Virtus Entella

Cesena

Serie B | Sat 29 Aug, 18:00

Virtus Entella v Cesena Stats

Data last updated: Fri 28 Aug 2026, 08:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Virtus Entella and Cesena meet in a Serie B clash where both sides have shown cautious attacking intent early in the season. Virtus Entella sits lower in the table with no points from their opener, while Cesena has a slight edge with one point. Both teams have displayed defensive solidity, with Cesena notably keeping clean sheets in recent matches. The tactical setup suggests a measured game with limited risk-taking, as both sides aim to avoid early setbacks in the campaign. This encounter is likely to be a tight contest with few clear-cut chances.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

Both teams have zero Over 2.5 Goals rate so far this season.
Virtus Entella averages 15 shots per game but only 3 on target, indicating low finishing threat.
Cesena has a 100% BTTS rate but has scored just once, reflecting tight defenses.
Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.7 over the last 10 meetings, suggesting moderate scoring.
Virtus Entella averages 5 corners per game compared to Cesena's 0, showing territorial advantage but not translating to goals.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 66% chance, supported by both teams' low scoring and defensive patterns. Virtus Entella's higher shot volume lacks precision, while Cesena's conservative approach limits goal opportunities. The zero Over 2.5 rate and Virtus Entella's inability to score in recent form reinforce the likelihood of a low-scoring match. The price offers positive value with a 7.2% edge, reflecting a realistic expectation of a tight, cautious game. No data limitations affect in this assessment.

Model Probability66% chance of Under 2.5 Goals

Strong positive

Recent Scoring FormBoth teams have 0 Over 2.5 rate

Strong positive

Shot QualityVirtus Entella averages 3 SOT, Cesena 2 SOT

Positive

Head-to-Head GoalsAverage 2.7 goals per match in last 10

Neutral

Price Value Edge7.2% positive value at 1.7 odds

Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

This Under 2.5 Goals pick aligns with the tactical caution both teams have shown early in the season. Virtus Entella's inability to convert chances and Cesena's disciplined defense suggest a match with limited scoring. The data supports a low-scoring outcome, making this a sensible selection for bettors seeking a conservative play.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and statistical rationale for Under 2.5 Goals

“The matchup features two sides prioritizing defensive organization over attacking risk, which naturally suppresses goal totals. Given the early-season form and shot profiles, Under 2.5 Goals is a logical expectation here.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Virtus Entella averages 15 shots per game but only 3 on target, indicating low finishing threat.

Cesena has a 100% BTTS rate but has scored just once, reflecting tight defenses.

Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.7 over the last 10 meetings, suggesting moderate scoring.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per match is 2.7, indicating moderate scoring historically.
However, recent form and tactical setups suggest a slower tempo and tighter defenses, which may suppress goals below this average in the upcoming fixture, making Over 2.5 Goals less likely despite historical trends.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Virtus Entella5

Avg corners for

Cesena0

Virtus Entella6

Avg total corners

Cesena12

Virtus Entella1

Avg yellow cards

Cesena3

Virtus Entella15

Avg shots

Cesena7

Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · Model 64% vs implied 60% · edge +4.1 pts

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

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Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 51%

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 57%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

Virtus Entella dominates corners with an average of 5 per game, indicating territorial control and attacking pressure, yet this has not translated into goals. Cesena's low corner count and higher yellow card average reflect a more defensive, physical style. Shot volumes are moderate, with Virtus Entella generating more attempts but limited accuracy, supporting a controlled, low-risk game environment.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Virtus Entella0

Avg goals scored

Cesena1

Virtus Entella1

Avg goals conceded

Cesena1

Virtus Entella0%

BTTS rate

Cesena100%

Virtus Entella0%

Over 2.5 goals

Cesena0%

Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 58% · edge +8.2 pts

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 22%

3.75

Check odds @ 3.75

BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%

2.08

Check odds @ 2.08

Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

Goal trends show both teams have yet to exceed two goals in matches this season, with Cesena maintaining a 100% BTTS rate but low scoring output. The head-to-head average of 2.7 goals suggests occasional higher scoring games, but current form and defensive setups favor fewer goals and a cautious approach to scoring chances.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 56% · edge +11.1 pts

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

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Cesena Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 62%

1.92

Check odds @ 1.92

Cesena to WinBetfred guide price · model 45%

3.3

Check odds @ 3.3

Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 64%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 57%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

Virtus Entella Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%

1.88

Check odds @ 1.88

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

The Under 2.5 Goals market is priced attractively at 1.7, reflecting a 58.8% implied chance versus the model's 66% probability. This positive indicates the market may underestimate the likelihood of a low-scoring game, making it a price-sensitive opportunity worth considering.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Virtus Entella

Last 50W 0D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 1L

22 Aug 2026A Sudtirol0-1

Cesena

Last 50W 1D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 1D 0L

23 Aug 2026H Sampdoria1-1

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

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Cesena Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 62%

1.92

Check odds @ 1.92

Cesena to WinBetfred guide price · model 45%

3.3

Check odds @ 3.3

Virtus Entella Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%

1.88

Check odds @ 1.88

Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 58%

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

Virtus Entella to WinBetUK guide price · model 31%

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

Recent form data highlights Virtus Entella's struggle to score, with zero goals and no points from their opener, while Cesena has managed a single goal and point. Both teams have maintained a 0% Over 2.5 Goals rate, underscoring their cautious approach and defensive emphasis early in the season, which supports the Under 2.5 Goals selection.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Virtus Entella wins

3Draws

4Cesena wins

10 Feb 2026Virtus Entella v Cesena3-1

30 Aug 2025Cesena v Virtus Entella1-1

01 Mar 2024Cesena v Virtus Entella4-0

16 Nov 2023Virtus Entella v Cesena0-1

06 Aug 2023Cesena v Virtus Entella2-2

14 Mar 2023Cesena v Virtus Entella4-0

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 56% · edge +11.1 pts

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

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Cesena to WinBetfred guide price · model 45%

3.3

Check odds @ 3.3

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%

2.08

Check odds @ 2.08

Virtus Entella to WinBetUK guide price · model 31%

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

The head-to-head sample of ten matches shows an average of 2.7 goals per game, suggesting a moderate scoring history between these teams. While this supports the possibility of goals, current season form and defensive focus reduce the likelihood of a high-scoring game, making the H2H data a background factor rather than a strong counterpoint to the Under 2.5 Goals pick.

Season team stats

Serie B

Virtus Entella2

Played

Cesena2

Virtus Entella0.5

Avg goals for

Cesena1.5

Virtus Entella1.5

Avg goals against

Cesena1

Virtus Entella0

Clean sheets

Cesena0

Best odds for this sectionCesena Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 52% · edge +9.9 pts

1.92

Check odds @ 1.92

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Cesena to WinBetfred guide price · model 45%

3.3

Check odds @ 3.3

Virtus Entella Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%

1.88

Check odds @ 1.88

Virtus Entella to WinBetUK guide price · model 31%

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

Season-long statistics reveal Virtus Entella's higher shot volume but limited conversion, and Cesena's defensive resilience with fewer shots conceded. Both teams' low Over 2.5 Goals rates and Virtus Entella's zero BTTS rate contrast with Cesena's 100% BTTS, indicating defensive solidity with occasional goal concessions, aligning with a low total goals forecast.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
2	Cesena	4	2	1	1	0	1
19	Virtus Entella	0	2	0	0	2	-2

The standings show Virtus Entella near the relegation zone with no points and Cesena mid-table with one point, reflecting early season caution and the importance of avoiding defeat. This context suggests both teams will prioritize defensive stability over attacking risk, reinforcing the likelihood of a low-scoring encounter.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Virtus Entella Over 2.5

0%Cesena Over 2.5

2.7H2H avg goals

Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per match is 2.7, indicating moderate scoring historically. However, recent form and tactical setups suggest a slower tempo and tighter defenses, which may suppress goals below this average in the upcoming fixture, making Over 2.5 Goals less likely despite historical trends.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Football Stats Hub

Virtus Entella v Cesena Stats

Match Report

Under 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Virtus Entella

Cesena

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Football Stats Hub

Virtus Entella v Cesena Stats

Match Report

Under 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Virtus Entella

Cesena

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