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Benevento vs Südtirol: Scoring Strength Meets Defensive Control in Serie B. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Südtirol's strong defensive record and low shot accuracy combine with Benevento's consistent scoring but defensive lapses to suggest a match with fewer than three goals. Their recent low-scoring games and stable first-half leads support this cautious total goals pick.
A 1-1 draw fits Benevento's strong home scoring and Südtirol's tendency to draw, despite their modest shot accuracy and defensive solidity. Historical results and recent form support this balanced outcome, though the risk of a clean sheet or extra goal remains.
Compare form, H2H, goals trends and key data for Benevento v Sudtirol.
Benevento’s return to Serie B has already exposed the tension at the heart of their early season.
Benevento vs Südtirol — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.
Benevento's home form contrasts with Südtirol's defensive resilience shaping match odds.
Benevento and Südtirol bring similar scoring profiles, leaving the totals market finely poised.
Südtirol carry the stronger defensive profile, while Benevento remain vulnerable in the likely scoreline.
Benevento averages more shots than Südtirol, indicating attacking intent.
Three Punchy Stats
- Benevento have scored in 21 of their last 22 matches, making Südtirol’s defensive record likely to face a more persistent test than the league opener provided.
- Südtirol have kept three consecutive Serie B clean sheets and their last five league matches have all finished under 2.5 goals, evidence of how tightly their recent games have been controlled.
- Only 23% of Südtirol’s shots across their latest six-match sample have been on target, despite averaging 13.5 attempts per game. Against a Benevento defence conceding 1.67 goals per game across the same span, greater accuracy could determine how much their shot volume actually counts.
Scoring Consistency
Recent attacking records for Benevento and Südtirol are shown below.
Defensive Records
Recent defensive records for Benevento and Südtirol are shown below.
Floro Flores’ side continue to score with striking regularity, particularly at Stadio Ciro Vigorito, yet six goals conceded across defeats to Fiorentina and Modena have shown how quickly attacking promise can be undermined.
Südtirol arrive on August 30 from the opposite direction. They opened their league campaign with a 1-0 win over Virtus Entella, are unbeaten in five matches and have conceded only twice across that sequence. The central question is therefore unusually clear: can Benevento’s persistent goal threat disturb a side whose recent strength has been denying opponents space on the scoreboard?
Benevento’s attack is doing its share
The defeat to Modena was hardly an ideal Serie B return, but Benevento were not shut out. That matters because scoring has become remarkably consistent: they have found the net in 21 of their last 22 matches and in 20 of their previous 21 at home.
Their broader recent record reinforces the point. Across the last six listed matches, Benevento scored 13 goals, including five against Ravenna and four at Vicenza. They have also averaged 11.83 shots per game, with 39% of attempts on target and 68% coming from inside the box.
There is substance behind the scoring sequence, then. The problem is what happens at the other end. Ten goals conceded across those same six matches, including four at Fiorentina and three against Ravenna, leave little room for attacking wastefulness. Even against Modena, Benevento led 1-0 at half-time before losing 2-1.
Südtirol have made low-scoring matches a habit
Südtirol’s recent results carry a very different texture. Their last six produced only four goals scored and four conceded, with three clean sheets. Their past five Serie B matches have all finished under 2.5 goals, while the latest three in the division brought clean sheets.
That restraint has not necessarily translated into frequent victories. Südtirol have won only one of their last 13 Serie B matches, and four of their most recent six games in all competitions ended level. Two of those were 0-0 draws against Bari.
This is why their defensive record needs context. Südtirol have been difficult to score against, but their own attacking output has often been modest. They average 13.5 shots across the six-match sample, more than Benevento, yet only 23% of those attempts have been on target. Volume has not consistently become precision.
The first half could tell a different story
Benevento’s home starts deserve attention. They have avoided trailing at half-time in 19 of their last 21 home matches, and they were ahead at the interval against Modena despite eventually losing.
Südtirol, meanwhile, have failed to lead at half-time in 19 of their last 20 matches and have been behind at the break in seven of their previous 11 Serie B games. Their league opener against Virtus Entella was 0-0 at half-time before Südtirol found the decisive goal later.
That creates an interesting imbalance. Benevento have repeatedly established a first-half foothold at home, whereas Südtirol’s recent strength has been more about staying competitive than taking early command. For the hosts, the harder task may be sustaining control rather than finding it.
History offers Südtirol another small edge
The two previous meetings produced a draw and a Südtirol victory. Benevento led 1-0 at half-time in the October 2022 meeting before drawing 1-1, while Südtirol won 2-0 at Stadio Ciro Vigorito in March 2023.
Those results are too limited to dictate anything now, but they fit the broader theme surrounding this fixture: Benevento can threaten, yet Südtirol have repeatedly shown an ability to prevent matches becoming comfortable for their opponents.
📊 Market Explainer
Total Goals Market
Selection: Under 2.5 Goals. This market is settled by the combined number of goals in normal time. The selected line determines how many goals are needed for the bet to win.
Correct Score Market
Selection: Benevento vs Sudtirol 1-1. Predict the exact score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties do not count unless the bookmaker states otherwise.
🎯 Pick 1: Under 2.5 Goals @ 4/7
Südtirol’s recent league matches have been defined by defensive control and low total goal counts. All five of their previous Serie B fixtures finished under 2.5 goals, while their last six matches across all competitions produced a combined total of only eight goals—four scored and four conceded. That defensive focus has seen them keep three consecutive clean sheets in Serie B, conceding just twice during an overall five-match unbeaten streak.
Benevento bring a contrasting scoring pattern into this fixture, having found the net in 21 of their last 22 matches and averaging 11.83 shots per game across their past six outings. However, Südtirol’s ability to restrict match openness presents a direct barrier to a high scoreline. While Südtirol generate 13.5 shots per game, only 23% of those attempts hit the target, limiting their capacity to drive up total match goals independently. When this low shot accuracy meets Südtirol’s stubborn backline, the chances of a fast-paced blowout decrease.
The primary risk to this selection stems from Benevento’s defensive concessions, having allowed ten goals across their last six matches, including a 2-1 defeat to Modena. Furthermore, 68% of Benevento’s shots come from inside the box, demonstrating an ability to generate close-range attempts. Even so, four of Südtirol’s last six matches ending level—alongside their five-game streak of under 2.5 goals in the division—leaves a lower goal count as the most coherent match pattern.
🎯 Tactical Indicators
- Südtirol's last five Serie B matches all finished under 2.5 goals with only eight total goals scored and conceded.
- Only 23% of Südtirol's 13.5 shots per match hit the target, limiting goal output.
- Benevento kept half-time leads or draws in 19 of their last 21 home fixtures, showing stable first-half scorelines.
Risk Factor: If Benevento concede early or repeat defensive lapses, total goals could exceed two.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Scored in 20 of last 21 home games, concentrating shot volume inside the penalty area.
Averages 13.5 shots per match but struggles to turn volume into clear, testing efforts.
⚔️ Pick 2: Benevento vs Sudtirol 1-1 @ 5/1
A 1-1 draw aligns with the scoring capabilities of both sides while remaining mathematically compatible with a low overall goal total. Benevento’s ability to score at Stadio Ciro Vigorito is well established, with the team finding the net in 20 of their last 21 home matches. Their habit of establishing early leads fits this pattern; Benevento avoided trailing at half-time in 19 of those 21 home games and led 1-0 at the interval against Modena before conceding twice late on.
Südtirol provide sufficient context to justify an away goal despite winning only one of their last 13 Serie B matches. Four of their past six games across all competitions have ended level, demonstrating a clear habit of sharing the points. Historical precedent reinforces this outcome, as the October 2022 fixture between these two sides finished 1-1 after Benevento took a first-half lead. With Benevento conceding ten goals across their last six matches, Südtirol can plausibly score despite their modest 23% shot accuracy.
The obvious risk to an exact 1-1 scoreline is Südtirol’s strong run of clean sheets, having shut out three consecutive Serie B opponents, including a 1-0 victory against Virtus Entella. A single extra goal for either side defeats the selection entirely. However, given Benevento’s regular home scoring and Südtirol’s tendency to draw, 1-1 offers a credible balance.
Risk Factor: A single extra goal or a Südtirol clean sheet would invalidate the 1-1 correct score.
Frequently Asked Questions
What does Under 2.5 Goals mean for Benevento vs Südtirol?
The match must have two or fewer total goals after 90 minutes plus stoppage time to win.
Which exact scorelines make an Under 2.5 Goals selection win?
Scorelines like 0-0, 1-0, 0-1, 1-1, 2-0, or 0-2 result in a winning bet.
Why is a 1-1 draw supported for this match?
It reflects Benevento's strong home scoring and Südtirol's frequent draws.
Does extra time count towards total goals or correct score bets?
No, only goals scored in normal time plus stoppage count for these markets.
What happens to the selections if Benevento win 2-0?
Under 2.5 Goals wins but the 1-1 correct score bet loses.
How does Südtirol's shot accuracy affect goal predictions?
Low shot accuracy reduces their chances of scoring multiple goals, supporting fewer total goals.
