Football Stats Hub

America de Cali crestAmerica de Cali
v
Deportivo Cali crestDeportivo Cali

Primera A | Sun 08 Nov, 01:15

America de Cali v Deportivo Cali Stats

Data last updated: Sat 07 Nov 2026, 04:35 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Primera A clash between America de Cali and Deportivo Cali features two closely ranked teams with tight defensive records. America de Cali sits second with 35 points, while Deportivo Cali is third with 33 points, reflecting a competitive fixture likely to be cautious and tactical. Both teams have shown disciplined defensive performances recently, with Deportivo Cali conceding just 0.2 goals per game in their last five matches, suggesting a low-scoring encounter. The stakes are high in this late-season match, where neither side can afford defensive lapses, setting the stage for a tactical battle rather than an open goal fest.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • America de Cali concedes 1.0 goals per game recently, Deportivo Cali just 0.2
  • Both teams have low BTTS rates: Deportivo Cali 20%, America de Cali 80% but with high Over 2.5 from America
  • Recent form shows America de Cali with 60% Over 2.5 rate, Deportivo Cali only 20%, indicating contrasting scoring trends
  • Head-to-head average goals in last 10 matches is 1.2, supporting a low-scoring game
  • for Under 2.5 Goals is 66%, with positive at 6.1%

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 66% probability, supported by strong defensive form from Deportivo Cali conceding only 0.2 goals per game recently. The head-to-head average of 1.2 goals per match and the tactical nature of a high-stakes fixture between closely ranked teams further underpin this low-scoring outlook. America de Cali’s higher Over 2.5 rate is offset by Deportivo Cali’s defensive solidity, creating a balanced scenario where goals are likely limited. No price warnings apply, making this a solid value bet with standard stake guidance.

Defensive SolidityDeportivo Cali concedes 0.2 goals per game
Strong positive
Head-to-Head Goals1.2 average goals in last 10 meetings
Positive
Recent Scoring FormAmerica de Cali 60% Over 2.5, Deportivo Cali 20% Over 2.5
Neutral
Model Probability66% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+6.1 pts)
Strong positive
Value Edge66% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+6.1 pts)
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Under 2.5 Goals is a sensible pick given Deportivo Cali’s exceptional defensive form and the cautious approach expected in this tightly contested fixture. The low average goals in their recent head-to-head matches and the importance of the points for both sides suggest a tactical game with limited scoring opportunities.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Defensive solidity and tactical caution

“This fixture is likely to be a tactical chess match with both teams prioritizing defensive organization, making Under 2.5 Goals a logical expectation given the low recent concession rates and tight head-to-head scoring history.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

America de Cali concedes 1.0 goals per game recently, Deportivo Cali just 0.2

Head-to-head average goals in last 10 matches is 1.2, supporting a low-scoring game

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals total is 1.2, indicating a trend towards low-scoring encounters.
  • This trend, combined with the tactical importance of the fixture, suggests a match tempo favoring defensive control and limited goal opportunities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

America de Cali1.4
Avg goals scored
Deportivo Cali1.2
America de Cali1
Avg goals conceded
Deportivo Cali0.2
America de Cali80%
BTTS rate
Deportivo Cali20%
America de Cali60%
Over 2.5 goals
Deportivo Cali20%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 60% · edge +6.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 47%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Goals and BTTS trends show a clear defensive edge, especially from Deportivo Cali who have a low BTTS rate of 20% and concede very few goals. America de Cali’s higher BTTS and Over 2.5 rates are tempered by the fixture’s tactical nature, suggesting limited goal-scoring chances overall.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionDeportivo Cali Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 39% · edge +15 pts
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Load more odds for this section
Deportivo Cali to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
America de Cali to WinBetfred guide price · model 36%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
The 66% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 59.9% implied by the current price (+6.1 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for America de Cali and 20% for Deportivo Cali, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

America de Cali

DWWDL
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 2L
05 Nov 2026A Millonarios0-0
29 Oct 2026H Fortaleza FC2-1
25 Oct 2026H Cucuta3-1
18 Oct 2026A Bucaramanga1-1
12 Oct 2026H Independiente Medellin1-2

Deportivo Cali

WDWDD
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 3D 0L
01 Nov 2026H Chico2-0
25 Oct 2026A Fortaleza FC1-1
22 Oct 2026A Llaneros3-0
19 Oct 2026H Junior0-0
10 Oct 2026A Deportivo Pereira0-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Deportivo Cali Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Deportivo Cali to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
America de Cali to WinBetfred guide price · model 36%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
America de Cali Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 46%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Recent form supports Under 2.5 Goals with Deportivo Cali conceding only 0.2 goals per game and America de Cali conceding 1.0. Despite America de Cali’s higher Over 2.5 rate, the defensive resilience of both teams in recent matches points to a low-scoring outcome.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%America de Cali Over 2.5
20%Deportivo Cali Over 2.5
1.2H2H avg goals
Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals total is 1.2, indicating a trend towards low-scoring encounters. This trend, combined with the tactical importance of the fixture, suggests a match tempo favoring defensive control and limited goal opportunities.

Loading deeper match data…