San Jose Earthquakes
Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer | Sun 13 Sep, 03:30
San Jose Earthquakes v Houston Dynamo Stats
Data last updated: Sat 12 Sep 2026, 08:08 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
This Major League Soccer clash features Houston Dynamo visiting San Jose Earthquakes in a contest with playoff implications. Houston currently sits second in the standings with 43 points, showing solid defensive form conceding just 0.6 goals per game recently. San Jose, ranked fifth with 38 points, has struggled defensively, allowing 1.8 goals per game in recent matches. Houston's more consistent form and tighter defense set the stage for a competitive match where the visitors aim to extend their advantage and push for a higher playoff seed.
Houston Dynamo to Win
- Houston Dynamo ranks 2nd with 43 points, showing strong league form.
- Dynamo concede only 0.6 goals per game recently, indicating defensive solidity.
- San Jose Earthquakes have conceded 1.8 goals per game, struggling at the back.
- Houston averages 13.4 shots per game, more than San Jose's 11, showing attacking edge.
- Recent form favors Houston with 8 points versus San Jose's 5 in last five matches.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
Houston Dynamo's 58.1% to win reflects their superior recent form, defensive strength, and league standing. Their lower goals conceded rate (0.6) compared to San Jose's 1.8 and higher shot volume (13.4 vs 11) underpin this . The 22.4% at 2.8 indicates strong betting value without price sensitivity. Player data supports this with key attackers Guilherme and M. Bogusz contributing consistent goal threats. No data limitations affect this analysis, making Houston a solid pick to win.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
Houston Dynamo's disciplined defense and efficient attack make them the tactical favorite to secure victory. Their recent form and higher league position reflect consistent performance levels, suggesting they can control the match tempo and limit San Jose's scoring opportunities effectively.
Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.
Quote from Expert
BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome
“Houston Dynamo's defensive resilience combined with their ability to generate quality chances gives them a clear edge in this matchup. Their balance between attack and defense is likely to dictate the game's outcome.”
Key Data Signals
Houston Dynamo to Win evidence
Houston Dynamo ranks 2nd with 43 points, showing strong league form.
Dynamo concede only 0.6 goals per game recently, indicating defensive solidity.
San Jose Earthquakes have conceded 1.8 goals per game, struggling at the back.
Houston averages 13.4 shots per game, more than San Jose's 11, showing attacking edge.
What To Watch In The Data
Houston Dynamo to Win notes
- Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 3.3, indicating a moderately open fixture historically.
- Both teams have a 40% rate of over 2.5 goals in recent matches, suggesting a balanced tempo with potential for multiple goals, driven by transitions and set-piece situations.
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
San Jose Earthquakes
Houston Dynamo
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Continue the research
Useful next reads
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Houston Dynamo | 43 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 5 |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes | 38 | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 7 |
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Season team stats
Major League Soccer
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Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.