Everton vs Crystal Palace Predictions

Everton vs Crystal Palace predictions for this Premier League clash. After a turbulent period, Crystal Palace resumes Premier League play on Monday evening at Goodison Park against hosts Everton. Read on for our free predictions and betting tips.

Everton
Crystal Palace

Premier League | Gameweek 25 – Feb 19, 2024 at 8pm UK at Goodison Park

Everton vs Crystal Palace Predictions

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Reason for tip: Predicting BTTS and a Manchester City win, noting Bournemouth's scoring consistency against City's occasional defensive lapses, yet City's tactical superiority likely ensures victory.

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Reason for tip: Predicting a 1-3 win for Manchester City against Bournemouth, highlighting City's attacking strength with Haaland, Foden, and De Bruyne, despite Bournemouth's potential to score.

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Reason for tip: Erling Haaland, with his prolific scoring and physical prowess, is likely to score against Bournemouth, especially with support from De Bruyne, crucial in City's title chase.

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Everton vs Crystal Palace: A Tactical Duel Amidst Relegation Woes

Key Stats
Everton’s Offensive Drought: Everton has failed to score in four of their last five Premier League matches, highlighting their need for offensive improvement.
Palace’s Defensive Struggles: Crystal Palace has conceded 14 goals in their last four matches, underlining their defensive frailties.
Head-to-Head Record: Everton is unbeaten in their last six meetings with Crystal Palace, suggesting a psychological edge for the Toffees.

As Everton prepare to host Crystal Palace at Goodison Park, both teams find themselves embroiled in a battle to escape the clutches of relegation. Following recent setbacks, with Everton succumbing to a 2-0 defeat against Manchester City and Palace enduring a 3-1 loss to Chelsea, the upcoming clash is crucial for both sides.

Match Preview and Tactical Analysis

Everton’s defensive resilience was evident against Manchester City, managing to hold the treble winners at bay until Erling Haaland’s brilliance broke the deadlock. Despite their defensive efforts, Everton’s offensive woes have been a recurring theme, failing to score in four of their last five Premier League fixtures. Sean Dyche’s side, currently languishing in the relegation zone, is desperate for a win to revive their survival hopes.

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On the other hand, Crystal Palace’s defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed, conceding 14 goals in their last four fixtures. The Eagles’ form has been dismal, leading to speculation around Roy Hodgson’s future. With Hodgson’s health concerns leading to Paddy McCarthy taking temporary charge, Palace faces additional challenges heading into this critical encounter.

Expected Lineups and Gameplay Strategy

Everton’s potential lineup of Pickford; Coleman, Tarkowski, Branthwaite, Mykolenko; Harrison, Onana, Garner, Doucoure, McNeil; Calvert-Lewin suggests a balanced approach, combining defensive solidity with the aim to exploit offensive opportunities through the likes of Doucoure and Harrison.

Crystal Palace, possibly fielding Henderson; Munoz, Andersen, Richards, Mitchell; Ahamada, Lerma, Wharton; Ayew, Mateta, Franca, will rely on quick counter-attacks and the creative inputs from Franca and Ayew to breach Everton’s defence.

Key Duels and Decisive Areas

The midfield battle will be crucial, with Onana and Doucoure’s physicality against Ahamada and Lerma’s tenacity. Additionally, the winger matchups, particularly Harrison’s directness against Palace’s fullbacks, could dictate the game’s flow. Both teams will aim to control the flanks to create scoring opportunities.

Tactical Analysis – Deep Dive

Everton’s Defensive Resilience vs. Offensive Drought

Everton, under the stewardship of Sean Dyche, have displayed a defensive resilience that, while commendable, has not translated into the much-needed points to escape the relegation quagmire. The Toffees’ recent 2-0 defeat to Manchester City epitomised their current plight: a valiant defensive effort ultimately undone by the sheer quality of opposition.

Despite Jarrad Branthwaite’s physical presence, Everton’s defensive solidity has not been complemented by offensive prowess, with the team failing to score in four of their last five league matches. This offensive drought has seen them languish in the relegation zone, a stark contrast to their promising start in December.

Crystal Palace’s Defensive Disarray

On the other side, Crystal Palace’s predicament is equally dire, albeit for different reasons. The Eagles, having conceded fourteen goals in their last four fixtures, are a team in defensive disarray.

Roy Hodgson’s methods, once lauded for their organisational rigour, now seem out of sync with the demands of modern football. The team’s recent 3-1 defeat to Chelsea further exposed their fragility, raising questions about their ability to stem the tide of goals against.

Offensive Strategies and Management Impact

The offensive strategies of both teams, or the lack thereof, have been a focal point of their struggles. Everton’s reliance on set pieces and sporadic counter-attacks has made them predictable and easy to neutralise. Players like Abdoulaye Doucoure and Jack Harrison, despite their undeniable talent, have found themselves isolated and ineffective in crucial moments.

Crystal Palace, despite possessing dynamic players like Michael Olise and Eberechi Eze, have struggled to convert individual brilliance into cohesive team play. The absence of a clear offensive strategy has rendered their attacks impotent, a fact underscored by their paltry goal tally.

Crystal Palace

The impact of management on both teams has been profound, though not always positive. Dyche’s pragmatic approach, while ensuring defensive solidity, has stifled Everton’s creativity. The team’s style of play, characterised by deep defending and long balls, has become predictable. On the Palace front, the uncertainty surrounding Hodgson’s future and the potential appointment of Oliver Glasner have created a sense of instability. The lack of a clear tactical identity has left the team rudderless, oscillating between cautious defending and aimless attacking.

Comparison, Improvements, and Strategies

A comparison of the two teams reveals a shared reliance on individual talent over collective strategy. Everton’s defensive approach, heavily reliant on the likes of Branthwaite and James Tarkowski, has not been enough to secure vital points. Similarly, Palace’s hope often rests on the shoulders of Olise and Eze, whose moments of brilliance have been solitary highlights in an otherwise bleak campaign.

Improvements are urgently needed on both fronts. Everton must find a way to unlock their attacking potential, perhaps by integrating more creative midfield play and utilising the width of the pitch more effectively. Palace, on the other hand, need to address their defensive woes by instilling discipline and organisation at the back, possibly through a more compact team shape and better communication among defenders.

The strategies employed by both teams have inherent pros and cons. Everton’s defensive focus, while limiting goals against, has hampered their ability to score, leaving them vulnerable to defeats by narrow margins. Palace’s more open approach has allowed them to create chances but has left them exposed at the back, leading to heavy defeats.

Critique of Dyche’s Approach

Criticism of Dyche’s approach is warranted. His reluctance to adapt his tactics and persist with a defensive mindset, even in games where attack is the best form of defence, has been Everton’s Achilles’ heel. The manager’s conservatism has not only hindered the team’s progress but has also led to a stifling atmosphere where creativity is often sacrificed for caution.

Predictions and Rationale

1. Both Teams to Score – No

The prediction hinges on both teams’ recent struggles in front of goal and Everton’s slightly improved defensive displays under Sean Dyche’s stewardship. Everton’s tactics, focused on defensive solidity, combined with Crystal Palace’s inconsistency in scoring, especially in away fixtures, underscore the likelihood of a low-scoring affair.

Considering Palace’s injury concerns and potential absences in key attacking positions, their ability to penetrate a resolute Everton defence seems limited. This scenario, coupled with Everton’s own challenges in converting chances into goals, solidifies the rationale for predicting that at least one team will not score.

2. Correct Score Prediction – Everton 1-0 Crystal Palace

Everton’s urgent need for points to escape the relegation zone, coupled with Crystal Palace’s defensive vulnerabilities, suggests a tight contest. Everton, despite their offensive woes, have shown glimpses of attacking intent, especially in home fixtures.

The possible return of key players like Abdoulaye Doucoure could provide the necessary spark in midfield, tipping the balance in Everton’s favour for a narrow win. This prediction also takes into account Palace’s dismal defensive record, particularly in away games, further justifying a 1-0 scoreline in favour of the home side.

3. Goalscorer Prediction – Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Dominic Calvert-Lewin’s physical attributes, aerial prowess, and position as Everton’s focal point in attack make him the prime candidate to find the net. Against a Palace defence that has shown susceptibility to crosses and set-pieces, Calvert-Lewin’s strengths could be Everton’s key to unlocking a tight game. His ability to outmuscle defenders in the air and his knack for being in the right place at the right time underscore his potential to be the match-winner in a contest where chances may be at a premium.

4. Corner Prediction – Everton to win more corners

Everton’s tactical approach under Dyche, emphasising width and crosses, naturally leads to a higher number of corner kicks. This style of play, especially at home where Everton will look to assert dominance, aligns with the prediction.

Crystal Palace’s defensive strategy, which often involves conceding the flanks to protect the central areas, further supports the expectation that Everton will win more corners. Anticipating a total of over 9 corners for the match reflects both teams’ reliance on wide play to create scoring opportunities.

5. Shot on Target Prediction – Jack Harrison

Jack Harrison’s form and his tendency to shoot from distance position him as a significant threat. His role in Everton’s attacking setup, where he is often tasked with cutting inside and testing the goalkeeper, makes him a likely candidate to register one or more shots on target.

Harrison’s involvement in set-pieces and open play, combined with his confidence in taking on defenders, bolsters the prediction that he will be a key figure in Everton’s offensive efforts.

6. Yellow Card Prediction – James Tarkowski

James Tarkowski’s role in Everton’s defence often sees him engaged in physical duels and crucial tackles. His aggressive approach to defending, necessary to disrupt opponents’ attacking plays, increases the likelihood of receiving a booking.

The intense nature of a relegation battle and the physicality of Crystal Palace’s forwards may force Tarkowski into situations where committing a tactical foul could be deemed necessary, thus elevating the chance of him being shown a yellow card.

7. Assist Prediction – Dwight McNeil

Dwight McNeil’s prowess in delivering crosses and his responsibility for set-pieces make him Everton’s primary assist provider. His consistent ability to find space on the flank and deliver quality balls into the penalty area presents a significant threat to the opposition.

McNeil’s understanding with Everton’s forwards, especially Calvert-Lewin, coupled with Palace’s defensive issues, especially in dealing with aerial threats, underscores his potential to register an assist in this critical fixture.

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