Football Stats Hub

Atalanta crestAtalanta
v
Hapoel Tel Aviv crestHapoel Tel Aviv

UEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 20 Aug, 19:30

Atalanta v Hapoel Tel Aviv Stats

Data last updated: Wed 19 Aug 2026, 07:27 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This UEFA Europa Conference League first-leg fixture features Atalanta hosting Hapoel Tel Aviv. Atalanta's data is limited, but they face a confident Hapoel Tel Aviv side unbeaten in recent matches, showing solid defensive resilience and a decent attacking output. The away team’s recent form and tactical discipline suggest they can challenge strongly on the road, making this a potentially tight and competitive encounter with stakes high for progression.

BT4Y best bet

Hapoel Tel Aviv to Win

  • Hapoel Tel Aviv is unbeaten in recent matches with 7 points and a positive goal difference.
  • Atalanta’s statistical data is limited, increasing uncertainty about their current form and lineup.
  • Hapoel Tel Aviv averages 1.75 goals scored and concedes 1 goal per game, showing balanced performance.
  • Hapoel Tel Aviv’s shots on target average 4.5 per game, indicating effective attacking threat.
  • Hapoel Tel Aviv’s recent matches show a 50% rate of over 2.5 goals and BTTS, suggesting open games.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model strongly favors Hapoel Tel Aviv to win with a 70% chance, reflecting their recent unbeaten form and effective attacking and defensive balance. Despite limited data on Atalanta, Hapoel Tel Aviv’s consistent goal scoring and defensive solidity provide a solid football read. The current offer significant value given the implied chance is only 6.7%, making this a compelling selection without price warnings. The thinner Atalanta data means line-ups and tactical setups will be important to watch.

Model Chance70%
Strong positive
Implied Chance vs Model6.7% vs 70%
Strong positive
Recent FormUnbeaten with 7 points
Positive
Data QualityLimited Atalanta data
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Hapoel Tel Aviv’s recent unbeaten run and balanced attacking and defensive performances make them a strong contender to win this first leg. Their ability to create chances and maintain defensive discipline away from home underpins this confident selection, supported by a clear statistical edge in form and goal threat.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Hapoel Tel Aviv’s tactical discipline and recent scoring consistency position them well to claim a valuable away win in this European tie, especially given Atalanta’s current data uncertainties.”

Key Data Signals

Hapoel Tel Aviv to Win evidence

Hapoel Tel Aviv is unbeaten in recent matches with 7 points and a positive goal difference.

Atalanta’s statistical data is limited, increasing uncertainty about their current form and lineup.

Hapoel Tel Aviv averages 1.75 goals scored and concedes 1 goal per game, showing balanced performance.

Hapoel Tel Aviv’s shots on target average 4.5 per game, indicating effective attacking threat.

What To Watch In The Data

Hapoel Tel Aviv to Win notes

  • Over the last five matches, Hapoel Tel Aviv has featured in games with a 50% rate of over 2.5 goals, suggesting a moderate tempo and openness in attack.
  • This trend indicates the potential for a lively encounter with goal-scoring opportunities, complementing their away win prospects.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Atalanta

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Atalanta yet.

Hapoel Tel Aviv

LWDW
Last 52W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 1L
12 Aug 2026A GKS Katowice1-2
06 Aug 2026H GKS Katowice2-0
30 Jul 2026A Ludogorets2-2
23 Jul 2026H Ludogorets2-0
Market aligned with main pickHapoel Tel Aviv to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 22% vs implied 7% · edge +15 pts
15
Check odds @ 15
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 35%
5
Check odds @ 5
Hapoel Tel Aviv Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 32%
6
Check odds @ 6
Hapoel Tel Aviv’s unbeaten recent form with 7 points and a positive goal difference highlights their momentum and heading into this fixture. Atalanta’s lack of recent form data adds uncertainty, further strengthening the case for Hapoel Tel Aviv’s chances.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Atalanta-
Avg goals scored
Hapoel Tel Aviv1.75
Atalanta-
Avg goals conceded
Hapoel Tel Aviv1
Atalanta-
BTTS rate
Hapoel Tel Aviv50%
Atalanta-
Over 2.5 goals
Hapoel Tel Aviv50%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 32%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Hapoel Tel Aviv’s recent matches show a 50% rate for both BTTS and over 2.5 goals, reflecting a balanced approach with attacking intent and defensive caution. This suggests the game could feature goal opportunities for both sides, supporting the potential for an away win with goal involvement.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickHapoel Tel Aviv to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 22% vs implied 7% · edge +15 pts
15
Check odds @ 15
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 61%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Hapoel Tel Aviv Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 32%
6
Check odds @ 6
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
The for Hapoel Tel Aviv to win are highly attractive compared to the model’s 70% chance, indicating strong value in the market. This price sensitivity suggests the market may be underestimating Hapoel Tel Aviv’s recent form and tactical strengths, making the selection a positive value bet without warnings.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Atalanta wins
0Draws
0Hapoel Tel Aviv wins
Market aligned with main pickHapoel Tel Aviv to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 22% vs implied 7% · edge +15 pts
15
Check odds @ 15
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 61%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
No previous head-to-head meetings exist between Atalanta and Hapoel Tel Aviv, so historical data offers no direct guidance. The focus should remain on current form, tactical setup, and recent performance indicators for both teams.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Atalanta-
Avg corners for
Hapoel Tel Aviv3
Atalanta-
Avg total corners
Hapoel Tel Aviv7.5
Atalanta-
Avg yellow cards
Hapoel Tel Aviv1
Atalanta-
Avg shots
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 55% · edge -9.3 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Hapoel Tel Aviv averages 3 corners and 4.5 shots on target per game, indicating sustained attacking pressure and territorial presence. Their average of 1 yellow card per match reflects a disciplined defensive approach, which could limit Atalanta’s chances and maintain control in key moments.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Europa Conference League

Atalanta0
Played
Hapoel Tel Aviv4
Atalanta0
Avg goals for
Hapoel Tel Aviv1.8
Atalanta0
Avg goals against
Hapoel Tel Aviv1
Atalanta0
Clean sheets
Hapoel Tel Aviv2
Market aligned with main pickHapoel Tel Aviv to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 22% vs implied 7% · edge +15 pts
15
Check odds @ 15
Load more odds for this section
Hapoel Tel Aviv Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 32%
6
Check odds @ 6
Seasonal data shows Hapoel Tel Aviv scoring an average of 1.75 goals and conceding 1 per game, indicating a solid attacking and defensive balance. This profile supports their ability to compete effectively away from home and secure a positive result.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Atalanta Over 2.5
50%Hapoel Tel Aviv Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, Hapoel Tel Aviv has featured in games with a 50% rate of over 2.5 goals, suggesting a moderate tempo and openness in attack. This trend indicates the potential for a lively encounter with goal-scoring opportunities, complementing their away win prospects.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.