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Bradford crestBradford
v
Barnsley crestBarnsley

League One | Sat 26 Sep, 15:00

Bradford v Barnsley Stats

Data last updated: Fri 25 Sep 2026, 08:28 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bradford face Barnsley in League One on Sat 26 Sep, 15:00. Bradford City sit 4th and boast 15 clean sheets, providing a far sturdier platform than a Barnsley side that has conceded in 14 straight home league games.

BT4Y best bet

Bradford Win

  • At 11/10, Bradford Win implies roughly 48%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 54%.
  • While Bradford are defensively strong, Barnsley score in 83% of home games.
  • Bradford have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 7 for Barnsley.
  • Bradford have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Bradford Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Bradford sit 1 in the table, while Barnsley sit 18, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 54% for Bradford Win sits against roughly 48% implied by the current price. Bradford have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 7 for Barnsley. While Bradford are defensively strong, Barnsley score in 83% of home games.

Model chance vs price54% model chance against roughly 48% implied
Positive
Bradford have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points.Visible data support
Positive
Bradford have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
While Bradford are defensively strong, Barnsley score in 83%.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Bradford Win is the preferred angle because while Bradford are defensively strong, Barnsley score in 83% of home games. Bradford have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 7 for Barnsley. Bradford's style is more blunt, but that is not a criticism.

Main risk

Bradford's style is more blunt, but that is not a criticism.

Key Data Signals

Bradford Win evidence

While Bradford are defensively strong, Barnsley score in 83% of home games.

Bradford have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 7 for Barnsley.

Bradford have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Bradford Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Bradford sit 1 in the table, while Barnsley sit 18, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Bradford Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Bradford5.8
    Avg corners for
    Barnsley8.4
    Bradford12.4
    Avg total corners
    Barnsley13.8
    Bradford2.6
    Avg yellow cards
    Barnsley2.8
    Bradford9
    Avg shots
    Barnsley16.8

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    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Bradford0.8
    Avg goals scored
    Barnsley1.4
    Bradford0.8
    Avg goals conceded
    Barnsley2.2
    Bradford20%
    BTTS rate
    Barnsley80%
    Bradford20%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Barnsley80%

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    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Bradford

    WWWLL
    Last 53W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 0D 2L
    19 Sep 2026A Luton1-0
    12 Sep 2026A Notts County1-0
    05 Sep 2026H Mansfield Town1-0
    01 Sep 2026H Cambridge United1-2
    29 Aug 2026A Plymouth0-2

    Barnsley

    DLLWW
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 2D 3L
    19 Sep 2026H Leicester1-1
    12 Sep 2026A Plymouth0-3
    05 Sep 2026H Stevenage1-5
    02 Sep 2026H Blackpool2-1
    29 Aug 2026A Leyton Orient3-1

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    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    2Bradford wins
    3Draws
    5Barnsley wins
    18 Apr 2026Barnsley v Bradford2-2
    18 Oct 2025Bradford v Barnsley2-2
    21 Nov 2023Bradford v Barnsley5-1
    12 Jan 2019Barnsley v Bradford3-0
    13 Nov 2018Barnsley v Bradford2-1
    11 Aug 2018Bradford v Barnsley0-2

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    Season team stats

    League One

    Bradford7
    Played
    Barnsley7
    Bradford1
    Avg goals for
    Barnsley1
    Bradford0.6
    Avg goals against
    Barnsley1.7
    Bradford5
    Clean sheets
    Barnsley1

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    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1Bradford1575023
    18Barnsley87223-5
    Bradford sit in position 1, while Barnsley sit in position 18, so table pressure belongs in the Bradford Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    20%Bradford Over 2.5
    80%Barnsley Over 2.5
    2.7H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Bradford sit at 20% and Barnsley sit at 80% with the H2H average at 2.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

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