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Pisa vs Calcio Padova: Padova’s Greater Threat Tests a Vulnerable Pisa. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Pisa’s defensive frailty and Padova’s high volume of dangerous attacks suggest both teams will score. Pisa’s recent scoring and Padova’s vulnerability on the road support a BTTS Yes outcome despite Pisa’s low shot accuracy, making mutual scoring the most coherent prediction.
A 1-1 draw fits Pisa’s recent 1-1 draw and Padova’s defensive lapses in away games. Padova’s high attack volume meets Pisa’s defensive frailty, but Padova’s modest scoring rate and Pisa’s home scoring chances support a balanced draw. The margin for error is small, but 1-1 is the most plausible exact score.
Pisa begin their Serie B campaign against Calcio Padova at Stadio Romeo Anconetani with recent results pointing to a rather more uncomfortable assignment than home advantage might suggest.
Pisa vs Calcio Padova — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.
Pisa and Calcio Padova bring contrasting strengths, leaving this market finely balanced.
Pisa hold one clear edge, but Calcio Padova still carry enough threat to respond.
Pisa hold one clear edge, but Calcio Padova still carry enough threat to respond.
Pisa hold one clear edge, but Calcio Padova still carry enough threat to respond.
Three Punchy Stats
- Pisa have lost nine of their last 10 league matches, a sequence made more concerning by an average of only 0.6 goals scored against 2.3 conceded.
- Padova average 44.33 dangerous attacks across their last six matches, compared with Pisa’s 29.83, pointing to a clear difference in how regularly the two sides are reaching threatening areas.
- Padova have kept three clean sheets in their last six matches, while Pisa have managed none and conceded 12 goals, leaving the hosts with little margin for another inefficient attacking display.
Attacking Threat Comparison
Recent attacking records for Pisa and Calcio Padova are shown below.
Defensive Vulnerability Comparison
Recent defensive records for Pisa and Calcio Padova are shown below.
Paolo Bianco’s side have lost nine of their last 10 league matches, scoring only 0.6 goals per game across that sequence while conceding 2.3. Padova arrive with four wins from their last six matches in all competitions and, more significantly, attacking numbers that suggest they are generating considerably more pressure.
The contrast is not simply one of results. Padova have produced more attacks, more dangerous attacks and more shots across their recent six-match sample. Pisa therefore need to reverse several underlying trends, not merely improve on a run of defeats.
Pisa’s Problem Goes Beyond the Scoreline
Pisa’s recent league record is stark: one victory and nine defeats from 10 matches. Their 8.7 attempts per game have produced only 3.0 efforts on target and 0.6 goals, while opponents have averaged 11.9 attempts and 5.0 on target.
The wider six-game figures tell a similar story. Pisa have scored three times and conceded 12, without keeping a clean sheet. They have also averaged 29.83 dangerous attacks compared with Padova’s 44.33.
That gap matters because it suggests Pisa have not simply been punished by isolated moments. They have generally struggled to generate the same level of sustained attacking threat as their opponents here.
Their latest competitive outing did at least bring a better result, a 1-1 draw with Empoli followed by victory on penalties. Stefano Moreo also scored in the 2-1 defeat at Lazio and is among Pisa’s leading scorers across the recent league sample with two goals.
Padova Carry More Attacking Activity
Padova’s numbers are not overwhelmingly clinical. Their last 10 league games brought 0.9 goals per match from 7.9 attempts and 2.9 shots on target, so there is little justification for presenting them as an especially efficient attacking side.
What they do possess is greater activity. Across their last six matches, Padova have recorded 541 total attacks to Pisa’s 416 and 266 dangerous attacks to 179. They also average 10.83 shots per game compared with Pisa’s 9.33.
The 4-3 victory at Cesena showed the higher end of that attacking potential. Luca Di Maggio scored twice, with Gianluca Caprari and Alessandro Seghetti also finding the net. Di Maggio has three goals across Padova’s recent 10-game league sample, while Seghetti has two.
There is a defensive difference as well. Padova have conceded five goals in their last six matches and kept three clean sheets. Pisa have conceded more than twice as many and none.
Home Advantage Is Hard to Trust
Pisa being at Stadio Romeo Anconetani does not automatically correct those weaknesses. Their three most recent home matches brought two defeats and a draw, with six goals conceded.
Padova’s away record is hardly spotless: they have lost two of their last three on the road. Yet the other was the remarkable 4-3 win at Cesena, evidence that they can still create enough away from home to punish defensive vulnerability.
Possession offers little separation. Pisa average 44% across the six-game figures and Padova 46%, while their passing totals are also close. The greater distinction comes after possession has been established: Padova are producing substantially more attacking activity from broadly similar shares of the ball.
📊 Market Explainer
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Both teams must score at least once during normal time. The match winner does not matter; the selection is settled only by whether each side finds the net.
Correct Score Market
Selection: Pisa vs Calcio Padova 1-1. Predict the exact score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties do not count unless the bookmaker states otherwise.
🎯 Pick 1: Both Teams To Score YES @ 9/10
Pisa enter this fixture without a clean sheet in six matches, conceding 12 goals in that stretch. That sequence aligns with their 10-match league average of 2.3 goals conceded per game, where opponents averaged 5.0 shots on target. Calcio Padova possess the attacking activity to exploit those openings. Across six outings, Padova produced 266 dangerous attacks—averaging 44.33 per game compared to Pisa’s 29.83—and recorded 10.83 shots per match. That sustained pressure yielded four goals in a recent away victory at Cesena, showing Padova can breach host defences.
Conversely, Padova remain vulnerable on their travels. Although Padova kept three clean sheets in six matches, they lost two of their last three away fixtures. Pisa’s overall scoring figures appear modest, with nine defeats in 10 league games and a 0.6 goals-per-game average. However, Stefano Moreo scored in a 2-1 loss to Lazio, and Pisa played out a 1-1 draw against Empoli last time out. Generating 9.33 attempts per match across six games, Pisa maintain enough capacity to breach a Padova unit that dropped two recent away fixtures.
The principal threat to this selection is Pisa’s low efficiency, averaging only 3.0 shots on target per game across 10 league matches. If Pisa fail to convert, the bet founders. Nonetheless, Pisa’s six-game run without a clean sheet alongside Padova’s high volume of dangerous attacks leaves both teams scoring as the most coherent outcome.
🎯 Tactical Indicators
- Pisa have conceded 12 goals in their last six matches without a clean sheet.
- Calcio Padova average 44.33 dangerous attacks per game in their last six matches.
- Pisa scored in their last competitive match and average 9.33 attempts per game over six matches.
Risk Factor: Pisa’s low shot accuracy with only 3.0 shots on target per game risks a Padova clean sheet if they fail to convert.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Recorded 266 dangerous attacks (44.33/match) and 10.83 shots per game across their past six fixtures.
Conceded 12 goals in six matches without a clean sheet, allowing 5.0 shots on target per game over 10 league matches.
🎯 Pick 2: Pisa vs Calcio Padova 1-1 @ 5/1
A 1-1 draw balances Pisa’s home necessity with Padova’s superior attacking metrics. Justifying one goal for Pisa stems from their most recent competitive outing, a 1-1 draw against Empoli. Pisa also scored in a 2-1 loss at Lazio through Stefano Moreo, who has two goals across their last 10 league matches. While Pisa averaged only 0.6 goals per game in that 10-match run, Padova conceded in two of their last three away games. Pisa’s average of 9.33 attempts per match across six games provides credible ground for a single home goal.
Padova’s single goal is supported by their attacking volume meeting Pisa’s defensive vulnerabilities. Padova averaged 44.33 dangerous attacks across six matches, while Pisa conceded 12 goals in six games without a clean sheet, averaging 2.3 goals conceded across 10 league matches. However, Padova averaged only 0.9 goals per match over 10 league games, with 2.9 shots on target per contest. Outside of their four-goal display at Cesena, Padova’s scoring rate indicates their dangerous attacks do not regularly turn into high goal tallies.
The main vulnerability of a 1-1 prediction is its margin for error. A single extra goal defeats the selection. Should Padova reproduce their Cesena form or Pisa fail to match their Empoli performance, the wager fails. Nonetheless, with Pisa coming off a 1-1 draw and Padova averaging under one goal per league game, 1-1 offers the most defensible correct score.
Risk Factor: Padova’s attacking volume versus Pisa’s defensive frailty suggests a goal each, but scoring efficiency could alter outcomes.
Frequently Asked Questions
How does the Both Teams to Score (BTTS) Yes market settle for Pisa vs Padova?
It wins if both teams score at least once during regular time plus stoppage.
What happens to a BTTS Yes bet if Pisa win 2-0?
The bet loses because Padova failed to score, breaking the BTTS condition.
How does the Correct Score market settle for this Serie B match?
The final score must exactly match the predicted score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Why is a 1-1 correct score plausible based on Pisa and Padova's recent statistics?
Pisa drew 1-1 in their last game and Padova’s defence conceded in two of three recent away matches.
What is the main difference between BTTS Yes and Over 2.5 Goals?
BTTS requires both teams to score; Over 2.5 requires three or more total goals regardless of who scores.
How do Padova's dangerous attack stats impact the betting market predictions?
Their high volume of dangerous attacks supports Padova scoring against Pisa’s vulnerable defence.
