will give you three times that value in Free Bets when you place qualifying bets to the same value settle. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits. Min odds/bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. T&Cs apply. #Ad. 18+
BetMGM
Bet £10 Get £40 In Free Bets
New customers: Deposit £10+ within 7 days and place a sports bet. Get 4 x £10 Free Bets (2 x £10 Bet Builders & 2 x £10 Sports Bet). Valid 7 days. Min odds apply. Excludes virtual sports, esports and non-UK/IE horse racing. #Ad. 18+ T&Cs apply.
Betfred
Bet £10 Get £50 in Free Bets
New customers only. Register, deposit with Debit Card, and place first bet £10+ at Evens (2.0)+ on Sports within 7 days to get 3 x £10 in Sports Free Bets & 2 x £10 in Acca Free Bets within 10 hours of settlement. 7-day expiry. T&Cs Apply.
BetUK
Bet £10 Get £40 In Free Bets
New customers: Deposit £10+ within 7 days and place a sports bet. Get 4 x £10 Free Bets (2 x £10 Bet Builders & 2 x £10 Sports Bet). Valid 7 days. Min odds apply. Excludes virtual sports, esports and non-UK/IE horse racing. 18+. T&Cs apply. Acca Club: Available to new & existing customers. 3 or more selections. Min Odds: 3/10 (1.3) per leg. Max stake: £500. Max Winnings: £200,000 per boost. Profit Boost amounts vary. Horse Racing, Greyhounds & Trotting excluded. Exclusions apply. 18+. T&Cs apply.
LiveScoreBet
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
New members only. £10+ bet on sports (ex. Virtuals) 1.5 min odds, settled within 14 days. Free Bets: accept in 7 days, valid 7 days. Stake not returned. T&C’s Apply #Ad. 18+
10Bet
100% up to £50 on first deposit
New bettors. Select bonus at signup or use code SPORT. Wager deposit & bonus 8x. Valid 60 days. Odds, bet & payment limits apply. T&Cs Apply; 18+ #Ad.
Virgin Bet
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
New members only. £10 min deposit & bet on sportsbook, 1.5 min odds in 14 days. Free Bets: accept in 7 days, valid 7 days, stakes not returned. T&Cs Apply. #Ad. 18+
EasyBet
Bet £20 Get £20 In Free Bets
New customers only. To qualify for free bets, the new user must place and settle £20 on easyBet markets. The user must bet on at least 2 different events to qualify. The user must place and settle bets at odds of 2.0 or more. An event is classed as two different sporting events. Bets can be placed on singles, multiples and Bet Builders. The user must place and settle bets before the closing date of the promotion to qualify. Users making their first deposit by Skrill, Neteller or PaySafe card will not qualify for this promotion. T’s and C’s Apply. Be Gamble Aware.
18+•#Ad•Please gamble responsibly
Bahiav
GremioSerie A | Sun 17 May, 20:00
Bahia v Gremio Stats
BT4Y best bet
Over 3.5 Cards
- At 2, Over 3.5 Cards is priced at roughly 50% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 67%, so the current line is showing a +16.6-point value edge.
- The disciplinary read shows average yellow-card figures of 2 for Bahia and 2.4 for Gremio in detailed recent samples.
- The card data supports the Over 3.5 Cards angle: Bahia have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded.
- The card data supports the Over 3.5 Cards angle: Gremio have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 0% of that sample.
- If the bookmaker is still close to 2, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 50% · edge +16.6 pts
2
Bet HERE @ 2Load more odds for this section
Key match trends
A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.
80%Bahia Over 2.5
0%Gremio Over 2.5
1.8H2H avg goals
Recent form
Results and scoring shape from recent games.
Bahia
LDDLW
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 recordLast 104W 2D 4L
10 May 2026H Cruzeiro1-2
03 May 2026A Sao Paulo2-2
25 Apr 2026H Santos2-2
19 Apr 2026A Flamengo0-2
11 Apr 2026A Mirassol2-1
Gremio
LDWLD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 recordLast 102W 4D 4L
10 May 2026H Flamengo0-1
03 May 2026A Atletico Paranaense0-0
26 Apr 2026H Coritiba1-0
19 Apr 2026A Cruzeiro0-2
12 Apr 2026A Internacional0-0
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 38% vs implied 21% · edge +16.9 pts
4.75
Bet HERE @ 4.75Load more odds for this section
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Goal-market data and related prices.
Bahia1.4
Avg goals scoredGremio0.2
Bahia1.8
Avg goals concededGremio0.6
Bahia80%
BTTS rateGremio0%
Bahia80%
Over 2.5 goalsGremio0%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 51% · edge +11.1 pts
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95Load more odds for this section
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and related markets.
3Bahia wins
4Draws
3Gremio wins
20 Oct 2025Bahia v Gremio4-0
25 May 2025Gremio v Bahia1-0
17 Aug 2024Gremio v Bahia0-2
28 Apr 2024Bahia v Gremio1-0
04 Nov 2023Gremio v Bahia1-0
12 Jul 2023Gremio v Bahia1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 38% vs implied 21% · edge +16.9 pts
4.75
Bet HERE @ 4.75Load more odds for this section
Corners, cards and shots
Detailed stat markets where available.
Bahia5.2
Avg corners forGremio2.2
Bahia12.8
Avg total cornersGremio7.6
Bahia2
Avg yellow cardsGremio2.4
Bahia14.6
Avg shotsGremio9.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 50% · edge +16.6 pts
2
Bet HERE @ 2Load more odds for this section
Player stats
Player props and player-level signals.
Best player angleCarlos Vinícius Anytime GoalscorerCarlos Vinícius · 7 goals · 1.2 SOT/90
77/100
Bet HERELoad more player angles
Éverton Ribeiro To Assist / Key Pass AngleÉverton Ribeiro · 3 assists · 2.59 key passes/90
71/100
Bet HERE
Carlos ViníciusGremio · Attacker
Goal threat66/100
Shots /901.5
SOT /901.2
Luciano JubaBahia · Defender
Goal threat56/100
Shots /901.25
SOT /900.83
EveraldoBahia · Attacker
Goal threat53/100
Shots /901.82
SOT /900.99
RogerGremio · Midfielder
Goal threat34/100
Shots /902.31
SOT /902.31
André HenriqueGremio · Attacker
Goal threat33/100
Shots /904.17
SOT /901.67
C. OliveraBahia · Attacker
Goal threat51/100
Shots /901.84
SOT /901.36
M. SanabriaBahia · Attacker
Goal threat50/100
Shots /902.97
SOT /901.27
TetêGremio · Midfielder
Goal threat42/100
Shots /902.39
SOT /900.95
Season team stats
Serie A
Bahia14
PlayedGremio15
Bahia1.4
Avg goals forGremio1
Bahia1.3
Avg goals againstGremio1.1
Bahia4
Clean sheetsGremio5
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 38% vs implied 21% · edge +16.9 pts
4.75
Bet HERE @ 4.75Load more odds for this section
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bahia | 22 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 17 | Gremio | 17 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -2 |
Next step
Betting context
Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.
