Football Stats Hub

Millwall crestMillwall
v
West Ham crestWest Ham

Championship | Sat 19 Sep, 12:30

Millwall v West Ham Stats

Data last updated: Fri 18 Sep 2026, 07:44 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Millwall face West Ham in Championship on Sat 19 Sep, 12:30. Millwall come in with 4 recent points and 1.6 goals per match, while West Ham have 13 points and 3.4 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

West Ham to Win

  • At 1.8, West Ham to Win implies roughly 56%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 70%.
  • West Ham have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 4 for Millwall.
  • West Ham have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the West Ham to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Millwall sit 11 in the table, while West Ham sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 70% for West Ham to Win sits against roughly 56% implied by the current price. West Ham have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 4 for Millwall.

Model chance vs price70% model chance against roughly 56% implied
Positive
West Ham have the stronger recent points return, taking 13.Visible data support
Positive
West Ham have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: West Ham Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers West Ham have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 4 for Millwall. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

West Ham to Win evidence

West Ham have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 4 for Millwall.

West Ham have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the West Ham Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Millwall sit 11 in the table, while West Ham sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

West Ham to Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Millwall3.6
    Avg corners for
    West Ham5.8
    Millwall11.4
    Avg total corners
    West Ham11
    Millwall1.4
    Avg yellow cards
    West Ham1.4
    Millwall11.6
    Avg shots
    West Ham15
    Best odds for this sectionOver 5.5 CardsBetUK guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 4.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 49%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 5.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    more Championship analysiscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Millwall1.6
    Avg goals scored
    West Ham3.4
    Millwall2.6
    Avg goals conceded
    West Ham1
    Millwall60%
    BTTS rate
    West Ham60%
    Millwall100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    West Ham80%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 72% vs implied 62% · edge +9.8 pts
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 51%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 33%
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 31%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickWest Ham to WinBetUK guide price · Model 70% vs implied 56% · edge +14.4 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Load more odds for this section
    West Ham Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 72%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 51%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    West Ham to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Millwall

    DLWLL
    Last 51W 1D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 1D 3L
    15 Sep 2026A Middlesbrough2-2
    12 Sep 2026A Blackburn1-3
    05 Sep 2026H Bolton4-0
    02 Sep 2026H Wrexham0-3
    29 Aug 2026A Southampton1-5

    West Ham

    WWWWD
    Last 54W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 2D 1L
    11 Sep 2026H Wrexham6-0
    08 Sep 2026A Bolton3-2
    05 Sep 2026H Derby3-0
    01 Sep 2026H Wolves4-2
    29 Aug 2026A Watford1-1
    Market aligned with main pickWest Ham to WinBetUK guide price · Model 70% vs implied 56% · edge +14.4 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Load more odds for this section
    West Ham Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 84%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Millwall wins
    1Draws
    1West Ham wins
    04 Feb 2012West Ham v Millwall2-1
    17 Sep 2011Millwall v West Ham0-0
    Market aligned with main pickWest Ham to WinBetUK guide price · Model 70% vs implied 56% · edge +14.4 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 72%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 51%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    The head-to-head sample gives context for West Ham to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Championship

    Millwall7
    Played
    West Ham7
    Millwall1.9
    Avg goals for
    West Ham2.9
    Millwall1.9
    Avg goals against
    West Ham1.3
    Millwall3
    Clean sheets
    West Ham2
    Market aligned with main pickWest Ham to WinBetUK guide price · Model 70% vs implied 56% · edge +14.4 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Load more odds for this section
    West Ham Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Season data supports West Ham to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1West Ham14742111
    11Millwall1073130
    Millwall sit in position 11, while West Ham sit in position 1, so table pressure belongs in the West Ham to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Millwall Over 2.5
    80%West Ham Over 2.5
    1.5H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Millwall sit at 100% and West Ham sit at 80% with the H2H average at 1.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Football predictions hub

    Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

    More stats pages

    Bristol City v WatfordChampionship · Fri 18 Sep 20:00Cardiff v CharltonChampionship · Sat 19 Sep 12:30Stoke City v Sheffield UtdChampionship · Sat 19 Sep 12:30Burnley v DerbyChampionship · Sat 19 Sep 15:00

    Competition and hubs

    Championship hubmore Championship analysiscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hub

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    View match centre