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Atalanta crestAtalanta
v
Hapoel Tel Aviv crestHapoel Tel Aviv

UEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 20 Aug, 19:30

Atalanta v Hapoel Tel Aviv Stats

Data last updated: Sun 04 Oct 2026, 23:49 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Atalanta face Hapoel Tel Aviv in UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu 20 Aug, 19:30. Thursday is technically Hapoel’s home leg rather than a conventional away fixture for the Italians, yet playing outside Bergamo still removes the comfort they failed to exploit last week.

BT4Y best bet

Atalanta to win and Both Teams to Score

  • At 11/5, Atalanta to win and Both Teams to Score implies roughly 31%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 42%.
  • Hapoel's resilience and Atalanta's defensive injuries suggest both teams can score.
  • Atalanta need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Atalanta on 0 and Hapoel Tel Aviv on 7.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 42% for Atalanta to win and Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 31% implied by the current price. Atalanta need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Atalanta on 0 and Hapoel Tel Aviv on 7. Hapoel's resilience and Atalanta's defensive injuries suggest both teams can score.

Model chance vs price42% model chance against roughly 31% implied
Positive
Atalanta need the result edge to pair with scoring at.Visible data support
Positive
Hapoel's resilience and Atalanta's defensive injuries suggest both teams.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Atalanta Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because hapoel's resilience and Atalanta's defensive injuries suggest both teams can score. Atalanta need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Atalanta on 0 and Hapoel Tel Aviv on 7. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Atalanta to win and Both Teams to Score evidence

Hapoel's resilience and Atalanta's defensive injuries suggest both teams can score.

Atalanta need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Atalanta on 0 and Hapoel Tel Aviv on 7.

What To Watch In The Data

Atalanta to win and Both Teams to Score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Atalanta

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Atalanta yet.

Hapoel Tel Aviv

LWDW
Last 52W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 1L
12 Aug 2026A GKS Katowice1-2
06 Aug 2026H GKS Katowice2-0
30 Jul 2026A Ludogorets2-2
23 Jul 2026H Ludogorets2-0
Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 86% vs implied 99% · edge -13 pts
1.01
Check odds @ 1.01
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Atalanta Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Atalanta to WinBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Atalanta-
Avg goals scored
Hapoel Tel Aviv1.75
Atalanta-
Avg goals conceded
Hapoel Tel Aviv1
Atalanta-
BTTS rate
Hapoel Tel Aviv50%
Atalanta-
Over 2.5 goals
Hapoel Tel Aviv50%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 32%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickAtalanta Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 89% · edge -11.3 pts
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 61%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Atalanta to WinBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Atalanta Draw No Bet is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Atalanta Over 2.5
50%Hapoel Tel Aviv Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Hapoel's resilience and Atalanta's defensive injuries suggest both teams can score.

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