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Waterford crestWaterford
v
St Patrick's Athl. crestSt Patrick's Athl.

Premier Division | Fri 10 Jul, 20:00

Waterford v St Patrick's Athl. Stats

Data last updated: Thu 09 Jul 2026, 03:50 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Waterford host St Patrick's Athl. in a Premier Division clash where both teams show contrasting styles. Waterford's attacking play generates frequent wide deliveries, while St Patrick's Athl. rely on quick transitions and wing play, suggesting a high corner count. Waterford's recent matches have seen sustained pressure and territorial control, while St Patrick's Athl. maintain a disciplined defensive shape but concede set-piece opportunities. The fixture's timing and tactical setups indicate a contest likely to feature numerous corners as both sides seek to exploit flanks and create scoring chances.

BT4Y match pick

Over 8.5 Corners

  • Waterford average 5 corners per game, St Patrick's Athl. 8, combining for 13 per match
  • Recent form shows Waterford's matches have an 80% rate of over 2.5 goals, indicating open play and attacking intent
  • St Patrick's Athl. concede only 0.6 goals per game but allow set-piece opportunities leading to corners
  • Both teams generate high shot volumes (Waterford 17.25, St Patrick's Athl. 18.25) supporting attacking pressure and corner potential

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model projects a 75% chance for Over 8.5 Corners based on both teams' attacking styles and corner averages. Waterford's wide play and St Patrick's Athl.'s quick wing attacks create frequent corner situations. The combined average corners per game exceed 13, supporting the likelihood of surpassing 8.5 corners. The model is strong, reinforced by recent form and shot volumes. No price warnings apply, making this a solid standard stake selection. Player-level data confirms attacking threats that typically force defensive clearances leading to corners.

Combined Average Corners13 per game
Strong positive
Recent Over 2.5 Goals Rate (Waterford)80%
Positive
Shot Volume (Both Teams)35.5 shots per game
Positive
Model Confidence75% chance
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a corner-rich match as Waterford's wide attacking approach and St Patrick's Athl.'s wing play generate frequent set-piece chances. The high average corners and shot volumes from both teams suggest sustained pressure and multiple corner situations throughout the game.

Main risk

The main risk is a potential tactical shift to more direct or defensive play reducing corner opportunities, which could lower the total corners despite attacking intent.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market

“Waterford's tendency to attack down the flanks combined with St Patrick's Athl.'s quick transitions makes Over 8.5 Corners a compelling angle, reflecting the tactical battle on the wings and defensive clearances.”

Key Data Signals

Over 8.5 Corners evidence

Waterford average 5 corners per game, St Patrick's Athl. 8, combining for 13 per match

Recent form shows Waterford's matches have an 80% rate of over 2.5 goals, indicating open play and attacking intent

St Patrick's Athl. Concede only 0.6 goals per game but allow set-piece opportunities leading to corners

Both teams generate high shot volumes (Waterford 17.25, St Patrick's Athl. 18.25) supporting attacking pressure and corner potential

What To Watch In The Data

Over 8.5 Corners notes

  • In the last 10 meetings, the average goals per game is 2.8, indicating moderately open matches.
  • This tempo suggests both teams engage in attacking play that can produce multiple corners.
  • The trend supports a game with active wing play and defensive clearances, aligning with the Over 2.5 Goals pattern and reinforcing the corner market potential.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Waterford2.8
Avg goals scored
St Patrick's Athl.1.4
Waterford1.8
Avg goals conceded
St Patrick's Athl.0.6
Waterford60%
BTTS rate
St Patrick's Athl.0%
Waterford80%
Over 2.5 goals
St Patrick's Athl.20%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 80% · edge -5 pts
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 39%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 47%
2
Check odds @ 2
Waterford's matches show a high over 2.5 goals rate at 80%, reflecting open play and attacking intent that often leads to corners. St Patrick's Athl. have a lower over 2.5 rate but contribute to attacking transitions. The goal and BTTS trends suggest a dynamic game with multiple attacking phases conducive to corner opportunities.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 75% · edge -0.2 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Load more odds for this section
Waterford Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Waterford to WinBetfred guide price · model 52%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
St Patrick's Athl. Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
The Over 8.5 Corners market is priced without visible but aligns well with the model's 75% probability, indicating a strong likelihood of hitting the corner threshold. The combined corner averages and attacking styles justify this selection as a sensible standard stake with no price sensitivity concerns.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Waterford5
Avg corners for
St Patrick's Athl.8
Waterford9.25
Avg total corners
St Patrick's Athl.12
Waterford1.75
Avg yellow cards
St Patrick's Athl.1
Waterford17.25
Avg shots
St Patrick's Athl.18.25
Market aligned with main pickOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 75% · edge -0.2 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
18.25) and corners (5 and 8 respectively), indicating sustained attacking pressure. Waterford's slightly higher yellow card average (1.75) suggests aggressive play that can disrupt rhythm and lead to set pieces. The combination of shots, fouls, and wide attacks supports a high corner count.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Waterford

WWLWD
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
03 Jul 2026A Derry City4-2
26 Jun 2026A Dundalk3-2
19 Jun 2026H Shamrock Rovers0-2
12 Jun 2026H Sligo Rovers4-0
29 May 2026A Drogheda United3-3

St Patrick's Athl.

WLWWL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
03 Jul 2026H Galway United3-0
26 Jun 2026A Bohemians0-2
19 Jun 2026H Sligo Rovers2-0
12 Jun 2026H Drogheda United2-0
29 May 2026A Shamrock Rovers0-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 79% vs implied 44% · edge +34.6 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Waterford Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Waterford to WinBetfred guide price · model 52%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
St Patrick's Athl. Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
St Patrick's Athl. to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Waterford's recent form includes a high over 2.5 goals rate (80%) and a points tally of 10 in recent matches, reflecting attacking momentum that generates corners. St Patrick's Athl. have a more conservative over 2.5 rate (20%) but maintain solid defensive form, suggesting a tactical contest with periods of pressure likely to produce corners above 8.5.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Waterford wins
3Draws
5St Patrick's Athl. wins
08 May 2026St Patrick's Athl. v Waterford4-1
20 Mar 2026Waterford v St Patrick's Athl.0-2
24 Oct 2025St Patrick's Athl. v Waterford1-1
03 Aug 2025Waterford v St Patrick's Athl.0-2
23 May 2025St Patrick's Athl. v Waterford2-2
28 Mar 2025Waterford v St Patrick's Athl.1-2
Best odds for this sectionWaterford to WinBetfred guide price · Model 52% vs implied 19% · edge +32.7 pts
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
St Patrick's Athl. to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
The 10 previous meetings between Waterford and St Patrick's Athl. average 2.8 goals per game, reflecting balanced contests with attacking phases. While not directly corner-focused, this moderate scoring rate suggests open play and opportunities for set pieces, indirectly supporting the likelihood of a high corner count in this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Premier Division

Waterford23
Played
St Patrick's Athl.23
Waterford1.4
Avg goals for
St Patrick's Athl.1.7
Waterford2
Avg goals against
St Patrick's Athl.0.8
Waterford2
Clean sheets
St Patrick's Athl.9
Best odds for this sectionWaterford Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 29% · edge +32.3 pts
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Load more odds for this section
Waterford to WinBetfred guide price · model 52%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
St Patrick's Athl. Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
St Patrick's Athl. to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Season-long data shows Waterford averaging 5 corners per game and St Patrick's Athl. 8, combining for a high corner count. Waterford's 2.8 goals scored per game and St Patrick's Athl.'s 1.4 indicate attacking intent, while their defensive concession rates suggest open play conducive to corners. These season stats underpin the corner total projection.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3St Patrick's Athl.4123125619
9Waterford20234811-14
Waterford sit 9th with 20 points, while St Patrick's Athl. are 3rd with 41 points, indicating differing stakes. St Patrick's Athl. may push for control to maintain their position, while Waterford seek points to climb, likely increasing attacking urgency and corner opportunities as both teams press for advantage.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Waterford Over 2.5
20%St Patrick's Athl. Over 2.5
2.8H2H avg goals
In the last 10 meetings, the average goals per game is 2.8, indicating moderately open matches. This tempo suggests both teams engage in attacking play that can produce multiple corners. The trend supports a game with active wing play and defensive clearances, aligning with the Over 2.5 Goals pattern and reinforcing the corner market potential.

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