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Tromso crestTromso
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Valerenga crestValerenga

Eliteserien | Sat 11 Jul, 17:00

Tromso v Valerenga Stats

Data last updated: Fri 10 Jul 2026, 03:29 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Tromso hosts Valerenga in an Eliteserien clash where contrasting styles and recent form set the stage for an open contest. Tromso, second in the league with a strong home unbeaten streak against Valerenga, rely on structured possession and territorial control but have struggled to convert chances recently. Valerenga, sitting ninth, bring an aggressive, high-shot-volume approach but suffer defensive vulnerabilities, especially away from home. This tactical duel between Tromso's patient build-up and Valerenga's direct attacking threat promises a match where both teams are likely to find the net, reflecting their recent goal-rich encounters and defensive lapses.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Tromso unbeaten in last six home matches versus Valerenga, showing home resilience.
  • Valerenga’s last six games featured 22 goals, averaging 3.67 per match, highlighting attacking volatility.
  • Tromso averages 11 shots per game with 74% inside the box, indicating quality chance creation.
  • Valerenga averages 16.6 shots and 5.2 shots on target per game, showcasing offensive firepower.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The Both Teams to Score pick is supported by Tromso's strong home attacking structure combined with Valerenga's high shot volume and recent defensive frailties. Tromso’s ability to create quality chances inside the box contrasts with Valerenga’s tendency to concede goals on the road, making a clean sheet unlikely for either side. The model sees value as the implied slightly underestimate the likelihood of both teams scoring, reflecting the tactical openness and recent goal trends. No data limitations affect in this selection.

Tromso home attacking volume11 shots per game, 74% inside box
Strong positive
Valerenga shot volume and goal concession16.6 shots, 1.58 goals conceded per game
Strong positive
Recent high-scoring matches22 goals in last six Valerenga games
Strong positive
Model chance vs implied odds63.3% chance vs 57.8% implied
Positive
Main risk

A highly disciplined defensive performance by Tromso could limit Valerenga’s scoring chances, potentially resulting in a clean sheet and invalidating the Both Teams to Score outcome.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score market rationale

“Tromso’s control and Valerenga’s attacking volatility set up a classic BTTS scenario, where defensive lapses and offensive intent combine to produce goals at both ends.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Tromso unbeaten in last six home matches versus Valerenga, showing home resilience.

Valerenga’s last six games featured 22 goals, averaging 3.67 per match, highlighting attacking volatility.

Tromso averages 11 shots per game with 74% inside the box, indicating quality chance creation.

Valerenga averages 16.6 shots and 5.2 shots on target per game, showcasing offensive firepower.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • The last ten meetings between Tromso and Valerenga average 2 goals per game, indicating moderate scoring historically.
  • However, recent form and tactical setups suggest a higher tempo and more open play, with Valerenga’s 60% Over 2.5 goals rate contrasting Tromso’s 20%.
  • This trend panel suggests potential for goals but also some caution given Tromso’s recent scoring dip.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Tromso3.8
Avg corners for
Valerenga7.2
Tromso8.4
Avg total corners
Valerenga10.2
Tromso1.4
Avg yellow cards
Valerenga2.4
Tromso11
Avg shots
Valerenga16.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Valerenga’s higher average of 7.2 corners per game compared to Tromso’s 3.8 indicates sustained attacking pressure and set-piece opportunities. Valerenga also average 2.4 yellow cards per game, reflecting a combative style that could lead to fouls and interruptions. Tromso’s 1.4 yellow cards per game and 11 shots per match show a disciplined but active attacking approach, contributing to an open, contested game.

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Useful next reads

Tromso v Valerenga predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Tromso0.8
Avg goals scored
Valerenga1.6
Tromso1.4
Avg goals conceded
Valerenga1.6
Tromso40%
BTTS rate
Valerenga60%
Tromso20%
Over 2.5 goals
Valerenga60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 59% · edge +4.5 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 65%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Recent matches show a strong tendency for goals at both ends, with Valerenga’s last six games averaging 3.67 goals and Tromso’s home matches featuring quality inside-the-box chances. Despite Tromso’s recent scoring dip, their structural build-up and Valerenga’s defensive fragility suggest a high probability of both teams scoring, supporting the BTTS Yes selection.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 59% · edge +4.5 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Valerenga to WinBetfred guide price · model 50%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Valerenga Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 60%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Tromso Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
The Both Teams to Score market is priced at 1.73 with an implied probability of 57.8%, while the model estimates a 63.3% chance, indicating a modest . This reflects in both teams’ attacking capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities, especially Valerenga’s away defensive record. The price is fair and offers a good balance between risk and reward given the tactical context and recent goal trends.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Tromso

DDLWD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
29 May 2026A KFUM Oslo0-0
25 May 2026H Aalesund1-1
16 May 2026A Bodo/Glimt0-5
10 May 2026H Molde2-0
03 May 2026A Start1-1

Valerenga

WLWLD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
29 May 2026H Kristiansund BK3-1
25 May 2026A Start0-2
16 May 2026H Sarpsborg 08 FF3-2
08 May 2026A Ham-Kam0-1
03 May 2026H KFUM Oslo2-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 77% vs implied 48% · edge +29.8 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Valerenga to WinBetfred guide price · model 50%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Valerenga Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 60%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Tromso Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Tromso to WinBetfred guide price · model 34%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Tromso’s recent form shows a struggle to convert possession into goals, scoring 0.8 goals per game while conceding 1.4, with a 40% BTTS rate. Valerenga’s form is more volatile but offensively potent, scoring 1.6 goals per game and conceding 1.6, with a 60% BTTS rate. This contrast supports an expectation of goals from both sides, reflecting their current momentum and defensive lapses.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Tromso wins
3Draws
4Valerenga wins
04 Oct 2025Valerenga v Tromso1-0
31 May 2025Tromso v Valerenga2-1
15 Mar 2025Valerenga v Tromso1-4
01 May 2024Valerenga v Tromso1-0
17 Mar 2024Valerenga v Tromso3-1
03 Dec 2023Valerenga v Tromso1-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 59% · edge +4.5 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Valerenga to WinBetfred guide price · model 50%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Tromso to WinBetfred guide price · model 34%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
The head-to-head record over the last ten matches shows a balanced rivalry with an average of 2 goals per game and shared wins. Recent encounters often feature cautious first halves and tight scorelines, but the current tactical dynamics and form suggest a shift towards more open play and goals from both sides, providing moderate support for the BTTS selection.
Season team stats

Eliteserien

Tromso13
Played
Valerenga11
Tromso1.4
Avg goals for
Valerenga1.2
Tromso1.1
Avg goals against
Valerenga1.5
Tromso7
Clean sheets
Valerenga2
Best odds for this sectionValerenga to WinBetfred guide price · Model 50% vs implied 22% · edge +28 pts
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
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Valerenga Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 60%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Tromso Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Tromso to WinBetfred guide price · model 34%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over the season, Tromso’s structured attack and seven clean sheets demonstrate defensive solidity at home, yet recent scoring struggles temper expectations. Valerenga’s higher shot volume and goals scored per game contrast with their defensive instability, especially away, reinforcing the likelihood of both teams scoring. These season-long trends align with the BTTS market’s rationale for this fixture.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Tromso25137424
9Valerenga1411425-4
Tromso’s second-place position with 25 points from 13 matches reflects consistent home strength and control, while Valerenga’s ninth place with 14 points from 11 games signals inconsistency and defensive issues. The standings highlight the gap in stability but also underline Valerenga’s potential to disrupt through attacking bursts, supporting a competitive match with goals at both ends.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Tromso Over 2.5
60%Valerenga Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
The last ten meetings between Tromso and Valerenga average 2 goals per game, indicating moderate scoring historically. However, recent form and tactical setups suggest a higher tempo and more open play, with Valerenga’s 60% Over 2.5 goals rate contrasting Tromso’s 20%. This trend panel suggests potential for goals but also some caution given Tromso’s recent scoring dip.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Tromso v Valerenga prediction

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