Football Stats Hub

Pisa crestPisa
v
Padova crestPadova

Serie B | Sun 23 Aug, 18:00

Pisa v Padova Stats

Data last updated: Sat 19 Sep 2026, 20:46 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Pisa face Padova in Serie B on Sun 23 Aug, 18:00. Pisa have lost nine of their last 10 league matches, a sequence made more concerning by an average of only 0.6 goals scored against 2.3 conceded.

BT4Y match pick

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 9/10, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 53%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 50%.
  • Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 50% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 53% implied by the current price. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Model chance vs price50% model chance against roughly 53% implied
Neutral
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge -2.6 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score YES. The margin for error is small, but 1-1 is the most plausible exact score.

Main risk

The margin for error is small, but 1-1 is the most plausible exact score.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Pisa-
Avg goals scored
Padova-
Pisa-
Avg goals conceded
Padova-
Pisa-
BTTS rate
Padova-
Pisa-
Over 2.5 goals
Padova-
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 50% · edge +0 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 32%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet; this needs scoring involvement from both teams, not just pressure from one side.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 50% · edge +0 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Padova Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
3
Check odds @ 3
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Pisa to WinBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Pisa Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Padova to WinBetUK guide price · model 21%
5
Check odds @ 5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS Yes is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Pisa

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Pisa yet.

Padova

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Padova yet.

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 80% vs implied 86% · edge -6 pts
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
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Padova Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
3
Check odds @ 3
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
2
Check odds @ 2
Pisa to WinBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Pisa Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Padova to WinBetUK guide price · model 21%
5
Check odds @ 5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Pisa wins
0Draws
0Padova wins
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 50% · edge +0 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Pisa to WinBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Padova to WinBetUK guide price · model 21%
5
Check odds @ 5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for BTTS Yes, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie B

Pisa4
Played
Padova5
Pisa1.5
Avg goals for
Padova1
Pisa1.5
Avg goals against
Padova1.2
Pisa1
Clean sheets
Padova2
Best odds for this sectionPadova Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 42% vs implied 33% · edge +8.7 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
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Pisa to WinBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Pisa Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Padova to WinBetUK guide price · model 21%
5
Check odds @ 5
Season data supports Padova Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
5Padova75212-1
10Pisa642020
Pisa sit in position 10, while Padova sit in position 5, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score YES assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Pisa Over 2.5
-Padova Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.