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Vicenza Virtus crestVicenza Virtus
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Juve Stabia crestJuve Stabia

Serie B | Sat 12 Sep, 14:00

Vicenza Virtus v Juve Stabia Stats

Data last updated: Fri 11 Sep 2026, 08:36 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Vicenza Virtus and Juve Stabia meet in a Serie B clash where attacking intent is expected to shape the game. Vicenza Virtus, positioned mid-table, have shown a strong tendency for high-scoring matches, while Juve Stabia, struggling near the bottom, have been involved in games with fluctuating defensive solidity. Both teams have offensive players capable of creating chances, suggesting an open contest with multiple goal opportunities. The tactical setup and recent scoring patterns point towards a lively encounter with several goals likely to be scored.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Vicenza Virtus has a 100% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals this season.
  • Juve Stabia’s matches have gone over 2.5 goals 67% of the time, indicating openness.
  • Vicenza Virtus averages 18 shots and 5.67 shots on target per game, showing attacking pressure.
  • Juve Stabia’s Antonio Di Nardo is a prolific shooter with 9.82 shots per 90 minutes, increasing scoring chances.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Over 2.5 Goals highly at 78% chance, supported by Vicenza Virtus’s perfect over 2.5 record and Juve Stabia’s solid attacking stats. Both teams generate significant shot volumes and have key players like Antonio Di Nardo and C. Morra who consistently threaten goal. The implied undervalue this probability, offering a strong . No data limitations affect , making this a compelling selection based on attacking tempo and finishing opportunities.

Vicenza Virtus Over 2.5 Rate100% matches over 2.5 goals
Strong positive
Juve Stabia Over 2.5 Rate67% matches over 2.5 goals
Positive
Shot VolumeVicenza 18 shots, Juve Stabia 15 shots per game
Strong positive
Key Player ThreatAntonio Di Nardo 9.82 shots/90, C. Morra 6.1 shots/90
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with Vicenza Virtus pushing forward aggressively and Juve Stabia relying on key attackers like Antonio Di Nardo to create chances. The attacking profiles and recent goal trends suggest multiple goals will be scored, making Over 2.5 Goals a tactically and statistically sound choice.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · attacking dynamics and goal potential

“Both teams possess attacking players who consistently generate high shot volumes, and Vicenza Virtus’s perfect over 2.5 record this season highlights their openness. This match is primed for goals given the offensive tendencies and defensive vulnerabilities on display.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Vicenza Virtus has a 100% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals this season.

Juve Stabia’s matches have gone over 2.5 goals 67% of the time, indicating openness.

Vicenza Virtus averages 18 shots and 5.67 shots on target per game, showing attacking pressure.

Juve Stabia’s Antonio Di Nardo is a prolific shooter with 9.82 shots per 90 minutes, increasing scoring chances.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • In recent matches, Vicenza Virtus has maintained a 100% over 2.5 goals rate, while Juve Stabia’s last games have seen over 2.5 goals 67% of the time.
  • This trend over the current season indicates a high-tempo game with defensive gaps and attacking transitions conducive to multiple goals being scored in this fixture.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Vicenza Virtus7
Avg corners for
Juve Stabia5.67
Vicenza Virtus11
Avg total corners
Juve Stabia9.33
Vicenza Virtus2.33
Avg yellow cards
Juve Stabia1.67
Vicenza Virtus18
Avg shots
Juve Stabia15
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 58% · edge -0.8 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Vicenza Virtus averages 7 corners per game and Juve Stabia 5.67, reflecting sustained attacking pressure and territorial advantage. Both teams commit fouls regularly, with Vicenza averaging 2.33 yellow cards and Juve Stabia 1.67, indicating a competitive and physical match that could generate set-piece opportunities and shots from wide areas.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Vicenza Virtus1.67
Avg goals scored
Juve Stabia0.67
Vicenza Virtus2.33
Avg goals conceded
Juve Stabia1.67
Vicenza Virtus67%
BTTS rate
Juve Stabia33%
Vicenza Virtus100%
Over 2.5 goals
Juve Stabia67%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 26%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Vicenza Virtus’s matches have consistently featured multiple goals, with a 67% BTTS rate indicating both teams often score. Juve Stabia’s lower BTTS rate of 33% suggests occasional defensive lapses, but their involvement in high-scoring games supports the over 2.5 goals route through open play and transitions.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Juve Stabia to WinBet365 guide price · model 33%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Vicenza Virtus to WinBetfred guide price · model 51%
2
Check odds @ 2
Vicenza Virtus Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Juve Stabia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced attractively at 2.15, reflecting an implied chance of 46.5%, which is well below the model’s 78% probability. This significant indicates the market underestimates the likelihood of a high-scoring game, making this a strong price-sensitive opportunity to back the over.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Vicenza Virtus

DLW
Last 51W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 1L
06 Sep 2026A Virtus Entella2-2
29 Aug 2026A Avellino0-3
21 Aug 2026H Catanzaro3-2

Juve Stabia

LWL
Last 51W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 2L
06 Sep 2026H Pisa0-3
29 Aug 2026A Sampdoria2-1
23 Aug 2026A Palermo0-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 60% vs implied 56% · edge +4.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 79%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Juve Stabia to WinBet365 guide price · model 33%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Vicenza Virtus to WinBetfred guide price · model 51%
2
Check odds @ 2
Vicenza Virtus Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Juve Stabia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Vicenza Virtus has scored 1.67 goals per game and conceded 2.33, with all recent matches exceeding 2.5 goals, highlighting their open style. Juve Stabia’s lower scoring rate of 0.67 and conceding 1.67 goals per game still aligns with a majority of matches going over 2.5 goals, reflecting defensive vulnerabilities and attacking efforts that favor a high-scoring outcome.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Vicenza Virtus wins
0Draws
0Juve Stabia wins
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Juve Stabia to WinBet365 guide price · model 33%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Vicenza Virtus to WinBetfred guide price · model 51%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
No previous meetings exist between Vicenza Virtus and Juve Stabia, so head-to-head data offers no direct insight. Therefore, current season form and individual team attacking and defensive profiles provide the primary basis for assessing goal expectations.
Season team stats

Serie B

Vicenza Virtus3
Played
Juve Stabia3
Vicenza Virtus1.7
Avg goals for
Juve Stabia0.7
Vicenza Virtus2.3
Avg goals against
Juve Stabia1.7
Vicenza Virtus0
Clean sheets
Juve Stabia0
Best odds for this sectionJuve Stabia to WinBet365 guide price · Model 33% vs implied 24% · edge +8.2 pts
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
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Vicenza Virtus to WinBetfred guide price · model 51%
2
Check odds @ 2
Vicenza Virtus Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Juve Stabia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Season-long data shows Vicenza Virtus’s attack is prolific but paired with a leaky defense, resulting in frequent high-scoring games. Juve Stabia’s moderate attack and porous defense contribute to matches with multiple goals. Both teams’ shot and goal metrics support the expectation of an open game with several scoring opportunities.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
12Vicenza Virtus43111-2
19Juve Stabia13102-3
Vicenza Virtus sits mid-table with 4 points, while Juve Stabia struggles near the bottom with 1 point. The standings suggest Vicenza Virtus will seek to assert control offensively to climb higher, while Juve Stabia may take risks to avoid falling further behind, both factors encouraging an attacking match with goals.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Vicenza Virtus Over 2.5
67%Juve Stabia Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
In recent matches, Vicenza Virtus has maintained a 100% over 2.5 goals rate, while Juve Stabia’s last games have seen over 2.5 goals 67% of the time. This trend over the current season indicates a high-tempo game with defensive gaps and attacking transitions conducive to multiple goals being scored in this fixture.

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Fixture links

Prediction context

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