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Stoke City crestStoke City
v
Sheffield Utd crestSheffield Utd

Championship | Sat 19 Sep, 12:30

Stoke City v Sheffield Utd Stats

Data last updated: Fri 18 Sep 2026, 07:44 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Stoke City face Sheffield Utd in Championship on Sat 19 Sep, 12:30. Stoke City come in with 10 recent points and 1.8 goals per match, while Sheffield Utd have 0 points and - goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • At 1.83, Over 9.5 Corners implies roughly 55%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 69%.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 69% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 55% implied by the current price.

Model chance vs price69% model chance against roughly 55% implied
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +14.4 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 9.5 Corners is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • Use corner averages alongside shot pressure to separate territory from real threat.
  • Check whether wide attacks are producing repeat deliveries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Stoke City

WDWWL
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 3L
12 Sep 2026A Watford2-1
08 Sep 2026A Cardiff1-1
05 Sep 2026H Charlton4-0
01 Sep 2026H Norwich1-0
29 Aug 2026A Wolves1-4

Sheffield Utd

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Sheffield Utd yet.

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 69% · edge -1.5 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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Stoke City Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 51%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Stoke City to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Sheffield Utd to WinBetfred guide price · model 32%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Sheffield Utd Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
12Stoke City1073130
15Sheffield Utd97232-1
Stoke City sit in position 12, while Sheffield Utd sit in position 15, so table pressure belongs in the Over 9.5 Corners assessment.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Stoke City1.8
Avg goals scored
Sheffield Utd-
Stoke City1.2
Avg goals conceded
Sheffield Utd-
Stoke City60%
BTTS rate
Sheffield Utd-
Stoke City60%
Over 2.5 goals
Sheffield Utd-
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 60% · edge +13.4 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 83%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 39%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 60% · edge +13.4 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Stoke City Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 51%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Stoke City to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Sheffield Utd to WinBetfred guide price · model 32%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Stoke City wins
2Draws
6Sheffield Utd wins
29 Dec 2025Stoke City v Sheffield Utd1-2
06 Dec 2025Sheffield Utd v Stoke City4-0
25 Apr 2025Stoke City v Sheffield Utd0-2
26 Oct 2024Sheffield Utd v Stoke City2-0
14 Jan 2023Sheffield Utd v Stoke City3-1
08 Oct 2022Stoke City v Sheffield Utd3-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 60% · edge +13.4 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Stoke City to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Sheffield Utd to WinBetfred guide price · model 32%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Stoke City8
Avg corners for
Sheffield Utd-
Stoke City13
Avg total corners
Sheffield Utd-
Stoke City2
Avg yellow cards
Sheffield Utd-
Stoke City18
Avg shots
Sheffield Utd-
Market aligned with main pickOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 55% · edge +14.4 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Over 4.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 57%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Championship

Stoke City0
Played
Sheffield Utd7
Stoke City-
Avg goals for
Sheffield Utd1.1
Stoke City-
Avg goals against
Sheffield Utd1.3
Stoke City-
Clean sheets
Sheffield Utd2
Best odds for this sectionStoke City Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 51% vs implied 49% · edge +2 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Stoke City to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Sheffield Utd to WinBetfred guide price · model 32%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Sheffield Utd Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Season data supports Stoke City Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Stoke City Over 2.5
-Sheffield Utd Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.