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Stevenage crestStevenage
v
Sheffield Wednesday crestSheffield Wednesday

League One | Sat 26 Sep, 15:00

Stevenage v Sheffield Wednesday Stats

Data last updated: Fri 25 Sep 2026, 08:28 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Stevenage face Sheffield Wednesday in League One on Sat 26 Sep, 15:00. Stevenage come in with 8 recent points and 1.8 goals per match, while Sheffield Wednesday have 11 points and 2.2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Over 2.5 Goals is rated around 64% by the current BT4Y model.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Stevenage and 60% for Sheffield Wednesday, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Sheffield Wednesday are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.2 goals per match, with Stevenage at 1.8.
  • BTTS rates of 60% for Stevenage and 60% for Sheffield Wednesday show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Over 2.5 Goals around 64% on the latest available numbers. The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Stevenage and 60% for Sheffield Wednesday, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Stevenage and 60%.Visible data support
Positive
Sheffield Wednesday are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support
Positive
Price sensitivityCheck the latest price
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Stevenage and 60% for Sheffield Wednesday, so the goals angle is not just a price call. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Stevenage and 60% for Sheffield Wednesday, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Sheffield Wednesday are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.2 goals per match, with Stevenage at 1.8.

BTTS rates of 60% for Stevenage and 60% for Sheffield Wednesday show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Stevenage4.6
Avg corners for
Sheffield Wednesday6.4
Stevenage9.8
Avg total corners
Sheffield Wednesday11.4
Stevenage2.4
Avg yellow cards
Sheffield Wednesday2.2
Stevenage10.8
Avg shots
Sheffield Wednesday15

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Stevenage1.8
Avg goals scored
Sheffield Wednesday2.2
Stevenage1
Avg goals conceded
Sheffield Wednesday0.8
Stevenage60%
BTTS rate
Sheffield Wednesday60%
Stevenage60%
Over 2.5 goals
Sheffield Wednesday60%

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Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Stevenage

LWWDD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 2L
19 Sep 2026A Leyton Orient0-1
10 Sep 2026H Luton2-1
05 Sep 2026A Barnsley5-1
01 Sep 2026A Peterborough0-0
29 Aug 2026H Doncaster2-2

Sheffield Wednesday

DDWWW
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 1L
19 Sep 2026H Stockport County0-0
12 Sep 2026H Wigan0-0
05 Sep 2026A Peterborough2-1
01 Sep 2026A Wycombe2-1
29 Aug 2026H Bromley7-2

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Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Stevenage wins
0Draws
0Sheffield Wednesday wins
14 Feb 2012Sheffield Wednesday v Stevenage0-1
13 Sep 2011Stevenage v Sheffield Wednesday5-1

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Season team stats

League One

Stevenage7
Played
Sheffield Wednesday7
Stevenage1.6
Avg goals for
Sheffield Wednesday1.9
Stevenage1.1
Avg goals against
Sheffield Wednesday0.9
Stevenage1
Clean sheets
Sheffield Wednesday2

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League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Sheffield Wednesday1474217
11Stevenage972323
Stevenage sit in position 11, while Sheffield Wednesday sit in position 2, so table pressure belongs in the Over 2.5 Goals assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Stevenage Over 2.5
60%Sheffield Wednesday Over 2.5
3.5H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Stevenage sit at 60% and Sheffield Wednesday sit at 60% with the H2H average at 3.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.