St. Truiden

Omonia Nicosia

UEFA Europa League | Thu 20 Aug, 19:00

St. Truiden v Omonia Nicosia Stats

Data last updated: Wed 19 Aug 2026, 07:28 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Truiden host Omonia Nicosia in this UEFA Europa League qualifier, with both sides likely to approach cautiously given the knockout stakes. Omonia Nicosia have shown defensive solidity recently, conceding just 0.5 goals per game and failing to reach over 2.5 goals in their last outings. Truiden's data is limited but suggests a measured attacking approach. The tactical battle is expected to be tight, with both teams prioritizing defensive organization and controlling space, which could limit goal-scoring opportunities in this first leg encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

Omonia Nicosia have a 0% rate of Over 2.5 Goals in recent matches, indicating low-scoring tendencies.
Omonia Nicosia concede only 0.5 goals per game on average, highlighting defensive strength.
No previous head-to-head matches between these teams, adding uncertainty to attacking output.
Truiden's player data is limited, suggesting reliance on defensive discipline and tactical caution.
Model projects a 66% chance for Under 2.5 Goals, with positive value at 1.95 .

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 66% probability, reflecting both teams' recent defensive performances and low scoring rates. Omonia Nicosia's recent matches show a strong defensive record and no Over 2.5 Goals outcomes, while St. Truiden's limited data suggests a cautious approach. The at 1.95 offer positive value given the implied chance is only 51.3%. The thinner data for St. Truiden means line-ups and tactical setups will be key factors influencing the final outcome.

Model Probability66% chance of Under 2.5 Goals

Strong positive

Omonia Defensive Record0.5 goals conceded per game

Strong positive

Omonia Over 2.5 Rate0% recent Over 2.5 matches

Strong positive

Data QualityLimited data for St. Truiden

Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

This Under 2.5 Goals pick aligns with Omonia Nicosia's recent defensive discipline and low-scoring matches, combined with St. Truiden's cautious approach in European qualifiers. The tactical emphasis on control and minimizing risks in this first leg supports a tight, low-scoring game.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Defensive solidity and tactical caution

“Omonia Nicosia's defensive consistency and St. Truiden's measured attacking profile suggest a tactical stalemate is likely, making Under 2.5 Goals a sensible expectation for this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Omonia Nicosia concede only 0.5 goals per game on average, highlighting defensive strength.

No previous head-to-head matches between these teams, adding uncertainty to attacking output.

Truiden's player data is limited, suggesting reliance on defensive discipline and tactical caution.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

Over the last five matches, Omonia Nicosia have consistently kept games under 2.5 goals, reflecting a controlled tempo and defensive solidity.
The absence of head-to-head history means these trends are particularly relevant, indicating a match likely to follow a similar low-scoring pattern.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

St. Truiden

Last 50W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for St. Truiden yet.

Omonia Nicosia

Last 51W 1D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 1D 0L

13 Aug 2026H Lincoln Red Imps FC1-0

06 Aug 2026A Lincoln Red Imps FC1-1

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

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Omonia Nicosia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%

2.68

Check odds @ 2.68

Omonia Nicosia to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%

4.33

Check odds @ 4.33

DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%

3.5

Check odds @ 3.5

St. Truiden Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%

1.45

Check odds @ 1.45

Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 50%

1.17

Check odds @ 1.17

St. Truiden to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%

1.75

Check odds @ 1.75

Recent form data shows Omonia Nicosia earning 4 points with a solid defensive record, conceding only 0.5 goals per game and no Over 2.5 Goals matches. Truiden's form data is limited but indicates no recent points, suggesting a more defensive or cautious approach. This recent form supports a low-scoring match scenario with Under 2.5 Goals as a logical outcome.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

St. Truiden-

Avg goals scored

Omonia Nicosia1

St. Truiden-

Avg goals conceded

Omonia Nicosia0.5

St. Truiden-

BTTS rate

Omonia Nicosia50%

St. Truiden-

Over 2.5 goals

Omonia Nicosia0%

Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +14.7 pts

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%

Check odds @ 3

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%

1.25

Check odds @ 1.25

Omonia Nicosia have not exceeded 2.5 goals in recent games and maintain a 50% rate for Both Teams To Score, suggesting limited offensive breakthroughs. Truiden's attacking data is sparse but does not indicate high scoring. This points to a match where goals may be scarce and BTTS uncertain, favoring Under 2.5 Goals.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 65% · edge +9.6 pts

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

Omonia Nicosia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%

2.68

Check odds @ 2.68

Omonia Nicosia to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%

4.33

Check odds @ 4.33

DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%

3.5

Check odds @ 3.5

St. Truiden Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%

1.45

Check odds @ 1.45

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

The Under 2.5 Goals market is priced attractively at 1.95 with a of 66%, indicating positive value. The implied probability of 51.3% undervalues the likelihood of a low-scoring match, making this a price-sensitive opportunity worth backing given the defensive trends and cautious match context.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0St. Truiden wins

0Draws

0Omonia Nicosia wins

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 56% · edge +11.1 pts

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

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Omonia Nicosia to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%

4.33

Check odds @ 4.33

DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%

3.5

Check odds @ 3.5

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

St. Truiden to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%

1.75

Check odds @ 1.75

No previous head-to-head meetings exist between St. Truiden and Omonia Nicosia, so historical data offers no direct insight. This absence increases reliance on recent form and tactical context to assess the likely low-scoring nature of the match.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

St. Truiden-

Avg corners for

Omonia Nicosia2

St. Truiden-

Avg total corners

Omonia Nicosia9

St. Truiden-

Avg yellow cards

Omonia Nicosia2

St. Truiden-

Avg shots

Omonia Nicosia0

Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 55% · edge +14.4 pts

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

Over 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price

2.5

Check odds @ 2.5

Without detailed corner and card data for St. Truiden, analysis focuses on Omonia Nicosia's disciplined defensive approach, which likely limits fouls and set-piece opportunities. The low fouling rate and controlled defensive shape reduce chances for corners and cards, supporting a game with measured pressure and fewer attacking surges.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Europa League

St. Truiden0

Played

Omonia Nicosia2

St. Truiden0

Avg goals for

Omonia Nicosia1

St. Truiden0

Avg goals against

Omonia Nicosia0.5

St. Truiden0

Clean sheets

Omonia Nicosia1

Best odds for this sectionOmonia Nicosia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 52% vs implied 37% · edge +15 pts

2.68

Check odds @ 2.68

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Omonia Nicosia to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%

4.33

Check odds @ 4.33

St. Truiden Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%

1.45

Check odds @ 1.45

St. Truiden to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%

1.75

Check odds @ 1.75

Season statistics for Omonia Nicosia reveal a strong defensive profile with low goals conceded and no recent Over 2.5 Goals matches, reinforcing the likelihood of a tight game. Truiden's limited season data suggests a conservative attacking output, aligning with the Under 2.5 Goals market for this fixture.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-St. Truiden Over 2.5

0%Omonia Nicosia Over 2.5

-H2H avg goals

Over the last five matches, Omonia Nicosia have consistently kept games under 2.5 goals, reflecting a controlled tempo and defensive solidity. The absence of head-to-head history means these trends are particularly relevant, indicating a match likely to follow a similar low-scoring pattern.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Football Stats Hub

St. Truiden v Omonia Nicosia Stats

Match Report

Under 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

St. Truiden

Omonia Nicosia

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Football Stats Hub

St. Truiden v Omonia Nicosia Stats

Match Report

Under 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

St. Truiden

Omonia Nicosia

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