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Waterford crestWaterford
v
St Patrick's Athl. crestSt Patrick's Athl.

Premier Division | Fri 10 Jul, 20:00

Waterford v St Patrick's Athl. Stats

Data last updated: Wed 05 Aug 2026, 07:16 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Waterford face St Patrick's Athl. in Premier Division on Fri 10 Jul, 20:00. Waterford come in with 10 recent points and 2.8 goals per match, while St Patrick's Athl. have 9 points and 1.4 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Waterford to Win

  • At 5.25, Waterford to Win implies roughly 19%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 34%.
  • Waterford have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 9 for St Patrick's Athl..
  • St Patrick's Athl. Have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Waterford to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Waterford sit 9 in the table, while St Patrick's Athl. Sit 2, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 34% for Waterford to Win sits against roughly 19% implied by the current price. Waterford have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 9 for St Patrick's Athl..

Model chance vs price34% model chance against roughly 19% implied
Strong positive
Waterford have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points.Visible data support
Positive
St Patrick's Athl. Have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Waterford Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Waterford have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 9 for St Patrick's Athl.. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Waterford to Win evidence

Waterford have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 9 for St Patrick's Athl..

St Patrick's Athl. Have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Waterford Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Waterford sit 9 in the table, while St Patrick's Athl. Sit 2, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Waterford to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Waterford2.8
    Avg goals scored
    St Patrick's Athl.1.4
    Waterford1.8
    Avg goals conceded
    St Patrick's Athl.0.6
    Waterford60%
    BTTS rate
    St Patrick's Athl.0%
    Waterford80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    St Patrick's Athl.20%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 80% · edge -5 pts
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 39%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 51%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 53%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 47%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 1.5 Goals does not fully support the current price: recent Over 2.5 rates are 80% for Waterford and 20% for St Patrick's Athl., so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickWaterford to WinBetfred guide price · Model 34% vs implied 19% · edge +15 pts
    5.25
    Check odds @ 5.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Waterford Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    3.3
    Check odds @ 3.3
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 53%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Waterford to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Waterford5
    Avg corners for
    St Patrick's Athl.8
    Waterford9.25
    Avg total corners
    St Patrick's Athl.12
    Waterford1.75
    Avg yellow cards
    St Patrick's Athl.1
    Waterford17.25
    Avg shots
    St Patrick's Athl.18.25
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 65% · edge +3.6 pts
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Waterford

    WWLWD
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 3D 3L
    03 Jul 2026A Derry City4-2
    26 Jun 2026A Dundalk3-2
    19 Jun 2026H Shamrock Rovers0-2
    12 Jun 2026H Sligo Rovers4-0
    29 May 2026A Drogheda United3-3

    St Patrick's Athl.

    WLWWL
    Last 53W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 3D 3L
    03 Jul 2026H Galway United3-0
    26 Jun 2026A Bohemians0-2
    19 Jun 2026H Sligo Rovers2-0
    12 Jun 2026H Drogheda United2-0
    29 May 2026A Shamrock Rovers0-1
    Market aligned with main pickWaterford to WinBetfred guide price · Model 34% vs implied 19% · edge +15 pts
    5.25
    Check odds @ 5.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 61%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Waterford Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    3.3
    Check odds @ 3.3
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    2Waterford wins
    3Draws
    5St Patrick's Athl. wins
    08 May 2026St Patrick's Athl. v Waterford4-1
    20 Mar 2026Waterford v St Patrick's Athl.0-2
    24 Oct 2025St Patrick's Athl. v Waterford1-1
    03 Aug 2025Waterford v St Patrick's Athl.0-2
    23 May 2025St Patrick's Athl. v Waterford2-2
    28 Mar 2025Waterford v St Patrick's Athl.1-2
    Market aligned with main pickWaterford to WinBetfred guide price · Model 34% vs implied 19% · edge +15 pts
    5.25
    Check odds @ 5.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 53%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Waterford to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Premier Division

    Waterford26
    Played
    St Patrick's Athl.26
    Waterford1.3
    Avg goals for
    St Patrick's Athl.1.6
    Waterford1.8
    Avg goals against
    St Patrick's Athl.0.8
    Waterford4
    Clean sheets
    St Patrick's Athl.9
    Market aligned with main pickWaterford to WinBetfred guide price · Model 34% vs implied 19% · edge +15 pts
    5.25
    Check odds @ 5.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Waterford Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    3.3
    Check odds @ 3.3
    Season data supports Waterford to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    2St Patrick's Athl.4426128619
    9Waterford252651011-13
    Waterford sit in position 9, while St Patrick's Athl. sit in position 2, so table pressure belongs in the Waterford to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Waterford Over 2.5
    20%St Patrick's Athl. Over 2.5
    2.8H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Waterford sit at 80% and St Patrick's Athl. sit at 20% with the H2H average at 2.8 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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