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Atalanta crestAtalanta
v
Hapoel Tel Aviv crestHapoel Tel Aviv

UEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 20 Aug, 19:30

Atalanta v Hapoel Tel Aviv Stats

Data last updated: Sat 12 Sep 2026, 03:53 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Atalanta face Hapoel Tel Aviv in UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu 20 Aug, 19:30. Thursday is technically Hapoel’s home leg rather than a conventional away fixture for the Italians, yet playing outside Bergamo still removes the comfort they failed to exploit last week.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Atalanta to win and Both Teams to Score

  • At 11/5, Atalanta to win and Both Teams to Score implies roughly 31%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 18%.
  • Hapoel's resilience and Atalanta's defensive injuries suggest both teams can score.
  • Atalanta need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Atalanta on 0 and Hapoel Tel Aviv on 7.
Price warning

Atalanta to win and Both Teams to Score is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 31% while the model sits nearer 18% (-12.9 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Both Teams to Score shows a +15 pts edge at 2.2.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 18% for Atalanta to win and Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 31% implied by the current price. Atalanta need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Atalanta on 0 and Hapoel Tel Aviv on 7. Hapoel's resilience and Atalanta's defensive injuries suggest both teams can score.

Model chance vs price18% model chance against roughly 31% implied
Negative
Atalanta need the result edge to pair with scoring at.Visible data support
Positive
Hapoel's resilience and Atalanta's defensive injuries suggest both teams.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Atalanta Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because hapoel's resilience and Atalanta's defensive injuries suggest both teams can score. Atalanta need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Atalanta on 0 and Hapoel Tel Aviv on 7. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Atalanta to win and Both Teams to Score evidence

Hapoel's resilience and Atalanta's defensive injuries suggest both teams can score.

Atalanta need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Atalanta on 0 and Hapoel Tel Aviv on 7.

What To Watch In The Data

Atalanta to win and Both Teams to Score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Atalanta

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Atalanta yet.

Hapoel Tel Aviv

LWDW
Last 52W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 1L
12 Aug 2026A GKS Katowice1-2
06 Aug 2026H GKS Katowice2-0
30 Jul 2026A Ludogorets2-2
23 Jul 2026H Ludogorets2-0
Market aligned with main pickAtalanta Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 89% · edge -44.3 pts
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.01
Check odds @ 1.01
Atalanta to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Atalanta000000
UEFA Europa Conference League standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Atalanta-
Avg goals scored
Hapoel Tel Aviv1.75
Atalanta-
Avg goals conceded
Hapoel Tel Aviv1
Atalanta-
BTTS rate
Hapoel Tel Aviv50%
Atalanta-
Over 2.5 goals
Hapoel Tel Aviv50%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 32%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickAtalanta Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 89% · edge -44.3 pts
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 61%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Atalanta to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Atalanta Draw No Bet is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Atalanta wins
0Draws
0Hapoel Tel Aviv wins
Market aligned with main pickAtalanta to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 88% · edge -60.7 pts
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 61%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Atalanta to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Atalanta-
Avg corners for
Hapoel Tel Aviv3
Atalanta-
Avg total corners
Hapoel Tel Aviv7.5
Atalanta-
Avg yellow cards
Hapoel Tel Aviv1
Atalanta-
Avg shots
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
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Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Europa Conference League

Atalanta2
Played
Hapoel Tel Aviv6
Atalanta0.5
Avg goals for
Hapoel Tel Aviv1.2
Atalanta0
Avg goals against
Hapoel Tel Aviv0.8
Atalanta2
Clean sheets
Hapoel Tel Aviv3
Market aligned with main pickAtalanta Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 89% · edge -44.3 pts
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Load more odds for this section
Atalanta to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Season data supports Atalanta Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Atalanta Over 2.5
50%Hapoel Tel Aviv Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Hapoel's resilience and Atalanta's defensive injuries suggest both teams can score.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.