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Championship | Sun 20 Sep, 12:00

Wolves v West Brom Stats

Data last updated: Sat 19 Sep 2026, 08:17 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Championship clash features Wolves hosting West Brom in a high-stakes encounter as both teams seek to climb the table. Wolves have struggled for wins this season but showed resilience in recent matches, while West Brom sit higher in the standings with a more potent attack. Wolves favor wide play and wing-backs to create chances, contrasting with West Brom's quick transition threat. Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides suggest an open contest where tactical discipline and seizing key moments will be decisive.

BT4Y best bet

West Ham not to lose covers us for the win and the draw (1

  • Both teams have conceded heavily this season, highlighting defensive frailties.
  • Wolves rely on width and wing-backs, West Brom on rapid counter-attacks.
  • Shot volumes are similar, indicating chances at both ends.
  • Recent form shows Wolves with a higher over 2.5 goals rate, suggesting goal potential.
  • West Brom's slightly better league position reflects their attacking edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors West Brom not to lose due to their stronger recent form and higher league standing, combined with Wolves' ongoing struggles to secure wins. Both teams' defensive weaknesses and similar shot volumes suggest an open game where West Brom's transition threat could be decisive. While the price does not indicate clear value, the football context of Wolves' home pressure and West Brom's counter-attacking style supports this cautious backing. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Recent formWest Brom have more points and a better defensive record
Positive
League positionWest Brom ranked 4th vs Wolves 8th
Positive
Shot volumeBoth teams generate similar shots per game
Neutral
Defensive recordBoth concede around 1.6 goals per game
Neutral
Tactical stylesWest Brom's quick transitions vs Wolves' wide play
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

West Brom's superior league position and more consistent recent form make them a solid choice to avoid defeat in this match. Wolves' defensive struggles and reliance on wide play create openings that West Brom's transition threat can exploit, making a West Brom win or draw the most tactically sound outcome.

Main risk

Wolves enter the match winless this season (0W, 3D, 16L) but showed fighting spirit in their recent draw at Old Trafford.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“West Brom's ability to capitalize on transitions against a Wolves side struggling for wins makes the double chance a prudent selection in this tense fixture.”

Key Data Signals

West Ham not to lose covers us for the win and the draw (1 evidence

Both teams have conceded heavily this season, highlighting defensive frailties.

Wolves rely on width and wing-backs, West Brom on rapid counter-attacks.

Shot volumes are similar, indicating chances at both ends.

What To Watch In The Data

West Ham not to lose covers us for the win and the draw (1 notes

  • In the last seven head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 3.29, indicating a tendency for open, goal-rich games.
  • Wolves' recent 80% over 2.5 goals rate further supports the likelihood of a high-tempo match with multiple scoring opportunities, driven by both teams' defensive vulnerabilities.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Wolves6.2
Avg corners for
West Brom5.4
Wolves10.2
Avg total corners
West Brom11
Wolves1
Avg yellow cards
West Brom2.4
Wolves15.8
Avg shots
West Brom10.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Wolves and West Brom generate similar corner counts, around six per game, reflecting balanced territorial exchanges. West Brom's higher average yellow cards per match suggest a more aggressive defensive approach, while Wolves' higher shot volume indicates sustained attacking pressure from wide areas.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Wolves2.4
Avg goals scored
West Brom1
Wolves1.6
Avg goals conceded
West Brom1
Wolves80%
BTTS rate
West Brom60%
Wolves80%
Over 2.5 goals
West Brom20%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 79%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities, conceding nearly two goals per game, and Wolves have an 80% over 2.5 goals rate recently. West Brom's 60% BTTS rate and similar shot volumes indicate a likelihood of goals at both ends, supporting an open game with scoring opportunities.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickWest Brom to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 25% vs implied 23% · edge +1.9 pts
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
West Brom Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
The market for West Brom not to lose reflects cautious optimism given their stronger form and league position. The suggest a balanced contest with no clear , but the tactical contrast and Wolves' winless run justify this as a watch-worthy angle.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Wolves

WDLWW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 1L
13 Sep 2026A Sheffield Utd1-0
06 Sep 2026A Birmingham2-2
01 Sep 2026A West Ham2-4
29 Aug 2026H Stoke City4-1
22 Aug 2026A Preston3-1

West Brom

DWWDL
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 1L
12 Sep 2026H QPR1-1
09 Sep 2026A Derby1-0
05 Sep 2026H Watford1-0
02 Sep 2026H Charlton1-1
29 Aug 2026A Middlesbrough1-3
Market aligned with main pickWest Brom to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 25% vs implied 23% · edge +1.9 pts
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
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West Brom Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 50%
2
Check odds @ 2
West Brom's recent form shows better point accumulation and a more effective defense compared to Wolves, who remain winless but have shown fighting spirit. Wolves' higher goals-for and over 2.5 goals rate suggest they create chances but struggle to convert consistently, contrasting with West Brom's more balanced output.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Wolves wins
2Draws
3West Brom wins
28 Jan 2024West Brom v Wolves0-2
03 May 2021West Brom v Wolves1-1
16 Jan 2021Wolves v West Brom2-3
12 Feb 2012Wolves v West Brom1-5
16 Oct 2011West Brom v Wolves2-0
08 May 2011Wolves v West Brom3-1
Market aligned with main pickWest Brom to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 25% vs implied 23% · edge +1.9 pts
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
The seven previous encounters between Wolves and West Brom have averaged over three goals per game, reflecting open contests. While this sample supports expectations for goals, the tactical differences and current form provide a more nuanced outlook for this match rather than a direct prediction based solely on history.
Season team stats

Championship

Wolves6
Played
West Brom7
Wolves2.3
Avg goals for
West Brom1.4
Wolves1.7
Avg goals against
West Brom1
Wolves1
Clean sheets
West Brom2
Market aligned with main pickWest Brom to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 25% vs implied 23% · edge +1.9 pts
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
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West Brom Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Season-long data reveals Wolves' attack is more prolific but offset by defensive frailty, conceding 1.6 goals per game. West Brom maintain a tighter defense and a more efficient attack, reflected in their higher league ranking. These profiles underpin the expectation of a competitive match with scoring chances for both sides.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
4West Brom1474213
9Wolves1163214
West Brom's 4th place standing with 14 points contrasts with Wolves' 8th place and 11 points, indicating a slight edge in consistency and form. While both teams are mid-table, West Brom's position suggests greater stability and momentum heading into this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Wolves Over 2.5
20%West Brom Over 2.5
3.29H2H avg goals
In the last seven head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 3.29, indicating a tendency for open, goal-rich games. Wolves' recent 80% over 2.5 goals rate further supports the likelihood of a high-tempo match with multiple scoring opportunities, driven by both teams' defensive vulnerabilities.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.