Tennis betting tips: ATP Doha Betting Tips, Outright Preview And Best Bets For The Qatar ExxonMobil Open

Steve Harrington returns this week to deliver top-notch tennis betting insights, predictions, and a comprehensive preview for the ATP Qatar Open held in the vibrant setting of Doha.

Dive into his expert analysis to uncover two key predictions for the tournament: a primary bet alongside one value-driven, each-way alternative. Enhance your betting experience by leveraging the handpicked offers we’ve curated for you below.


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ATP Doha Betting Tips

ATP Doha Main Outright Bet – Men’s Single

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Predicting the outcome of the ATP Qatar Open presents a significant challenge. The transition from Europe’s indoor courts to the outdoor arenas of the Middle East, coupled with the fluctuating conditions in Doha, adds layers of complexity to this week’s competition. The Plexicushion courts, known for their moderate speed during the daytime, slow down considerably as the evening temperatures drop, introducing an unpredictable element that affects gameplay and strategy alike.

Key Contenders and Their Prospects

Andrey Rublev: The Favourite with Questions to Answer

Andrey Rublev enters as the tournament favourite, a status bolstered by his 2020 victory in this event. However, his recent performance, including a quarter-final exit in Rotterdam, casts a shadow over his odds of 5/2 for a repeat triumph. Despite his formidable skill set, Rublev’s current form leaves room for scepticism, making his journey to lifting the trophy far from guaranteed.

Alexander Bublik: Consistency in Question

Alexander Bublik, with an 8-3 record for the year and a recent title in Montpellier, could be seen as a contender. Yet, his historical inability to secure back-to-back wins in Doha or Dubai tempers expectations, making the odds of 8/1 seem less enticing.

Ugo Humbert: Indoor Champion Facing Outdoor Challenges

Ugo Humbert, celebrated for his victory in Marseille, faces the daunting task of translating his indoor success to the unpredictable outdoor conditions of Doha. The desert winds could pose a significant challenge to his formidable serve, adding a layer of uncertainty to his campaign.

Dark Horse Candidates: Tallon Griekspoor and Roberto Bautista-Agut

Tallon Griekspoor and Roberto Bautista-Agut emerge as potential dark horses. Griekspoor, coming off a semi-final appearance in Rotterdam, carries momentum, though mental fatigue from his home tournament could be a concern. Bautista-Agut, with a history of success in Doha, hasn’t shown the form that once made him a champion here, leaving his prospects at odds of 30/1 a gamble.

The Frenchman with a Fresh Opportunity: Gael Monfils

Gael Monfils, a previous champion and priced at 22/1, brings a mix of historical success and recent form that could see him disrupt the field. Despite a series of early-season setbacks, his performance against top players suggests a potential resurgence, making him a tantalising option for those looking to back an outsider.

Alexander Shevchenko: The Emerging Threat

Alexander Shevchenko, also at 20/1, has displayed promising form in the indoor season, challenging top players and showcasing his readiness for breakthrough victories. His potential clash with Rublev poses an intriguing opportunity for Shevchenko to announce his arrival on the big stage.

Predictions: ATP Doha Best Bets


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Main Bet: Andrey Rublev to Win

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The choice of Andrey Rublev as the main bet for the ATP Qatar Open is underpinned by a comprehensive analysis of his credentials, past achievements, and current standing within the ATP tour. Rublev, ranked within the world’s top five, brings to the table not just raw power and an aggressive baseline game but also a history of adapting to diverse playing conditions. His previous triumph in Doha back in 2020 is not merely a statistic; it’s a testament to his ability to master the nuances of the Plexicushion courts, which exhibit variable speeds depending on the time of day and temperature.

Rublev’s 2020 victory in Doha was no fluke. It came during a period of exceptional form for the Russian, who has since established himself as a consistent performer on the tour, particularly in ATP 250 and 500 series events. His tally of 14 titles in these categories highlights not just a knack for winning but a resilience and mental toughness that serve him well in the week-in, week-out grind of the tour.

However, Rublev’s journey to the 2024 Qatar Open is not without its challenges. A recent quarter-final exit in Rotterdam, at the hands of Alex de Minaur, raises questions about his current form. Yet, it’s essential to contextualise this within the broader spectrum of his season and career. Even the most elite athletes face fluctuations in performance, and Rublev’s baseline level remains exceptionally high. His power game, characterised by blistering forehands and a formidable serve, is well-suited to the conditions in Doha, particularly during the daytime when the courts play faster.

In evaluating Rublev’s prospects, it’s also crucial to consider the field’s composition. With many top players absent, his status as the highest-ranked participant not only makes him the nominal favourite but also places him in a position where he’s expected to excel. This expectation, coupled with his proven track record in similar environments, positions Rublev as a logical choice for the main bet, despite any reservations about his very recent form.

Value Bet: Alexander Shevchenko

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Alexander Shevchenko represents a fascinating prospect as a dark horse in the ATP Qatar Open. His emergence on the ATP tour has been marked by performances that hint at a significant untapped potential. Shevchenko’s recent form, including quarter-final appearances in Montpellier and Rotterdam, showcases a player on the cusp of breakthrough success. His game, characterised by a blend of power and precision, has seen him challenge and, in some instances, overcome more established players on the tour.

The term ‘dark horse’ is apt for Shevchenko, reflecting not just his current outsider status in terms of betting odds but also the unpredictability he brings to the tournament. His odds of 20/1, while reflective of his relative inexperience at this level, also suggest a value proposition for those looking beyond the immediate favourites.

Shevchenko’s potential path through the tournament includes a highly anticipated clash with Andrey Rublev. This match-up is not merely a test of skill but also a barometer for Shevchenko’s readiness to compete at the highest levels. A victory over Rublev would not only be a career-defining moment but also serve as a catalyst for a deep tournament run. It’s this potential for upset victories, combined with his recent form, that makes Shevchenko a compelling choice as a dark horse.

Moreover, Shevchenko’s adaptability to both indoor and outdoor conditions, demonstrated in his early-season performances, suggests a player with the technical and mental attributes necessary to navigate the variable conditions in Doha. His match against Rublev, should it occur, will be a litmus test of his capacity to handle pressure, adapt his game to the opponent, and exploit any vulnerabilities.

In sum, Alexander Shevchenko embodies the essence of a dark horse: a player whose current trajectory suggests an imminent rise, coupled with the potential for upset victories that could disrupt the tournament’s established narratives. His selection as a dark horse is based on a detailed examination of his performances, potential for growth, and the dynamic nature of the ATP Qatar Open field.

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Steve Harrington
Steve Harrington is a sportswriter whose heart beats for football. With a passion that began in the grassroots, he's witnessed the magic of the game from local pitches to grand stadiums. Over the past 7 years, Steve has lent his expertise to several online publications, chronicling the ever-evolving world of football. Beyond his professional pursuits, he holds a special affection for Burnley Football Club, cherishing every triumph and tribulation. Steve believes in the power of storytelling and its ability to bring the beautiful game closer to its ardent fans.