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Crawley Town crestCrawley Town
v
Barnet crestBarnet

League Two | Sat 26 Sep, 12:30

Crawley Town v Barnet Stats

Data last updated: Sat 26 Sep 2026, 20:51 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Barnet arrives at Crawley Town in strong form, leading League Two with 15 points and boasting a potent attack averaging 2.2 goals per game. Crawley Town, struggling near the bottom with just 4 points and defensive vulnerabilities conceding 2.2 goals per match, face a tough challenge. Barnet's consistent scoring and solid recent performances position them as favorites, while Crawley's defensive frailties and low scoring output raise questions about their ability to contain the visitors. The match promises intensity as Barnet aims to extend their lead at the top, exploiting Crawley's defensive lapses.

BT4Y best bet

Barnet to Win

  • Barnet leads League Two with 15 points; Crawley Town has 4 points near relegation zone.
  • Barnet averages 2.2 goals per game, showing strong attacking form.
  • Crawley Town concedes 2.2 goals per game, indicating defensive weaknesses.
  • Barnet has won 9 points recently, Crawley Town only 1 point in form.
  • Barnet's over 2.5 goals rate is 80%, suggesting open, high-scoring games.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

Barnet's 70% to win reflects their dominant league position, superior recent form, and attacking efficiency. Crawley Town's defensive struggles and low points tally reinforce Barnet's advantage. The at 1.67 offer positive value given Barnet's consistent goal threat and ability to capitalize on opponents' weaknesses. While Crawley Town's home data is sufficient, Barnet's balanced attack and defensive solidity make this a confident pick. The model rates this as a standard stake opportunity with a clear edge based on form and stats.

Model Win Probability70%
Strong positive
Recent Form PointsBarnet 9, Crawley Town 1
Strong positive
Goals For per GameBarnet 2.2, Crawley Town 0.8
Strong positive
Goals Against per GameBarnet 1.6, Crawley Town 2.2
Strong positive
Over 2.5 Goals RateBarnet 80%, Crawley Town 40%
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Barnet's superior attacking form and league leadership make them the clear pick to win this fixture. Their ability to consistently score and capitalize on Crawley Town's defensive weaknesses underpins this selection. Crawley Town's struggles and low recent points tally suggest they will find it difficult to contain Barnet's offense or mount a successful challenge.

Main risk

The fixture status adds uncertainty, so prices should be checked again once the match details settle.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Barnet's attacking prowess and league control set the tone for this match, making them the logical choice to secure victory against a defensively vulnerable Crawley Town.”

Key Data Signals

Barnet to Win evidence

Barnet leads League Two with 15 points; Crawley Town has 4 points near relegation zone.

Barnet averages 2.2 goals per game, showing strong attacking form.

Crawley Town concedes 2.2 goals per game, indicating defensive weaknesses.

Barnet has won 9 points recently, Crawley Town only 1 point in form.

What To Watch In The Data

Barnet to Win notes

  • Over the last ten matches, the average goals per game between these teams is 2.9, with Barnet's high over 2.5 goals rate indicating a trend towards open, attacking games.
  • This trend suggests a fast tempo and multiple scoring chances, aligning with Barnet's offensive style and Crawley Town's defensive vulnerabilities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Crawley Town0.8
Avg goals scored
Barnet2.2
Crawley Town2.2
Avg goals conceded
Barnet1.6
Crawley Town60%
BTTS rate
Barnet100%
Crawley Town40%
Over 2.5 goals
Barnet80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 81%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 45%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 41%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Barnet's high over 2.5 goals rate of 80% and Crawley Town's defensive concessions suggest a match likely to feature multiple goals. Both teams have shown tendencies for open play, with Barnet's attack expected to break through Crawley's leaky defense, supporting a goal-rich encounter.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBarnet to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Barnet Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
The of 1.67 for Barnet to win reflect a market slightly below the model's 70% chance, indicating positive value. This pricing aligns well with Barnet's strong form and league position, making the bet a sensible choice without being overexposed to price risk.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Crawley Town4.8
Avg corners for
Barnet6.4
Crawley Town9
Avg total corners
Barnet10.2
Crawley Town3
Avg yellow cards
Barnet2.4
Crawley Town15.4
Avg shots
Barnet15

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Crawley Town

LLLDL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 5L
19 Sep 2026A Grimsby0-2
12 Sep 2026H Cheltenham1-3
05 Sep 2026A Accrington ST2-3
01 Sep 2026A Northampton1-1
29 Aug 2026H Bristol Rovers0-2

Barnet

WWDDD
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 0L
19 Sep 2026H Fleetwood Town3-1
12 Sep 2026H Accrington ST2-1
05 Sep 2026A Chesterfield3-3
01 Sep 2026A Exeter City1-1
29 Aug 2026H Cheltenham2-2
Market aligned with main pickBarnet to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Barnet Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Barnet's recent form is impressive, securing 9 points with a strong goal-scoring record, contrasting sharply with Crawley Town's single point and defensive lapses. This momentum disparity highlights Barnet's and ability to control matches, reinforcing their status as favorites in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Crawley Town wins
3Draws
3Barnet wins
17 Mar 2026Crawley Town v Barnet1-1
01 Jan 2026Barnet v Crawley Town2-1
13 Jan 2018Crawley Town v Barnet2-0
23 Sep 2017Barnet v Crawley Town1-2
11 Mar 2017Barnet v Crawley Town2-2
20 Aug 2016Crawley Town v Barnet1-1
Market aligned with main pickBarnet to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
The ten previous meetings between Crawley Town and Barnet average 2.9 goals per game, indicating historically open contests. While the sample size is moderate, it supports expectations of a lively match with scoring opportunities, aligning with Barnet's attacking strengths and Crawley Town's defensive challenges.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

League Two

Crawley Town7
Played
Barnet7
Crawley Town0.9
Avg goals for
Barnet2.4
Crawley Town1.9
Avg goals against
Barnet1.4
Crawley Town0
Clean sheets
Barnet0
Market aligned with main pickBarnet to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Barnet Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Barnet's season-long statistics show a potent attack averaging 2.2 goals per game and a relatively solid defense conceding 1.6 goals. Crawley Town's season stats reveal struggles with only 0.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game, underscoring Barnet's advantage in both offensive and defensive phases.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Barnet1574307
24Crawley Town47115-7
Barnet sits atop League Two, reflecting consistent performance and points accumulation, while Crawley Town languishes near the bottom. This table gap emphasizes Barnet's superior quality and form, suggesting they have the tactical and squad strength to secure victory despite the away setting.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Crawley Town Over 2.5
80%Barnet Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals
Over the last ten matches, the average goals per game between these teams is 2.9, with Barnet's high over 2.5 goals rate indicating a trend towards open, attacking games. This trend suggests a fast tempo and multiple scoring chances, aligning with Barnet's offensive style and Crawley Town's defensive vulnerabilities.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.